Fussy-Lasagna — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.9%

Resolved

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$3.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-26 04:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% $-0

Politics

38% — —

Sports

15% 50% +$0

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	8	$232	122	122	+0	open	—	06-08 16:44
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	6	$204	115	115	+0	open	—	05-31 22:19
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	6	$203	80	424	-344	open	—	06-01 01:19
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	7	$172	409	409	+0	open	—	04-19 14:47
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	9	$166	376	376	+0	No	+$0	04-14 20:22
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$157	90	90	+0	open	—	04-22 08:31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$156	82	82	+0	open	—	05-19 20:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$154	80	80	+0	open	—	04-27 01:22
Iran leadership change by June 30?	4	$151	79	79	+0	open	—	06-06 23:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$138	77	77	+0	open	—	05-29 19:08
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	5	$133	164	164	+0	open	—	06-04 17:08
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	7	$123	246	246	+0	No	$-0	04-26 19:55
Will Alberta join the US?	4	$95	260	260	+0	open	—	06-03 10:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$90	379	379	+0	open	—	03-27 20:01
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	7	$89	355	97	+258	open	—	06-14 07:12
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	2	$84	61	61	+0	open	—	06-03 16:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$84	46	46	+0	open	—	06-09 11:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$83	80	80	+0	open	—	06-12 17:31
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	03-18 10:59
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	3	$78	40	40	+0	open	—	06-04 07:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	3	$77	77	77	+0	open	—	06-06 01:45
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$77	39	39	+0	open	—	06-02 08:03
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$77	39	39	+0	open	—	04-15 16:34
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$77	39	39	+0	open	—	04-26 16:02
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$76	39	39	+0	open	—	06-05 18:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$76	52	52	+0	open	—	06-11 01:52
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$76	97	97	+0	open	—	06-07 21:59
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$76	39	39	+0	open	—	04-24 01:51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	3	$75	46	46	+0	open	—	06-05 14:39
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	3	$75	48	48	+0	open	—	06-13 05:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 04:10:34	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd870eb…
06-25 11:36:13	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x02f6f9…
06-25 03:30:44	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	84	3¢	$2	0xbc467b…
06-25 01:43:49	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	84	2¢	$2	0x4f7474…
06-24 12:40:26	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x715ed2…
06-24 10:58:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb9e92e…
06-23 16:45:10	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x6d00bc…
06-23 14:19:23	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x3b83c1…
06-23 10:38:26	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0x8045af…
06-23 09:03:34	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xd592fa…
06-22 00:02:02	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x73d59c…
06-17 01:05:22	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x8698c6…
06-14 07:12:37	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	SELL	55	4¢	$2	0xfadb2a…
06-14 04:59:36	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0x62c8c9…
06-14 01:03:37	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0xbe730e…
06-14 01:02:51	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x4e1766…
06-13 18:46:09	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	41	91¢	$37	0x15defc…
06-13 15:22:33	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0x111e89…
06-13 05:23:15	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	48	78¢	$37	0x8e9ed4…
06-13 03:23:13	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xc9c827…
06-13 03:23:13	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x8889b8…
06-12 20:41:57	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0xc4284a…
06-12 20:41:57	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	BUY	94	2¢	$2	0xa72e92…
06-12 20:41:57	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0x70e53d…
06-12 17:31:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	80	52¢	$42	0xeb84c7…
06-12 17:31:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	80	52¢	$42	0xbec701…
06-11 01:52:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	52	73¢	$38	0xf888a7…
06-11 01:51:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	52	73¢	$38	0x80317c…
06-09 11:16:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	46	91¢	$42	0xf78eb3…
06-09 08:18:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0x28d2bf…
06-08 16:44:58	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x6a5e01…
06-08 15:17:25	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x2fa28b…
06-07 21:59:43	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	97	39¢	$38	0xc6ca27…
06-07 19:48:48	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	97	39¢	$38	0x4dcaa3…
06-06 23:28:15	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	39	96¢	$37	0xbeef1a…
06-06 20:28:39	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0x034eb2…
06-06 09:06:24	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0x4fd11c…
06-06 09:06:22	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	16	91¢	$15	0xabd2bb…
06-06 09:05:37	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	46	92¢	$42	0xaa1b5a…
06-06 01:45:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0xaf0f61…
06-06 01:44:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	50¢	$14	0x7938c9…
06-05 23:23:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	77	50¢	$38	0xca9e05…
06-05 18:43:49	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x0b7999…
06-05 16:45:27	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xdcc732…
06-05 14:39:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	46	82¢	$37	0xece816…
06-05 14:39:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xb71f74…
06-05 09:55:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	46	82¢	$38	0xa6f781…
06-04 17:08:04	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	51	82¢	$42	0xdf9f3e…
06-04 15:59:15	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	51	82¢	$42	0x7f69d3…
06-04 07:26:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb88689…
06-03 22:12:33	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	113	21¢	$24	0x4579c9…
06-03 20:25:39	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	106	22¢	$24	0x8e536d…
06-03 20:25:39	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x6ecf32…
06-03 16:50:01	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	61	69¢	$42	0x44dacd…
06-03 16:49:15	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	61	69¢	$42	0xb93ba6…
06-03 10:44:22	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0xd81c8f…
06-03 07:16:47	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xe94119…
06-03 05:17:47	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xea5a41…
06-03 01:18:06	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xbb06ba…
06-02 08:03:40	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0xd36603…
06-02 04:26:03	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0xf61b1c…
06-01 23:59:13	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0xd8279e…
06-01 20:21:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x5b26f1…
06-01 01:19:17	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x4dbfe5…
06-01 00:51:00	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x0c70ad…
05-31 22:19:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x835b15…
05-31 18:34:11	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xebb140…
05-31 01:52:03	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	220	4¢	$9	0x8db270…
05-31 00:03:09	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	220	4¢	$9	0xce705f…
05-30 22:10:09	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xe806d7…
05-30 18:00:33	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xeb2df5…
05-30 01:02:24	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	310	5¢	$15	0x43f464…
05-29 19:08:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	39	92¢	$36	0x790279…
05-29 19:07:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	39	92¢	$36	0x00b4ab…
05-29 02:39:00	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x95957d…
05-29 02:38:59	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xd93567…
05-29 01:28:08	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0xe42c4b…
05-27 20:33:25	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0x09ccf3…
05-26 23:40:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	38	87¢	$33	0xdfca0d…
05-26 21:47:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0x37ef09…
05-25 01:50:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	40	83¢	$33	0x1c5c2b…
05-24 22:20:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x35ae17…
05-23 16:37:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	40	81¢	$32	0x01e669…
05-23 13:01:38	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x207fa1…
05-19 20:29:27	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	41	94¢	$38	0x2e7a79…
05-19 16:50:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x8fbbc6…
05-19 14:30:00	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0x94cf50…
05-19 09:56:23	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x18244b…
05-16 02:34:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	44	4¢	$2	0xde3702…
05-16 00:17:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x39e2c5…
04-27 01:22:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x661ff6…
04-27 00:27:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x2a5bac…
04-26 19:55:28	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	159	12¢	$18	0xcc260a…
04-26 18:16:36	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	159	12¢	$18	0x53d997…
04-26 16:02:52	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0x5d7032…
04-26 13:37:18	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xcbf68a…
04-25 08:00:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$39	0x00cfc3…
04-25 05:39:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x4e67fd…
04-24 01:51:22	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x18759a…
04-24 01:51:22	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x0ebd3c…