Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

101 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$39

$101 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-02

last 11-03 16:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

76% 51% -$1

Politics

20% 74% +$5

Tech

4% 75% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes		+1	$1	90¢	$1	+$0	10-30 04:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on october 16 2026	2	$2	4	+4	Down	+$1	10-16 07:24
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	2	$2	5	+5	No	-$1	09-26 08:11
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-10 19:39
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 02:45
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	10-18 18:51
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-21 14:57
will xagusd reach 62 by september 28 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-29 00:25
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 2?	1	$1	4	+4	Down	+$3	11-02 08:05
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-17 16:00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	10-28 08:28
wti closes above 89 on september 30 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-30 10:41
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-05 16:33
Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-18 00:01
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	11-03 00:07
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	10-18 10:51
will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt05 in september	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-24 11:17
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-14 17:20
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-11 15:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-15 08:08
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-22 23:38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	10-30 04:59
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $335 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-11 01:21
will tsla reach 360 by september 28 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-29 17:26
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	1	$1	3	+3	Up	+$2	09-18 15:00
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-28 00:04
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	10-27 15:49
will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-30 23:36
trump renames ai by september 30	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-25 13:53
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-27 21:22
will ewy reach 194 by september 21 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-23 08:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 16:56:01	Will AMD say "Debt" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x58e3e0…
11-03 08:15:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3?	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x05ba60…
11-03 00:07:03	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x158a59…
11-02 16:05:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8de2c8…
11-02 08:05:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8db64a…
11-02 00:05:03	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x34d288…
10-30 04:59:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1dd135…
10-28 08:28:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x070b2b…
10-28 00:04:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa54198…
10-27 15:49:35	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb13984…
10-27 07:49:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb0243d…
10-26 23:48:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x412d47…
10-23 00:09:32	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3203be…
10-22 01:42:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x02ed69…
10-21 03:11:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdf752b…
10-20 15:23:00	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x262157…
10-18 18:51:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x304b77…
10-18 10:51:24	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1ce49e…
10-18 00:01:23	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3b661c…
10-17 16:00:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x80b84e…
10-17 04:21:08	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb3fc6f…
10-16 07:24:36	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x554562…
10-16 07:24:30	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6fe163…
10-15 09:55:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe0c8ae…
10-15 01:21:11	spx up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2a688b…
10-15 01:21:05	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb2c4b7…
10-14 17:20:10	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x64e6e9…
10-14 17:06:07	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc66a2c…
10-14 09:05:38	spy up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfa780f…
10-14 01:02:03	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x981b8d…
10-13 16:03:49	xauusd up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x214ba5…
10-10 19:39:33	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xea853a…
10-10 05:45:19	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf4504a…
10-09 09:37:00	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xac0e5c…
10-08 13:07:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8154b6…
10-08 04:16:22	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x89f5a8…
10-06 04:42:39	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd9ae5c…
10-05 16:33:46	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x893e28…
10-05 00:09:20	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9772ec…
10-04 04:26:20	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4cc390…
10-02 12:53:51	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6344fa…
10-02 03:09:30	spy up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xeacafb…
10-01 16:31:50	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x344c39…
10-01 08:29:53	will the next claude haiku 4pt6 model be released by october 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc653fc…
09-30 23:36:57	will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x42c826…
09-30 10:41:03	wti closes above 89 on september 30 2026	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xabda3e…
09-30 02:30:41	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x0eafcd…
09-29 17:26:00	will tsla reach 360 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4d7caf…
09-29 09:25:51	will msft reach 517 50 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x563c73…
09-29 01:20:59	will pltr dip to 177 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x025c37…
09-29 00:25:14	will xagusd reach 62 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x15eedf…
09-28 15:38:45	Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7d828c…
09-28 05:22:21	will coin dip to 180 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x746b94…
09-27 21:22:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8234b6…
09-27 02:23:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbecbd6…
09-26 08:11:21	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1163cb…
09-26 07:55:18	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x052715…
09-25 21:55:12	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6737cb…
09-25 13:53:54	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x807fed…
09-25 05:01:11	will amzn reach 252 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x74d459…
09-24 19:23:56	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0c4318…
09-24 11:17:51	will trump say ballroom during xi jinpings state arrival	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0ef136…
09-24 11:17:08	will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt05 in september	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe8d678…
09-24 03:15:13	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x03910a…
09-23 17:39:32	Will BlackBerry say "Tailwind" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x523da6…
09-23 16:38:45	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xaa9177…
09-23 08:04:59	will ewy reach 194 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xfa0ca8…
09-23 07:53:44	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd5f79f…
09-22 23:38:59	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb2c0bf…
09-22 15:26:58	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x22fb7f…
09-22 06:58:36	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $187.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa6b46d…
09-21 22:57:18	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0c2338…
09-21 14:57:03	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe20947…
09-21 06:56:29	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $175 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1f9807…
09-20 22:23:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb6e4fd…
09-19 23:51:49	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x98f6cd…
09-19 11:02:39	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf24900…
09-19 02:45:49	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7c43d1…
09-18 15:00:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4ae27a…
09-17 23:13:07	will ewy dip to 181 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x51a30f…
09-17 02:03:36	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9da97e…
09-16 18:03:18	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7834d9…
09-16 09:31:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0b3bdd…
09-16 01:13:03	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe32727…
09-15 17:12:48	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf5d7aa…
09-15 08:08:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x53014c…
09-14 22:08:57	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe9222c…
09-14 14:02:03	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x185ee7…
09-14 05:55:03	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x52fccf…
09-13 21:53:36	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf3bcdf…
09-11 15:20:46	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xfd3563…
09-11 01:21:21	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $335 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x515e54…
09-10 17:20:31	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on September 10?	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x013cfb…
09-10 08:09:01	will abnb reach 172 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbe0fe0…
09-09 19:40:34	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa583b0…
09-09 11:39:00	Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4e5797…
09-08 10:53:52	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbf549f…
09-08 00:33:00	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x81b056…
09-07 15:51:21	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1044b0…
09-03 10:53:22	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc3b83d…