Clumsy-Hull — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$291

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

2,133

Trades

6,104

lifetime

Volume

$20.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 10-26 20:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 66% -$289

Other

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 306 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	17	$173	149	109	+40	Down	-$7	10-11 09:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 21:50 UTC	9	$173	155	66	+88	Down	-$41	02-27 21:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 21:40 UTC	6	$170	114	113	+1	Up	+$55	02-27 21:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 21:45 UTC	6	$145	86	85	+1	Down	+$25	02-27 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	14	$142	92	92	+0	Down	+$2	10-11 09:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 21:25 UTC	7	$123	70	70	+1	Down	+$16	02-27 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 21:20 UTC	7	$118	68	67	+1	Up	+$16	02-27 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	12	$115	74	74	+0	Up	-$5	10-11 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	9	$109	82	82	+0	Up	+$9	10-04 08:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:20 UTC	21	$107	90	90	+0	Up	-$3	10-03 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 21:05 UTC	7	$105	65	64	+1	Down	+$23	02-27 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	10	$103	64	64	+0	Down	+$3	10-11 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	10	$103	66	66	+0	Down	+$3	10-25 15:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 21:35 UTC	6	$101	61	61	+1	Down	+$20	02-27 21:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 21:55 UTC	5	$96	58	57	+1	Up	+$17	02-27 22:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 08:15 UTC	18	$92	75	75	+0	Up	+$2	10-18 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	18	$92	64	64	+0	Up	+$2	10-10 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	18	$91	61	61	+0	Up	+$2	10-11 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	14	$88	63	63	+0	Down	+$8	10-02 17:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:00 UTC	9	$87	120	0	+120	Down	-$87	02-27 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	8	$85	59	59	+0	Up	+$5	10-25 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	16	$83	65	65	+0	Up	+$3	10-18 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	16	$81	61	61	+0	Down	+$1	10-11 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 11:00 UTC	16	$80	47	47	+0	Down	+$0	10-03 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	10	$80	46	46	+0	Up	+$0	10-25 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	13	$75	49	49	+0	Up	+$5	10-10 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	11	$73	47	47	+0	Up	+$3	10-03 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	13	$73	48	48	+0	Down	+$3	10-03 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 20:55 UTC	6	$73	44	43	+0	Down	+$13	02-27 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	14	$73	48	48	+0	Up	+$3	10-10 11:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 20:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x27528e…
10-26 20:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x0eeecf…
10-26 20:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x6fad22…
10-26 20:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x045c6e…
10-26 20:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x81e60e…
10-26 20:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x14582a…
10-26 20:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x5a8c0b…
10-26 20:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x77985d…
10-26 20:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x58101c…
10-25 18:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x1972a3…
10-25 18:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x04e7e7…
10-25 18:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x31c332…
10-25 18:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xc8a9f2…
10-25 18:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xddef7f…
10-25 18:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x286a2f…
10-25 18:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x0c9a06…
10-25 18:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x9f6529…
10-25 18:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x29c9b6…
10-25 16:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0xd8b2b8…
10-25 16:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xbf644d…
10-25 16:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xc54ef3…
10-25 16:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x63dbfe…
10-25 15:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x6c077c…
10-25 15:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	21	46¢	$10	0x6c6fea…
10-25 15:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x5e8184…
10-25 15:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0x0c1250…
10-25 15:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x7c9590…
10-25 15:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	12	90¢	$10	0x1fecfa…
10-25 15:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x2e7c87…
10-25 15:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0xdf20bd…
10-25 15:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x5a75bf…
10-25 15:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	19	76¢	$14	0x6992b5…
10-25 15:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x3bee2b…
10-25 15:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xae8119…
10-25 15:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x69a7ec…
10-25 15:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x68a867…
10-25 15:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9dc185…
10-25 15:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xd28d8f…
10-25 15:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x312b3a…
10-25 15:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	22¢	$4	0x157346…
10-25 15:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xca7903…
10-25 15:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	23	42¢	$10	0x0a7d6c…
10-25 15:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x08b0d1…
10-25 15:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xe78ddd…
10-25 15:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x53b61b…
10-25 15:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x6d1247…
10-25 15:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf58ff8…
10-25 15:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	12	77¢	$10	0x8e9a5b…
10-25 15:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x31e9ae…
10-25 15:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xaeb2f3…
10-25 15:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x52cee5…
10-25 15:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xb7d7ca…
10-25 15:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8f23e9…
10-25 15:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x7cd929…
10-25 15:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8b025e…
10-25 15:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x31e2bd…
10-25 15:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x64fc20…
10-25 15:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x060448…
10-25 15:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x69a248…
10-25 15:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xb7c4ab…
10-25 15:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x55b03e…
10-25 15:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x33c3b1…
10-25 15:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xaba789…
10-25 15:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x1d2037…
10-25 15:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x94c272…
10-25 15:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x61fa4c…
10-25 15:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x074b6f…
10-25 15:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xe114d1…
10-25 15:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x75fa90…
10-25 15:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x80ded3…
10-25 15:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xbda22b…
10-25 15:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xa75602…
10-25 15:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x377540…
10-25 15:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0xf6c715…
10-25 15:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x540b30…
10-25 15:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0xfe70b6…
10-25 15:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xfee87e…
10-25 15:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0x1ada2b…
10-25 15:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x4080ff…
10-25 15:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0x23c4ce…
10-25 15:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xec2524…
10-25 15:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	15	77¢	$11	0x4f90a6…
10-25 15:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xae8519…
10-25 15:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0x1a3ef8…
10-25 15:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x02c714…
10-25 15:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x9a31ba…
10-25 15:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x8f1f72…
10-25 15:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xfc0f6e…
10-25 15:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7283fe…
10-25 15:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x33f95a…
10-25 15:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x610e2d…
10-25 14:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x4511d1…
10-25 14:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe26338…
10-25 14:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xa4fc1b…
10-25 14:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6179df…
10-25 14:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x2fba3f…
10-25 14:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xfe827a…
10-25 14:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4fff18…
10-25 14:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x2b23d5…
10-25 14:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2ced20…