Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$358

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.8%

Resolved

2,081

Trades

7,872

lifetime

Volume

$21.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-05

last 10-30 09:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 146 days

Categories

Other

97% 79% +$368

Politics

2% 63% -$10

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 211 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 30?	29	$195	195	3	+192	Yes	+$2	08-30 18:41
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 12°C on September 4?	8	$186	237	176	+62	Yes	+$223	09-05 01:40
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	20	$146	149	0	+149	Yes	+$3	08-05 20:31
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 26?	44	$141	122	56	+65	Yes	-$8	09-26 19:06
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 27?	7	$135	136	1	+134	Yes	+$2	07-27 18:53
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on August 29?	63	$128	131	0	+131	No	+$3	08-29 17:49
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 23?	13	$125	64	64	+0	No	+$1	08-23 00:13
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	27	$122	125	0	+125	Yes	+$3	10-04 17:55
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on August 19?	29	$120	111	11	+100	No	+$0	08-19 19:00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 8?	13	$119	120	0	+120	Yes	+$1	08-08 20:20
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 31?	15	$118	119	1	+118	Yes	+$1	07-31 19:34
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 8?	8	$117	119	0	+119	Yes	+$2	10-08 19:58
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or below on August 31?	39	$115	104	28	+75	Yes	+$3	08-31 16:41
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 18?	20	$109	104	9	+95	No	+$1	08-18 19:23
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 12?	29	$103	122	30	+91	No	-$4	09-12 20:44
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on September 8?	3	$102	101	101	+0	Yes	+$98	09-09 05:19
Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on August 27?	31	$99	54	54	+0	No	+$5	08-26 19:36
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 19?	21	$98	99	3	+96	Yes	+$1	08-19 19:05
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 22?	16	$98	96	3	+93	No	+$1	08-22 19:00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 7?	34	$97	70	29	+41	No	+$0	08-07 17:46
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 1?	52	$84	79	35	+43	No	+$0	10-01 17:45
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	5	$83	43	43	+0	open	—	10-29 21:00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on August 29?	31	$81	61	51	+10	Yes	+$19	08-29 18:43
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 2?	7	$80	81	0	+81	No	+$1	09-02 19:26
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 4?	20	$77	77	0	+77	Yes	+$1	08-04 19:05
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on August 16?	5	$74	60	15	+45	No	+$1	08-16 00:59
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 23?	20	$74	76	5	+71	Yes	+$1	07-23 18:01
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 23?	19	$73	74	2	+72	No	+$1	07-23 18:01
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 15?	56	$73	62	13	+50	No	+$1	08-15 17:09
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on October 8?	7	$73	74	0	+74	No	+$1	10-08 20:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:25:06	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd3bfd3…
10-30 09:24:43	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2ae75f…
10-30 09:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 1?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x701228…
10-30 09:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x10d97a…
10-30 09:20:12	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x5f37fe…
10-30 08:03:46	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x2b4881…
10-30 05:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf505d5…
10-30 04:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x75c2d3…
10-30 04:08:43	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2b5a3c…
10-30 04:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 30?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x983413…
10-30 04:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcb20fe…
10-30 03:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb32637…
10-30 02:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x75f60a…
10-30 01:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 30?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x347732…
10-30 01:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x61a0ea…
10-30 01:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8ed4bd…
10-30 00:09:07	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x687da5…
10-29 23:49:54	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf7ef6a…
10-29 23:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xc8746e…
10-29 22:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3e8956…
10-29 22:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x79ac87…
10-29 22:20:25	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1e5edc…
10-29 22:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2fbf54…
10-29 22:10:13	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7f24e4…
10-29 22:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x76682f…
10-29 22:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe84d13…
10-29 21:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xfbcd03…
10-29 21:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 29?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0xfb3032…
10-29 21:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd686ea…
10-29 21:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xdace15…
10-29 21:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4f2fc0…
10-29 21:00:13	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x4f35fb…
10-29 20:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x91e82d…
10-29 20:58:13	Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x3e1001…
10-29 20:48:42	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa5027b…
10-29 20:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9b2ab…
10-29 20:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x122865…
10-29 20:28:09	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1beda7…
10-29 20:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x11e05c…
10-29 19:45:39	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0c037e…
10-29 17:53:52	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xbf6ce2…
10-29 17:52:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x03c7de…
10-29 17:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 29?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x5e0d24…
10-29 17:35:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x6e8566…
10-29 17:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x594b6c…
10-29 16:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x80db94…
10-29 16:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd050f3…
10-29 16:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb6d322…
10-29 16:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2ecd38…
10-29 16:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9daf0c…
10-29 16:37:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xeb3acc…
10-29 16:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x3e5a6a…
10-29 16:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf43e7d…
10-29 16:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe0e060…
10-29 15:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3f154a…
10-29 15:23:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x45d5ea…
10-29 15:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0d5f6d…
10-29 15:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb9c340…
10-29 14:56:23	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa0fbc7…
10-29 14:50:41	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb90b23…
10-29 14:49:55	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6792bf…
10-29 14:48:29	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xdf6802…
10-29 14:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x539326…
10-29 14:28:23	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe9993e…
10-29 14:19:50	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x02e704…
10-29 14:18:47	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x78f779…
10-29 14:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x969fb5…
10-29 14:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8bb63f…
10-29 14:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb6d09d…
10-29 14:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x21e22b…
10-29 14:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 29?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x2ad64a…
10-29 14:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xae6d56…
10-29 14:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x046d9a…
10-29 14:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2afe3f…
10-29 13:59:11	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1cf47e…
10-29 13:56:28	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0230c9…
10-29 13:54:13	Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xea4b7e…
10-29 13:54:08	Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc74e0d…
10-29 13:47:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe3cd4f…
10-29 13:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa6702a…
10-29 13:29:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 29?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xea774b…
10-29 13:29:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x479a63…
10-29 13:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd70368…
10-29 13:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3bfe78…
10-29 13:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xddeedb…
10-29 13:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5b844b…
10-29 13:12:40	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0a2019…
10-29 13:10:04	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd007d7…
10-29 13:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd40e4a…
10-29 13:08:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x6ad9ac…
10-29 13:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x3c7e52…
10-29 12:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 29?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x776283…
10-29 12:56:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe07756…
10-29 12:54:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x380ed5…
10-29 12:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xce820e…
10-29 12:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7eece3…
10-29 12:04:08	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xcbf917…
10-29 12:03:56	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x23b467…
10-29 12:03:50	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2fc69f…
10-29 10:02:28	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe13dd6…