Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.54K

Unrealized P&L

-$55

Hit rate

83.5%

Resolved

1,721

Trades

5,863

lifetime

Volume

$727.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$124

Open exposure

$4.90K

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 10-30 13:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 77% -$3,071

Other

33% 45% -$2,833

Politics

4% 50% -$245

Sports

3% 0% -$392

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 586 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes		+5,300	$4,977	92¢	$4.9K	-$80	10-17 06:41
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+0	-$25	33¢	$0	+$25	10-28 03:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	54	$39.2K	26,369	26,369	+0	Yes	+$255	07-29 06:51
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	100	$16.6K	34,782	34,782	+0	open	—	08-24 13:38
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	22	$16.4K	18,864	18,864	+0	No	-$552	07-14 04:24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	55	$15.6K	24,753	24,753	+0	No	+$156	07-29 07:52
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$14.6K	14,803	9,803	+5,000	No	+$252	10-27 09:58
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	3	$11.3K	8,955	8,955	+0	open	—	10-03 15:57
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	6	$10.3K	5,300	5,300	+0	Yes	+$313	10-24 03:57
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	2	$10.0K	5,300	5,300	+0	open	—	10-16 03:59
Colts vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5	2	$9.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	Over	-$300	10-11 14:01
cs2 eac blackp 2026 07 24 game1	2	$8.6K	8,500	8,500	+0	cancelled	-$85	07-25 03:55
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	7	$7.8K	12,700	12,700	+0	No	-$319	07-15 07:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	13	$7.6K	7,700	0	+7,700	Up	+$77	09-03 11:45
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	11	$7.6K	19,101	19,101	+0	No	-$567	07-18 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?	61	$7.3K	7,022	7,022	+0	Yes	+$439	07-03 09:37
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	4	$5.0K	5,300	0	+5,300	open	—	10-17 06:41
Broncos vs. Cardinals: O/U 42.5	2	$4.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	Over	-$50	10-25 14:08
wti up or down on june 22 2026	18	$4.0K	4,131	4,131	+0	Down	+$0	06-22 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Down	+$40	09-03 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Up	+$40	09-06 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	17	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Up	+$40	09-03 14:18
Spread: Commanders (-3.5)	2	$4.0K	4,166	4,166	+0	Giants	-$42	10-11 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	30	$3.9K	3,956	0	+3,956	Up	+$40	09-03 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$3.7K	3,700	0	+3,700	Down	+$37	09-03 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	17	$3.7K	3,700	0	+3,700	Down	+$37	09-04 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	12	$3.7K	3,700	0	+3,700	Down	+$37	09-03 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	5	$3.7K	3,700	0	+3,700	Down	+$37	09-03 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	6	$3.6K	3,676	0	+3,676	Down	+$37	09-04 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	7	$3.5K	3,527	0	+3,527	Up	+$35	09-03 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	24	$3.4K	3,431	0	+3,431	Down	+$34	09-04 03:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 10:00 UTC	3	$3.3K	3,300	0	+3,300	Up	+$33	09-03 10:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 13:01:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	45	31¢	$14	0x210da2…
10-30 12:29:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	45	31¢	$14	0x15cc22…
10-30 11:44:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0x8318b2…
10-30 11:44:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	SELL	193	36¢	$69	0x5e4d0f…
10-30 03:58:01	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x67c069…
10-30 02:43:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	200	10¢	$21	0xc6db1f…
10-30 02:38:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	128	11¢	$14	0x84a5c9…
10-30 02:38:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	72	11¢	$8	0xdf47c3…
10-28 09:09:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	164	46¢	$75	0x5d8342…
10-28 09:09:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	836	46¢	$387	0xe249f4…
10-28 08:57:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,000	45¢	$450	0xb0cbc3…
10-28 03:25:51	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	81	27¢	$22	0x705d39…
10-28 03:24:40	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	67	27¢	$18	0x62e7eb…
10-28 03:24:21	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	83	27¢	$22	0xf084eb…
10-28 03:22:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	12	27¢	$3	0xd7895d…
10-28 03:20:42	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x7abc54…
10-28 03:20:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	21	27¢	$5	0x1e80de…
10-28 03:20:13	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	18	27¢	$5	0x9fe4a0…
10-28 03:18:42	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	112	27¢	$30	0x1a2081…
10-28 03:18:19	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	112	27¢	$30	0xa9d4de…
10-28 03:17:24	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	93	27¢	$25	0x201ac6…
10-28 03:15:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	373	27¢	$100	0xacbfad…
10-28 03:15:13	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	41	27¢	$11	0xd07255…
10-28 03:15:10	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x6708b9…
10-28 03:14:00	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	373	27¢	$100	0x7c0c2b…
10-28 03:13:53	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	195	27¢	$52	0x2e0f6b…
10-28 03:13:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	500	27¢	$134	0x6d2bc2…
10-28 03:13:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	124	27¢	$33	0x532ea3…
10-28 03:13:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0xba7aae…
10-28 01:59:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	241	26¢	$63	0xe8dbb4…
10-28 01:59:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,517	26¢	$398	0xe3af35…
10-28 01:59:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	285	26¢	$75	0xcaa79b…
10-28 01:59:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0xa89c4d…
10-28 01:12:42	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,184	35¢	$416	0xb2e99f…
10-28 01:03:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,510	35¢	$523	0x0ea1e2…
10-28 00:29:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,495	34¢	$858	0x70b27d…
10-28 00:29:26	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$69	0x3c5194…
10-27 09:58:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5,000	93¢	$4,650	0x735001…
10-26 13:58:18	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x11f032…
10-26 12:55:42	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xaffd6a…
10-25 22:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	14	27¢	$4	0xdeb6cc…
10-25 21:48:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x55115c…
10-25 20:06:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	59	27¢	$16	0xb13042…
10-25 14:21:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xe0e6e9…
10-25 14:08:51	Broncos vs. Cardinals: O/U 42.5	Under	SELL	5,000	45¢	$2,250	0x169ee7…
10-25 14:04:33	Broncos vs. Cardinals: O/U 42.5	Under	BUY	5,000	46¢	$2,300	0xb863c3…
10-25 11:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x823eb1…
10-25 09:29:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x0dc1ce…
10-25 09:28:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x5933ab…
10-25 09:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x5738ee…
10-25 09:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x2dd03a…
10-25 09:27:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x9ff78c…
10-25 09:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0x5eae02…
10-25 09:25:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xb8487c…
10-24 23:45:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0xe9bffc…
10-24 03:57:41	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	SELL	3,800	100¢	$3,792	0xf3eb90…
10-24 03:51:03	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	SELL	1,500	100¢	$1,497	0x2605ee…
10-20 00:45:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,300	91¢	$1,188	0x539f22…
10-19 11:06:12	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	309	94¢	$291	0x9fd8ee…
10-19 11:06:12	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	2,676	94¢	$2,513	0x98daf2…
10-19 11:06:12	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	1,357	94¢	$1,274	0x45bacc…
10-19 11:06:12	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	958	94¢	$899	0x231863…
10-18 02:22:51	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	588	59¢	$347	0xffe7f2…
10-18 01:56:48	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	588	59¢	$344	0x2fdaa1…
10-17 13:03:09	next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026	No	SELL	200	81¢	$162	0x92bc50…
10-17 11:15:24	next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xcf87e6…
10-17 06:41:59	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	1,514	94¢	$1,421	0xc63f22…
10-17 06:41:59	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	817	94¢	$767	0x9f819a…
10-17 06:41:59	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	1,094	94¢	$1,027	0x580fee…
10-17 06:41:59	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	1,876	94¢	$1,761	0x1a831e…
10-16 03:59:58	Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	SELL	5,300	94¢	$4,998	0x022266…
10-16 03:34:10	Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	BUY	5,300	94¢	$5,008	0x4f0aa8…
10-14 15:11:33	will north carolina enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028	No	SELL	83	75¢	$62	0x08e83d…
10-14 00:07:28	Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	53	74¢	$39	0x69fda3…
10-13 21:43:22	Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	179	73¢	$130	0x7ed109…
10-11 15:18:51	Spread: Commanders (-3.5)	Commanders	SELL	4,166	47¢	$1,958	0x754e55…
10-11 15:15:34	Spread: Commanders (-3.5)	Commanders	BUY	4,166	48¢	$2,000	0x2bf468…
10-11 14:01:58	Colts vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5	Over	SELL	10,000	48¢	$4,800	0x449169…
10-11 13:49:52	Colts vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5	Over	BUY	10,000	51¢	$5,100	0x5b99b3…
10-07 12:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	92	37¢	$34	0x471d38…
10-07 12:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0xfe5bf6…
10-07 12:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	23	37¢	$8	0xd55a29…
10-07 12:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x13ed15…
10-07 12:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0xfa5408…
10-07 12:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x4f7eb4…
10-07 12:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0xc64eef…
10-07 12:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0xe1c6d4…
10-07 09:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa3aa35…
10-07 09:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	145	39¢	$57	0x1d3311…
10-06 23:43:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	200	28¢	$56	0x7262a1…
10-06 23:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	37	35¢	$13	0xbfa2eb…
10-06 23:41:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xdc349f…
10-06 16:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	27	52¢	$14	0xcf61fd…
10-06 14:51:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x51a219…
10-06 14:18:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0xfec882…
10-06 14:18:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0xb6189c…
10-06 14:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0xb43ca3…
10-06 14:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	40	52¢	$21	0x033d24…
10-06 14:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x82fc04…
10-06 14:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x4a55f3…