Crafty-Baseline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$999

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

Trades

620

lifetime

Volume

$54.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

$73

1 position

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-09 16:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

41% 67% +$245

Politics

37% 100% +$841

Crypto

19% — —

Sports

4% 12% $-88

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes		-105	$-78	70¢	$-73	+$5	05-28 08:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	21	$4.4K	4,590	2,248	+2,342	open	—	04-22 19:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	42	$2.8K	2,475	1,730	+745	open	—	04-29 16:30
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	22	$2.8K	2,054	2,010	+44	open	—	05-01 10:00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	18	$2.7K	1,397	1,397	+0	open	—	04-28 15:58
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	5	$2.7K	1,572	1,572	+0	open	—	04-22 08:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	29	$2.5K	2,135	2,207	-73	open	—	05-27 09:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	20	$2.5K	1,588	1,388	+200	No	+$66	05-04 09:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	15	$2.3K	1,262	1,262	+0	open	—	04-24 19:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	27	$2.3K	1,499	1,498	+1	open	—	05-26 07:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	12	$2.3K	1,265	1,265	+0	open	—	05-27 14:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	3	$2.1K	1,201	1,201	+0	open	—	05-27 09:24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	9	$1.7K	1,024	1,024	+0	open	—	04-27 15:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	13	$1.6K	875	874	+0	open	—	05-25 17:25
megaeth fdv above 1pt4b one day after launch	8	$1.6K	1,879	59	+1,820	open	—	05-01 18:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$1.4K	2,498	2,498	+0	open	—	04-28 13:19
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	11	$1.3K	689	689	+0	open	—	04-22 19:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	30	$1.2K	2,094	2,087	+7	open	—	04-21 19:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	6	$1.1K	1,144	1,144	+0	open	—	05-18 01:20
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	26	$1.1K	785	785	+0	open	—	04-21 19:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	7	$1.0K	578	578	+0	open	—	04-27 17:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$960	793	793	+0	open	—	04-28 13:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	10	$847	474	474	+0	open	—	04-24 12:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	28	$845	1,603	1,583	+19	open	—	04-28 10:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	9	$822	428	593	-165	open	—	04-29 08:48
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	25	$776	507	507	+0	open	—	04-24 16:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	3	$616	319	319	+0	open	—	05-04 10:41
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	14	$611	497	497	+0	open	—	04-19 12:52
nba cha orl 2026 04 17	9	$604	1,697	0	+1,697	open	—	04-18 01:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	7	$604	651	201	+450	Yes	+$247	05-06 12:29
nba phi bos 2026 04 21	2	$596	337	336	+1	open	—	04-21 19:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:39:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	55	19¢	$10	0x7ecf69…
06-09 16:39:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x1b8b43…
06-08 10:44:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	55	28¢	$15	0xbf7205…
06-06 02:59:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$15	0x4925f1…
06-03 07:06:05	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x875092…
05-30 10:09:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xc68226…
05-30 09:49:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xa6192c…
05-28 08:41:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	91	68¢	$62	0x49827c…
05-28 08:16:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0x944c9a…
05-28 08:11:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xda2d76…
05-28 08:09:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0x1647f6…
05-28 08:03:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	99	74¢	$73	0xc34c00…
05-27 14:44:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xd1b0ff…
05-27 12:45:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	101	95¢	$95	0x3e6f20…
05-27 12:19:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x5d1c96…
05-27 11:59:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0xfe7365…
05-27 09:43:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x710cba…
05-27 09:43:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0xc12a22…
05-27 09:24:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,201	100¢	$1,200	0xdf2b15…
05-27 09:18:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	180	43¢	$77	0x930fa1…
05-27 07:32:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,025	78¢	$796	0x16c15c…
05-27 07:27:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	876	92¢	$806	0x3301e5…
05-27 07:04:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	177	75¢	$132	0x09d743…
05-27 07:03:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	146	92¢	$134	0x5cd504…
05-26 17:02:06	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	55	40¢	$22	0x0b5a7f…
05-26 16:54:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x31c01e…
05-26 16:14:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xefe3f8…
05-26 16:11:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	106	79¢	$84	0x1aa750…
05-26 16:10:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	177	79¢	$140	0xe49b28…
05-26 07:18:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	380	94¢	$359	0x0d2bda…
05-26 07:18:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	92	94¢	$87	0x28f8af…
05-26 03:36:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xdf2dbd…
05-26 03:34:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0xc9bdbb…
05-25 17:25:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	976	89¢	$869	0xdb6da0…
05-25 17:25:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	874	100¢	$874	0xacde87…
05-25 16:08:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x9f79a7…
05-25 15:34:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	28	86¢	$24	0xbe21aa…
05-25 15:29:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xb87f24…
05-25 15:29:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x79e596…
05-25 15:29:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	35	87¢	$30	0x8a6c64…
05-25 15:22:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	58	39¢	$23	0x206420…
05-25 15:13:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	196	89¢	$174	0x4c86f7…
05-25 15:12:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0xb3e965…
05-25 15:12:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	121	39¢	$47	0xdd3cf8…
05-25 15:07:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x0f5fac…
05-25 12:57:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7b0c02…
05-25 12:52:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa68046…
05-24 14:51:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$4	0xd7b894…
05-24 14:19:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	700	88¢	$616	0x96508a…
05-24 14:12:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,105	57¢	$630	0x4deba4…
05-24 09:12:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0xd422bd…
05-24 09:09:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	54	90¢	$49	0x013f77…
05-24 08:02:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	451	93¢	$419	0x4a8c39…
05-21 02:35:25	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Spurs	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0x15e0d5…
05-21 02:32:58	Spread: Thunder (-11.5)	Spurs	BUY	46	72¢	$33	0x46e117…
05-21 02:30:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	SELL	119	71¢	$85	0x6869fb…
05-18 05:41:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xac9ba8…
05-18 05:40:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x00b36c…
05-18 05:33:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0x4978f6…
05-18 05:33:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4c6e06…
05-18 05:30:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xd17eef…
05-18 05:29:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xac074d…
05-18 05:03:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x423fb7…
05-18 01:45:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x56b00d…
05-18 01:20:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	587	8¢	$44	0xdb32b8…
05-17 05:01:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xbc61e5…
05-15 14:50:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	114	49¢	$56	0x2ee485…
05-15 14:16:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x07a0af…
05-15 13:52:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	13	49¢	$7	0x2120f3…
05-15 11:24:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x78cab1…
05-15 11:24:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	26	48¢	$13	0x2c2554…
05-15 11:12:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	123	49¢	$60	0x51e063…
05-15 11:01:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	38	49¢	$19	0xb336f9…
05-15 11:00:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0xf35d18…
05-15 10:52:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	64	71¢	$45	0xcdc006…
05-15 10:48:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	587	28¢	$164	0x62ba89…
05-15 10:47:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	31	47¢	$15	0xfe016a…
05-15 10:30:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xb0ad81…
05-15 10:24:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	556	78¢	$435	0x8fb75b…
05-15 09:59:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0xbf289c…
05-15 08:27:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	343	87¢	$298	0x569d38…
05-15 08:20:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	173	88¢	$153	0x28bba3…
05-15 08:17:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	349	45¢	$157	0x0c8e37…
05-12 11:47:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x266613…
05-11 03:40:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xaffb21…
05-10 17:43:54	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xee17a8…
05-10 15:15:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x7c5992…
05-10 05:14:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	144	58¢	$83	0x71a45d…
05-10 04:59:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	56	58¢	$33	0x43d89c…
05-10 01:39:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x36eb06…
05-10 01:38:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	127	57¢	$73	0xd6014f…
05-09 21:15:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	59	62¢	$37	0x626fa7…
05-09 20:48:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0xc50650…
05-09 20:39:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x22c3de…
05-09 20:25:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0xc7d216…
05-09 19:32:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x536779…
05-09 19:32:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x98aa38…
05-09 19:04:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x792348…
05-09 18:58:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	28	62¢	$17	0xa1b133…
05-09 18:14:55	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Lakers	BUY	54	48¢	$26	0x4f511f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	60	$17.3M	29,294	06-10 00:08
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	60	$318.6K	2,068	06-09 18:58
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	56	$526.4K	9,304	06-10 00:17
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	48	$236.1K	20,532	06-10 00:14
(anonymous) 0x238f…3015	47	$2.18K	1,429	06-07 22:37
Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e	46	$653.7K	10,485	06-10 00:16
(anonymous) 0xa951…8a2f	45	$197.5K	2,355	06-08 18:48
Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f	45	$31.8K	9,943	05-08 10:09