Clear-Drawbridge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

Trades

424

lifetime

Volume

$7.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 05-24 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 0% $-15

Politics

28% 100% +$2

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
James Comey arrested by May 15?	6	$681	405	405	+0	open	—	04-29 07:50
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockx	7	$602	1,284	1,284	+0	open	—	04-23 10:34
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	5	$348	239	239	+0	open	—	04-28 13:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	10	$339	400	400	+0	open	—	05-05 11:20
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	6	$320	283	283	+0	open	—	04-28 13:58
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	16	$247	200	200	+0	open	—	04-24 05:13
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	19	$242	170	170	+0	open	—	04-27 11:19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	9	$228	479	479	+0	open	—	05-23 04:10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	3	$219	400	100	+300	open	—	05-24 13:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	4	$210	300	300	+0	open	—	04-28 13:33
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$209	200	200	+0	open	—	04-28 13:01
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	7	$202	210	210	+0	open	—	04-28 13:58
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	2	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	05-03 10:59
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$178	100	100	+0	open	—	04-28 13:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$148	400	400	+0	open	—	04-23 06:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	5	$143	227	227	+0	No	+$2	04-28 13:33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$135	100	100	+0	open	—	04-23 10:04
btc updown 5m 1775306400	1	$128	257	0	+257	open	—	04-04 12:39
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	4	$120	120	120	+0	open	—	04-23 06:29
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	12	$109	381	431	-50	open	—	05-23 04:01
highest temperature in hong kong on april 8 2026 21c	2	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	04-04 14:41
Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 31?	2	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	05-03 08:01
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	3	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	04-28 12:35
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$80	100	100	+0	open	—	05-05 06:34
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$77	100	100	+0	open	—	04-28 12:49
will jd vance visit pakistan by april 24	2	$70	40	40	+0	open	—	04-22 09:51
btc updown 5m 1775306100	1	$64	128	0	+128	open	—	04-04 12:34
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	2	$51	100	100	+0	open	—	04-24 05:14
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of April 27 2026?	2	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	04-28 06:45
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 15c	6	$46	83	82	+1	open	—	04-22 07:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 15:45:29	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x17fa08…
05-24 13:22:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	300	41¢	$123	0x429871…
05-24 13:02:45	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xe28c1f…
05-24 10:01:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0x5e3770…
05-24 09:54:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x045314…
05-23 04:10:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	68	18¢	$12	0xddaca9…
05-23 04:09:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x9b4385…
05-23 04:05:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x39358b…
05-23 04:01:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	81	11¢	$9	0xd9f42f…
05-23 04:01:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xffb250…
05-23 04:01:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	74	18¢	$13	0x159cb2…
05-23 04:00:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0x720c67…
05-23 03:40:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0x58342a…
05-23 03:36:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x1e9329…
05-23 03:33:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xecb0fa…
05-23 03:32:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xda29ca…
05-23 03:10:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x8fb3f8…
05-23 03:09:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xf0c626…
05-23 03:04:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x503401…
05-23 03:04:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x41320c…
05-23 03:04:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0xb207a3…
05-23 03:02:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x4b52f9…
05-23 03:01:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x91aa08…
05-23 03:01:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x68fae9…
05-23 02:59:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x366589…
05-23 02:48:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	50	15¢	$7	0x017cbe…
05-22 07:51:40	Will Trump say "Tax" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xf2582a…
05-22 07:51:34	Will Trump say "Job" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xc7154e…
05-22 07:10:41	Will Trump say "Job" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x7e67cb…
05-22 06:26:35	Will Trump say "Tax" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x970659…
05-22 04:41:03	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x01b6c1…
05-22 04:35:01	Will Trump say "Job" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?	No	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x61c8db…
05-22 04:33:35	Will Trump say "Job" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x189d85…
05-22 04:30:02	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xe66b3e…
05-09 10:00:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x09e181…
05-09 09:54:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xdcaeea…
05-09 09:46:06	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	21¢	$8	0xcb85cc…
05-09 09:44:31	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0xd1ac2f…
05-09 09:05:00	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xc4f70a…
05-05 11:20:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	43¢	$87	0xe15925…
05-05 09:27:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x355eb6…
05-05 09:23:00	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x673fa0…
05-05 06:35:02	Will JD Vance say "China" in Des Moines?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xf5a885…
05-05 06:34:56	Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" in Des Moines?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xd90f58…
05-05 06:34:46	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	No	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0xff62b1…
05-05 06:34:38	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0xf4b760…
05-05 06:21:18	Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" in Des Moines?	No	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0x7def53…
05-05 06:12:44	Will JD Vance say "China" in Des Moines?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xda2a58…
05-05 06:08:10	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xd8decf…
05-05 06:08:06	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe4a87c…
05-05 06:03:54	Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" in Des Moines?	No	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xc405e4…
05-05 06:01:40	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0x78a5f4…
05-05 05:57:58	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xbd3f9e…
05-03 12:29:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	54	38¢	$20	0x450aa5…
05-03 11:23:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0x5e71e4…
05-03 11:11:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xebcf9e…
05-03 11:06:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	53	38¢	$20	0xc5156a…
05-03 11:06:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x23b3a5…
05-03 11:02:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0x71781c…
05-03 10:59:36	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x70978a…
05-03 10:58:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	35	38¢	$13	0x24f66a…
05-03 10:39:20	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x7a5b8d…
05-03 10:39:10	Will Beyoncé be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xaad520…
05-03 10:36:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xeca87a…
05-03 10:24:14	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xccbec0…
05-03 09:42:24	Will Beyoncé be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x01b11e…
05-03 09:39:22	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x50c676…
05-03 09:22:54	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0xa50da2…
05-03 08:42:44	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xfca641…
05-03 08:35:38	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x79c00d…
05-03 08:35:38	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x587ce5…
05-03 08:35:38	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0f8963…
05-03 08:01:38	Will Zoë Kravitz be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x6c8ce8…
05-03 08:01:32	Will Bad Bunny be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x1b96f9…
05-03 08:01:24	Will Emma Chamberlain be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x0b0c1d…
05-03 08:01:20	Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 31?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x169903…
05-03 07:50:54	Will Zoë Kravitz be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x91f4d5…
05-03 06:46:20	Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 31?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xec7edf…
05-03 06:45:20	Will Emma Chamberlain be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xa26dd2…
05-03 06:39:08	Will Bad Bunny be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x2b07de…
04-29 07:50:40	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0x075b82…
04-29 06:50:54	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xbdf91c…
04-29 06:46:58	Will Comey smile in his mugshot?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xa53142…
04-29 06:25:20	Will Comey smile in his mugshot?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x8c3168…
04-29 05:42:32	James Comey charges dropped by May 31?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xd6f1cd…
04-29 05:29:24	James Comey charges dropped by May 31?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x8ff80d…
04-29 05:00:36	Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$2	0x10fb18…
04-29 05:00:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xc24545…
04-29 05:00:28	Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xce8012…
04-29 04:56:14	Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x431850…
04-29 04:50:50	Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xcdcfc2…
04-29 04:31:22	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	SELL	204	87¢	$177	0x3baa00…
04-29 04:27:56	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x236d6b…
04-29 04:22:54	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x2ceeb9…
04-29 04:16:36	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x9f2fe8…
04-29 04:14:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xae011c…
04-29 04:13:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x827067…
04-29 04:11:42	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x48cce0…
04-28 18:23:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x9679d2…
04-28 18:23:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x7eee0e…