Lively-Cobweb — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$77

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.5%

Resolved (90d)

1,969

Trades (90d)

4,056

14,253 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$11.4K

$47.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 11-15 06:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 150 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 67% -$645

Other

22% 66% -$103

Sports

1% 79% +$16

Politics

1% 9% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 920 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 14?	36	$354	207	207	+0	No	+$52	09-14 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	8	$229	192	167	+25	Up	+$15	06-14 19:17
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 15?	16	$226	132	132	+0	No	+$34	09-15 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 10?	10	$158	121	121	+0	No	+$79	09-10 22:54
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 7?	10	$131	93	93	+0	No	+$51	09-07 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$104	121	0	+121	Down	+$17	05-22 14:09
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$104	106	0	+106	Up	-$99	05-22 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	25	$103	170	71	+99	Down	+$16	06-14 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$100	148	0	+148	Down	+$48	05-22 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6AM ET	1	$100	105	0	+105	Down	+$5	11-14 11:59
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 17?	14	$92	57	57	+0	No	+$20	09-17 21:52
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 10?	8	$90	52	52	+0	No	+$12	09-10 20:53
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	9	$90	140	140	+0	open	—	06-01 15:42
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 9?	10	$82	46	46	+0	No	+$8	09-09 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	15	$75	94	0	+94	Up	+$19	05-26 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 09:30 UTC	22	$73	110	60	+50	Up	+$2	06-14 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 17?	8	$69	40	40	+0	No	+$9	09-17 18:52
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?	6	$68	70	70	+0	Yes	-$1	06-01 11:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 10:30 UTC	14	$68	92	50	+42	Up	-$7	06-14 10:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 18:10 UTC	34	$65	136	0	+136	Down	+$11	06-20 18:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:45 UTC	16	$64	100	60	+40	Down	+$6	06-14 08:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 10:10 UTC	22	$63	129	31	+98	Down	+$10	06-14 10:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 07:10 UTC	25	$62	158	0	+158	Down	+$29	06-14 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	15	$61	120	0	+120	Down	-$1	06-14 08:39
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 9?	2	$61	32	32	+0	No	+$3	08-09 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$61	44	34	+10	Down	+$2	05-22 13:44
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 5?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$1	08-05 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?	2	$60	31	31	+0	No	+$2	08-05 16:04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 22?	3	$60	43	38	+5	No	+$15	09-22 16:52
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 3?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$1	08-03 02:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 06:59:59	XRP Up or Down - November 15, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xe5a153…
11-14 11:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x3f2490…
11-14 02:00:01	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0xf0b83c…
11-13 13:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	89	5¢	$5	0x51b8ce…
11-12 13:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x946a5c…
11-12 01:00:00	HYPE Up or Down - November 11, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xc10da2…
11-10 20:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0xdb3390…
11-10 15:00:01	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xdb76d6…
11-10 02:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x59c62c…
11-10 02:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	98	2¢	$2	0x25c638…
11-09 22:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x0f794a…
11-09 21:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xc77277…
11-08 18:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xfbccb3…
11-08 17:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xdef39e…
11-08 13:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x559933…
11-08 03:00:00	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x35f62a…
11-07 20:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x5f4088…
11-07 15:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xde78d5…
11-07 03:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x0967fe…
11-06 23:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	43	90¢	$39	0xaa4d37…
11-06 21:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	32	74¢	$24	0xcccd7c…
11-06 19:00:00	BNB Up or Down - November 6, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0xd32aae…
11-06 17:00:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xec465b…
11-06 15:00:01	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x25f9cf…
11-05 14:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	16	22¢	$4	0x70ad9c…
11-05 05:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	77	48¢	$37	0xade6b1…
11-04 10:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xc5af35…
11-04 01:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	89	23¢	$20	0x1dfa0e…
11-03 15:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x963386…
11-03 14:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x4e369c…
11-03 02:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	67	25¢	$17	0x4e26ab…
11-03 02:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x2cd920…
11-02 20:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0xd16eb8…
11-02 17:01:00	XRP Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5e2c58…
11-02 17:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	29	91¢	$27	0xdba9be…
11-02 15:00:00	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x63dd05…
11-02 12:00:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb7ed32…
10-31 19:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x6a6f0e…
10-31 18:00:00	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x32fe04…
10-31 07:00:00	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe06b26…
10-30 21:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0xb91e62…
10-30 21:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x69db4c…
10-29 23:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc9f39d…
10-29 23:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x9afdbc…
10-29 19:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xce5b5e…
10-28 16:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x3e8f59…
10-28 15:59:59	HYPE Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x57c239…
10-28 03:00:00	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x8b4d8f…
10-28 03:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x8779bf…
10-28 00:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xee119f…
10-27 21:00:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x3dac32…
10-27 10:00:00	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xaf8965…
10-06 13:41:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xff93ad…
10-06 13:40:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa1341a…
10-06 13:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x9863b8…
10-06 13:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0ee853…
10-06 12:03:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x8edd22…
10-05 13:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xd035ba…
10-05 13:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xcc1711…
10-04 14:15:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9ac6b9…
10-04 14:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xf2795b…
10-04 14:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	27	16¢	$4	0x5b39e3…
10-04 14:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x2d7afa…
10-04 14:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	33	12¢	$4	0xb9bde5…
10-04 14:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x70b940…
10-04 14:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x943db3…
10-04 14:06:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x3b53be…
10-04 14:05:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:05 UTC	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x96a900…
10-04 14:05:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x7ba3b2…
10-04 14:05:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x3c14ed…
10-04 14:05:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x527b04…
10-01 15:40:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xe118ba…
10-01 15:40:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x14fc4b…
10-01 15:36:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xf36545…
10-01 15:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x0e5090…
10-01 15:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7fe16a…
10-01 15:35:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x17d547…
10-01 15:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf2a333…
10-01 15:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1c3d40…
10-01 15:27:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xd2e563…
10-01 15:26:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x54f229…
10-01 15:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x5db501…
10-01 15:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe86b6e…
10-01 15:20:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x856fcd…
10-01 15:20:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0941a5…
10-01 15:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x473074…
10-01 15:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc100c1…
10-01 15:16:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x315192…
10-01 15:15:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xbfc253…
10-01 12:42:15	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6829c6…
10-01 08:16:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x91d232…
10-01 08:15:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1ea1b8…
10-01 08:12:08	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8a1e86…
10-01 08:11:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x96e818…
10-01 08:10:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x5f6552…
10-01 08:05:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x8634a2…
10-01 08:05:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x8c01a5…
10-01 08:00:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xb83f7c…
10-01 08:00:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5b1d4b…
10-01 08:00:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xe088be…