Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46

Unrealized P&L

+$41

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$266

7 positions

First seen

2026-06-07

last 09-30 15:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

66% 55% -$114

Other

34% 78% +$68

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	+61	$35	86¢	$53	+$18	06-27 16:10
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	No	+49	$35	94¢	$46	+$12	08-15 12:48
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	+49	$35	92¢	$45	+$10	09-21 10:10
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918	No	+54	$35	70¢	$38	+$3	09-21 10:13
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	+60	$35	53¢	$32	-$3	09-21 10:11
Blue tsunami in 2026?	No	+64	$35	41¢	$26	-$9	08-18 18:49
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	+26	$15	96¢	$25	+$10	08-05 08:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	4	$105	98	50	+48	No	+$13	06-13 08:01
iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	2	$98	64	64	+0	No	+$28	09-30 15:02
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?	2	$88	53	53	+0	No	+$17	09-30 15:02
us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	2	$84	49	49	+0	No	+$14	09-30 15:02
will russia capture svitle by october 31 20260805161409631	2	$35	53	0	+53	open	—	08-15 12:46
us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	1	$35	62	0	+62	No	+$27	08-02 20:12
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	1	$35	49	0	+49	open	—	09-21 10:10
Blue tsunami in 2026?	1	$35	64	0	+64	open	—	08-18 18:49
will iran close its airspace by august 31 20260609184136057	1	$35	64	0	+64	Yes	-$35	06-12 07:20
will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	1	$35	51	0	+51	Yes	-$35	06-12 07:21
iran closes its airspace by july 31	1	$35	51	0	+51	Yes	-$35	06-07 10:16
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918	1	$35	54	0	+54	open	—	09-21 10:13
us iran nuclear deal by july 31	1	$35	54	0	+54	Yes	-$35	06-07 10:16
will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	1	$35	50	0	+50	No	+$15	06-16 07:11
situational awareness raises new capital by august 31 20260730182353379	1	$35	55	0	+55	No	+$20	08-01 08:52
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	1	$35	62	0	+62	No	+$27	06-30 22:51
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	1	$35	51	0	+51	No	+$16	06-18 14:33
will shehbaz sharif sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950081	1	$35	64	0	+64	Yes	-$35	06-16 07:11
will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	1	$35	56	0	+56	Yes	-$35	07-09 09:36
will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	1	$35	61	0	+61	No	+$26	06-16 07:12
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	1	$35	61	0	+61	open	—	06-27 16:10
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	1	$35	59	0	+59	No	+$24	06-30 22:52
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	2	$35	53	0	+53	Yes	-$35	08-03 06:24
will russia capture novyi donbas by october 31 20260724163321936	1	$35	60	0	+60	open	—	08-04 10:32
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	1	$35	60	0	+60	open	—	09-21 10:11
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	1	$35	49	0	+49	open	—	08-15 12:48
will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	2	$35	56	0	+56	Yes	-$35	06-12 08:02
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	1	$34	44	0	+44	No	+$10	07-08 16:10
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?	1	$33	65	0	+65	Yes	-$33	09-21 10:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$33	64	0	+64	No	+$31	06-14 16:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 15:03:03	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4ea597…
09-30 15:02:50	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x173c4a…
09-30 15:02:39	Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0xe316d1…
09-30 15:02:09	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$63	0xca1f5f…
09-21 10:14:18	EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?	No	BUY	65	51¢	$33	0x8579bb…
09-21 10:13:06	us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918	No	BUY	54	65¢	$35	0x3697b1…
09-21 10:11:54	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0xae034c…
09-21 10:10:33	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	72¢	$35	0xaf22e5…
08-23 03:59:36	will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by september 30	No	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0xee0bfd…
08-19 19:32:46	will russia capture toretske by september 30 2026	No	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x991fdf…
08-18 18:49:00	Blue tsunami in 2026?	No	BUY	64	55¢	$35	0x959b3d…
08-15 12:48:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	No	BUY	49	71¢	$35	0xc60014…
08-15 12:46:10	will russia capture svitle by october 31 20260805161409631	No	BUY	23	67¢	$15	0x1b84fc…
08-15 12:45:18	will russia capture svitle by october 31 20260805161409631	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xf8d3ba…
08-12 15:04:52	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	No	BUY	53	67¢	$36	0x191f6f…
08-05 08:40:20	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x473423…
08-04 16:22:17	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	No	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0xf0f696…
08-04 10:32:54	will russia capture novyi donbas by october 31 20260724163321936	No	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0x8081d1…
08-03 06:24:29	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x982e02…
08-03 04:45:00	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x0693c7…
08-02 20:12:14	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	62	57¢	$35	0x7a107f…
08-01 12:35:26	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	24	71¢	$17	0x6b39a8…
08-01 08:54:48	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	BUY	64	55¢	$35	0x541ad2…
08-01 08:52:12	situational awareness raises new capital by august 31 20260730182353379	No	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0xcf50e5…
07-09 09:36:50	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	No	BUY	56	63¢	$35	0x27ad4b…
07-08 16:10:44	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	44	78¢	$34	0x0fc960…
06-30 22:52:10	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	BUY	59	59¢	$35	0x371243…
06-30 22:51:49	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	62	57¢	$35	0x6c5491…
06-30 22:51:20	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	49	72¢	$35	0x7f6ba2…
06-27 16:10:25	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	61	57¢	$35	0xf9361c…
06-24 11:35:55	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xf6d33d…
06-18 14:33:52	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	51	68¢	$35	0x8c28e3…
06-16 07:12:01	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	No	BUY	61	57¢	$35	0xbad158…
06-16 07:11:45	will shehbaz sharif sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950081	No	BUY	64	55¢	$35	0x006d9b…
06-16 07:11:13	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x2a87d9…
06-14 16:17:24	will jd vance sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950068	No	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0xf4c855…
06-14 16:15:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	64	51¢	$33	0x567a6c…
06-13 08:03:48	Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x01b8a1…
06-13 08:01:54	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	50	71¢	$35	0x1bfbc3…
06-12 15:01:18	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	49	71¢	$35	0xc54044…
06-12 08:02:09	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xb1b460…
06-12 07:21:51	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xa40e4d…
06-12 07:21:51	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	39	72¢	$28	0x3ba3ca…
06-12 07:21:25	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	No	BUY	51	69¢	$35	0xd85038…
06-12 07:21:09	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	45	62¢	$28	0xd54497…
06-12 07:20:48	will iran close its airspace by august 31 20260609184136057	No	BUY	64	55¢	$35	0x04273d…
06-07 10:16:43	iran closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	51	69¢	$35	0x1172ae…
06-07 10:16:12	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	54	65¢	$35	0xc713b3…