Lively-Cobweb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$954

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

7,576

Trades

14,301

lifetime

Volume

$47.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 10-31 07:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 67% -$848

Other

22% 66% -$116

Sports

1% 79% +$16

Politics

1% 9% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 920 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 14?	36	$354	207	207	+0	No	+$52	09-14 21:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 19:15 UTC	8	$229	192	167	+25	Up	+$15	06-14 19:17
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 15?	16	$226	132	132	+0	No	+$34	09-15 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 10?	10	$158	121	121	+0	No	+$79	09-10 22:54
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 7?	10	$131	93	93	+0	No	+$51	09-07 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$104	121	0	+121	Down	+$17	05-22 14:09
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$104	106	0	+106	Up	-$99	05-22 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:55 UTC	25	$103	170	71	+99	Down	+$16	06-14 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$100	148	0	+148	Down	+$48	05-22 14:59
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 17?	14	$92	57	57	+0	No	+$20	09-17 21:52
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 10?	8	$90	52	52	+0	No	+$12	09-10 20:53
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	9	$90	140	140	+0	open	—	06-01 15:42
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 9?	10	$82	46	46	+0	No	+$8	09-09 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	15	$75	94	0	+94	Up	+$19	05-26 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 09:30 UTC	22	$73	110	60	+50	Up	+$2	06-14 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 17?	8	$69	40	40	+0	No	+$9	09-17 18:52
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?	6	$68	70	70	+0	Yes	-$1	06-01 11:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 10:30 UTC	14	$68	92	50	+42	Up	-$7	06-14 10:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 18:10 UTC	34	$65	136	0	+136	Down	+$11	06-20 18:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:45 UTC	16	$64	100	60	+40	Down	+$6	06-14 08:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 10:10 UTC	22	$63	129	31	+98	Down	+$10	06-14 10:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 07:10 UTC	25	$62	158	0	+158	Down	+$29	06-14 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:35 UTC	15	$61	120	0	+120	Down	-$1	06-14 08:39
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 9?	2	$61	32	32	+0	No	+$3	08-09 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$61	44	34	+10	Down	+$2	05-22 13:44
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 5?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$1	08-05 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?	2	$60	31	31	+0	No	+$2	08-05 16:04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 22?	3	$60	43	38	+5	No	+$15	09-22 16:52
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 3?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$1	08-03 02:49
Iran leadership change by June 30?	4	$58	33	33	+0	No	-$1	05-22 01:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 07:00:00	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe06b26…
10-30 21:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0xb91e62…
10-30 21:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x69db4c…
10-29 23:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc9f39d…
10-29 23:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x9afdbc…
10-29 19:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xce5b5e…
10-28 16:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x3e8f59…
10-28 15:59:59	HYPE Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x57c239…
10-28 03:00:00	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x8b4d8f…
10-28 03:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x8779bf…
10-28 00:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xee119f…
10-27 21:00:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x3dac32…
10-27 10:00:00	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xaf8965…
10-06 13:41:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xff93ad…
10-06 13:40:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa1341a…
10-06 13:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x9863b8…
10-06 13:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0ee853…
10-06 12:03:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x8edd22…
10-05 13:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xd035ba…
10-05 13:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xcc1711…
10-04 14:15:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9ac6b9…
10-04 14:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xf2795b…
10-04 14:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	27	16¢	$4	0x5b39e3…
10-04 14:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x2d7afa…
10-04 14:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	33	12¢	$4	0xb9bde5…
10-04 14:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x70b940…
10-04 14:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x943db3…
10-04 14:06:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x3b53be…
10-04 14:05:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:05 UTC	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x96a900…
10-04 14:05:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x7ba3b2…
10-04 14:05:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x3c14ed…
10-04 14:05:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x527b04…
10-01 15:40:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xe118ba…
10-01 15:40:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x14fc4b…
10-01 15:36:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xf36545…
10-01 15:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x0e5090…
10-01 15:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7fe16a…
10-01 15:35:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x17d547…
10-01 15:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf2a333…
10-01 15:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1c3d40…
10-01 15:27:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xd2e563…
10-01 15:26:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x54f229…
10-01 15:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x5db501…
10-01 15:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe86b6e…
10-01 15:20:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x856fcd…
10-01 15:20:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0941a5…
10-01 15:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x473074…
10-01 15:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc100c1…
10-01 15:16:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x315192…
10-01 15:15:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xbfc253…
10-01 12:42:15	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6829c6…
10-01 08:16:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x91d232…
10-01 08:15:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1ea1b8…
10-01 08:12:08	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8a1e86…
10-01 08:11:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x96e818…
10-01 08:10:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x5f6552…
10-01 08:05:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x8634a2…
10-01 08:05:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x8c01a5…
10-01 08:00:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xb83f7c…
10-01 08:00:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5b1d4b…
10-01 08:00:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xe088be…
10-01 08:00:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x239a65…
10-01 08:00:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc6d7f3…
10-01 08:00:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbb0941…
10-01 08:00:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x70bf48…
10-01 08:00:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3aa2bb…
10-01 07:55:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xd34095…
10-01 07:55:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xf94f67…
10-01 07:55:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xafdaaa…
10-01 07:55:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd9d44b…
10-01 07:51:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xa2b4a6…
10-01 07:51:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xb10067…
10-01 07:50:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe7d122…
10-01 07:50:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xfc986d…
10-01 07:46:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x811e0d…
10-01 07:45:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4d8f4b…
10-01 07:45:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x291cc3…
10-01 07:45:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc26450…
10-01 07:40:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x4f5467…
10-01 07:40:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa8da76…
10-01 07:40:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x5fe696…
10-01 07:40:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5a80cd…
10-01 07:35:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x91370a…
10-01 07:35:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0656fc…
10-01 07:30:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xfe5425…
10-01 07:30:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xba6a7c…
10-01 07:25:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xbd8c67…
10-01 07:25:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x88eda4…
10-01 07:25:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x783a69…
10-01 07:25:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa7ae49…
10-01 07:20:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x59ed4d…
10-01 07:20:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x85a2ab…
10-01 07:20:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x27ced3…
10-01 07:20:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x89f279…
10-01 07:07:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x88c0f4…
10-01 07:05:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2d5ae3…
10-01 07:04:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd821c8…
10-01 07:01:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe3902a…
10-01 06:52:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x3475bb…
10-01 06:52:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x0ad466…