Realized P&L
-$37
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
62.5%
Resolved
118
Trades
580
lifetime
Volume
$740
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$7
11 positions
First seen
2026-06-16
last 09-22 00:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Politics
57% 63% -$36
Other
36% 60% +$1
Sports
6% 78% +$1
Tech
0% 67% -$1
Crypto
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 08-02 02:10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 09-20 00:08
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-28 21:01
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 62¢ $1 $0 06-24 16:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +7 $2 11¢ $1 -$1 07-30 21:31
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 10:47
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 06-16 12:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 06-19 16:54
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 06-29 02:21
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 06-24 06:24