Weary-Sale-Nanoparticle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$262

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.1%

Resolved

3,448

Trades

5,359

lifetime

Volume

$10.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 10-10 09:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 52% -$41

Other

8% 27% -$232

Sports

2% 38% +$13

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	16	$106	102	62	+40	No	-$26	06-15 19:05
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	24	$73	1,921	1,921	+0	No	-$4	05-20 10:23
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	46	$66	126	65	+61	No	-$23	10-06 22:57
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	43	$66	164	51	+113	No	-$34	10-06 22:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 14:05 UTC	9	$43	56	24	+31	Down	-$29	08-11 14:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 12:15 UTC	9	$40	41	41	+0	Up	-$1	08-15 12:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 13:45 UTC	11	$39	50	0	+50	Up	-$39	08-11 13:49
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	7	$38	30	30	+0	Yes	-$1	06-17 00:50
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	21	$38	800	800	+0	No	-$2	06-15 14:38
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 18:30 UTC	10	$37	45	30	+15	Up	-$9	08-16 18:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 15:45 UTC	14	$36	65	5	+60	Up	$0	08-16 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:55 UTC	9	$35	45	0	+45	Up	+$10	08-11 12:59
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	20	$32	76	50	+26	Yes	-$6	06-18 02:24
Spread: Spain (-2.5)	10	$29	50	0	+50	Cabo Verde	-$29	06-15 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	93	$28	710	0	+710	Down	-$28	05-19 03:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:45 UTC	13	$28	60	0	+60	Down	+$2	08-11 15:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 18:25 UTC	11	$28	55	0	+55	Down	-$8	08-16 18:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 13:45 UTC	11	$26	40	35	+5	Up	-$13	08-11 13:59
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	2	$26	16	16	+0	Yes	+$6	06-14 03:40
Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Felix Balshaw	7	$25	59	0	+59	Felix Balshaw	-$20	09-06 18:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 16:15 UTC	5	$23	25	0	+25	Up	+$2	08-11 16:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 18:15 UTC	9	$23	45	0	+45	Up	+$12	08-16 18:11
es2 rm vld 2026 08 15 corners total 9pt5	7	$23	35	0	+35	Under	-$23	08-15 19:56
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$22	32	32	+0	No	+$2	05-20 10:23
Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes	10	$21	65	0	+65	Inaki Montes	+$11	09-05 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	34	$20	122	0	+122	Down	-$20	05-19 11:55
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	2	$20	42	0	+42	Yes	+$22	06-19 00:59
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	2	$20	25	0	+25	Yes	+$5	06-16 21:59
ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	22	$20	100	0	+100	Josh Hokit	-$20	06-15 02:26
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	3	$20	39	0	+39	No	-$20	06-18 15:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 09:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xfa8d37…
10-10 01:50:07	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc53b4c…
10-10 00:30:07	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf43032…
10-10 00:25:08	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa1bc7b…
10-07 16:27:20	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa996a7…
10-07 16:11:47	Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf787d2…
10-07 16:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x317ec6…
10-07 16:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xd05ad3…
10-07 16:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xce324b…
10-07 16:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x058256…
10-07 16:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xfe88ec…
10-07 16:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xedef9a…
10-07 15:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 9?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x43d80a…
10-07 15:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 9?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6bfab1…
10-07 15:30:08	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1607de…
10-07 15:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 9?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xa9e9e1…
10-07 15:29:23	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 9?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x18f736…
10-07 15:05:08	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2c24df…
10-07 14:55:07	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6671bb…
10-07 14:50:10	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7df24d…
10-07 13:40:11	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x839459…
10-07 13:35:10	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7c6e9a…
10-07 13:25:08	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x39d054…
10-07 13:20:10	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2f1a08…
10-07 11:50:10	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4219d1…
10-07 11:40:07	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x02f251…
10-07 11:35:10	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xac5fa5…
10-07 10:40:08	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x079d4e…
10-07 10:35:08	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x82fbef…
10-07 09:35:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xcf1883…
10-07 09:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1f673f…
10-07 09:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x087875…
10-07 09:10:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd73db4…
10-07 09:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0d46f7…
10-07 09:00:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x538757…
10-07 09:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe60c6d…
10-07 06:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6d5b12…
10-07 06:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3119ac…
10-07 05:27:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x9b566a…
10-07 05:00:08	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf814a1…
10-07 03:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x20f646…
10-07 02:40:08	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5b3070…
10-07 02:35:06	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdb1172…
10-07 02:30:08	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x65d10a…
10-07 02:20:08	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb43cbe…
10-07 02:15:06	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa53c4c…
10-07 02:10:17	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb3c819…
10-07 02:05:17	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6ae953…
10-07 01:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x06c4d5…
10-07 01:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xeb9e78…
10-07 01:35:06	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x87b9bc…
10-07 01:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x8ad3b3…
10-07 01:30:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x51aa0c…
10-07 00:35:07	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7c8336…
10-07 00:30:07	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0da6b3…
10-06 23:20:07	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x48127c…
10-06 23:15:07	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4b4a0a…
10-06 22:57:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x92a7e7…
10-06 22:55:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xae845e…
10-06 22:55:06	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x29c355…
10-06 22:51:05	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xae2e10…
10-06 22:50:52	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf1bccd…
10-06 22:50:49	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x990050…
10-06 22:50:47	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xb56801…
10-06 22:50:06	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf73005…
10-06 22:45:06	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xecf3e6…
10-06 22:40:06	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6f0d10…
10-06 22:37:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x8644e8…
10-06 22:18:47	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x400984…
10-06 22:18:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x18febe…
10-06 22:18:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x6218ca…
10-06 21:27:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x72a578…
10-06 21:27:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x570d11…
10-06 21:27:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0e6e2b…
10-06 21:27:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe53f9d…
10-06 21:27:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x54b023…
10-06 21:27:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x422926…
10-06 21:27:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd73d45…
10-06 21:27:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x5bb4fe…
10-06 21:27:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x25b5d7…
10-06 21:27:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x190782…
10-06 21:27:24	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xfc1d04…
10-06 21:27:24	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xdff25f…
10-06 21:27:24	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x352da3…
10-06 21:27:24	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x22a5e5…
10-06 21:27:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xed06e7…
10-06 21:27:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xc653ff…
10-06 21:27:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xa9c396…
10-06 21:27:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x803923…
10-06 21:27:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x360ee6…
10-06 21:27:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd80457…
10-06 21:27:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb05cae…
10-06 21:27:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x619a2e…
10-06 21:27:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xe5264b…
10-06 21:27:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x64bbf4…
10-06 21:27:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x1dbbe4…
10-06 21:27:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xf02dc5…
10-06 21:27:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xbb8079…
10-06 21:27:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x8352e9…
10-06 21:27:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x56d84f…