Realized P&L
+$198
Unrealized P&L
-$65
Hit rate
25.2%
Resolved
29
Trades
571
lifetime
Volume
$39.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$33.5K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-30 00:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
38% — —
Sports
37% 61% +$214
Other
21% 0% -$15
Tech
3% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +9,485 $8,500 91¢ $8.6K +$94 10-29 17:23
Trump out as President before 2027? No +8,276 $7,919 96¢ $8.0K +$34 10-29 23:27
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +5,417 $4,935 91¢ $4.9K +$5 10-29 23:26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +4,140 $4,052 97¢ $4.0K -$28 10-29 23:02
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +1,888 $1,845 100¢ $1.9K +$39 09-14 07:56
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,262 $1,151 92¢ $1.2K +$4 10-29 17:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,107 $926 82¢ $913 -$13 10-22 12:30
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +9,359 $1,015 9¢ $880 -$135 10-29 17:49
New pandemic in 2026? No +537 $509 97¢ $519 +$10 09-13 15:42
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,300 $474 9¢ $466 -$8 10-30 00:26
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No +463 $448 89¢ $411 -$36 09-14 12:16
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +8,201 $364 4¢ $320 -$44 10-29 23:57
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +267 $261 99¢ $264 +$4 09-15 06:29
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +274 $258 92¢ $254 -$4 10-22 01:29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +230 $216 94¢ $217 +$1 10-22 07:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,107 $177 18¢ $194 +$17 10-22 05:48
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +141 $131 96¢ $135 +$4 09-12 19:13
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +4,569 $98 3¢ $128 +$30 10-30 02:22
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,193 $105 8¢ $101 -$4 10-29 17:25
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? Yes +463 $20 11¢ $52 +$32 09-13 14:12
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +274 $16 8¢ $21 +$4 10-23 16:42
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +537 $31 3¢ $18 -$13 09-14 08:33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +152 $8 6¢ $8 +$1 10-29 17:41
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +492 $9 2¢ $8 -$1 10-24 08:03
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +141 $9 4¢ $6 -$3 09-15 01:23
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +1,888 $55 0¢ $5 -$50 09-13 19:06
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +267 $7 1¢ $3 -$4 09-13 15:22