Klutzy-Blush — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.04K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

2,329

Trades

4,954

lifetime

Volume

$148.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 10-08 19:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 133 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 68% -$1,432

Other

40% 65% -$1,511

Politics

0% 0% -$97

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	6	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$53	05-07 04:39
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	9	$3.9K	1,960	1,960	+0	Yes	+$18	05-04 15:42
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	2	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$110	06-14 18:31
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	6	$3.7K	1,977	1,977	+0	Yes	+$198	06-17 06:03
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	3	$3.5K	1,835	1,835	+0	No	+$154	05-06 15:39
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	17	$3.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$177	04-30 17:38
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	3	$2.9K	2,222	2,222	+0	No	-$1,067	06-15 17:46
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	5	$2.9K	1,741	1,741	+0	Yes	-$27	06-18 20:43
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$2.7K	1,350	1,350	+0	Yes	+$30	05-08 15:34
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	6	$2.6K	1,333	1,333	+0	No	+$16	05-04 07:35
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	3	$2.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$33	05-05 18:28
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	4	$2.3K	1,585	1,584	+0	Yes	+$526	06-15 17:54
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	30	$2.2K	1,890	1,890	+0	No	-$918	06-17 18:44
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	6	$2.1K	1,163	1,163	+0	No	+$198	05-01 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$2.1K	1,122	1,122	+0	Down	+$88	05-09 06:37
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	24	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$29	05-06 09:37
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	5	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$27	05-03 15:57
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	5	$1.8K	941	941	-0	No	+$85	05-03 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	5	$1.5K	1,507	981	+527	Up	+$29	05-09 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$1.5K	1,068	563	+505	Up	+$6	05-09 11:14
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	7	$1.5K	957	957	+0	Yes	-$34	05-05 16:51
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	14	$1.3K	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	-$451	05-09 07:36
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	1	$1.2K	1,675	0	+1,675	No	-$1,200	06-18 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$1.1K	604	604	+0	Down	+$52	05-09 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$1.0K	520	520	+0	Down	+$9	05-10 11:24
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	2	$980	649	649	+0	Yes	-$19	06-18 20:38
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	4	$938	601	601	+0	No	+$48	05-01 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$795	442	442	+0	Down	+$72	05-09 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	7	$754	686	155	+531	Down	+$85	05-09 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	4	$672	892	182	+710	Up	+$173	05-09 11:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 19:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x16f2ee…
10-08 19:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb82fbd…
10-08 19:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x4e7b00…
10-08 19:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x224ad7…
10-08 19:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x5b3783…
10-08 19:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfcdb92…
10-08 18:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe2d521…
10-08 18:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5e929c…
10-08 18:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	29	15¢	$4	0x6d4112…
10-08 18:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x7104f8…
10-08 18:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	51	42¢	$21	0xae5061…
10-08 18:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xcf2669…
10-08 18:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x7aa9e0…
10-08 18:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x4df2aa…
10-07 08:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x8ce0ef…
10-07 08:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xcc1253…
10-07 08:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x16f5fe…
10-07 08:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd2cde1…
10-07 08:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0x8a0f5d…
10-07 08:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x7806c6…
10-07 08:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3f1236…
10-07 07:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xfc07bc…
10-07 07:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x76e774…
10-07 07:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x12e3f1…
10-07 07:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xba0387…
10-07 07:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0xa4c5c1…
10-07 07:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xeacf03…
09-30 10:49:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x74b717…
09-30 10:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x68f75e…
09-30 10:26:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x66a878…
09-30 10:24:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc61ffd…
09-30 10:23:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x84c932…
09-30 10:18:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x331007…
09-30 10:14:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xd45fe8…
09-25 08:57:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe11325…
09-25 08:53:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xce3d05…
09-24 16:49:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xf78c0c…
09-24 16:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xd20964…
09-24 15:59:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x9d07a1…
09-24 15:53:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x1169bd…
09-24 15:37:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc7282d…
09-24 08:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	26	92¢	$24	0x163554…
09-24 08:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xeffb20…
09-24 08:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x04a490…
09-24 08:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x00be47…
09-24 08:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x5c31c1…
09-24 07:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x71ef80…
09-24 07:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x621854…
09-18 18:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xaaf2bc…
09-18 18:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x17912b…
09-18 18:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0xc6cedd…
09-18 18:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x547c2d…
09-18 18:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	16	96¢	$16	0x8c5048…
09-18 18:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xaa5ec4…
09-18 18:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x641b5f…
09-18 17:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc472cc…
09-18 17:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x427c7a…
09-18 17:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x9ad4ab…
09-18 17:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xa61528…
09-18 08:17:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x644ef7…
09-18 08:13:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x17ffae…
09-18 08:02:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x99521c…
09-18 07:59:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x26a125…
09-18 07:34:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xf50529…
09-18 07:29:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7566b5…
09-18 07:28:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:25 UTC	Up	SELL	17	62¢	$10	0x0e8e00…
09-18 07:27:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0x379f11…
09-18 07:23:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x1aca7f…
09-18 07:08:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:05 UTC	Down	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x7872ec…
09-18 07:08:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x726f04…
09-18 05:27:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xb8f5c9…
09-18 05:24:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 05:20 UTC	Down	SELL	34	84¢	$29	0xb662ee…
09-18 05:21:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xe92967…
09-18 05:12:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x0ab275…
09-18 05:08:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xc536b2…
09-18 05:08:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 05:05 UTC	Down	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x6b35c5…
09-18 05:07:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x53bcdb…
09-18 05:03:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0xe240cb…
09-18 05:02:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 05:00 UTC	Up	SELL	28	51¢	$14	0xb4981f…
09-18 05:01:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xa56f2d…
09-18 04:49:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x9563b8…
09-18 04:37:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xbd5dae…
09-18 04:37:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x570ca5…
09-18 04:23:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x344b12…
09-18 04:23:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x090201…
09-18 04:19:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xd0bd0c…
09-17 18:38:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9f5f50…
09-17 17:58:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:55 UTC	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x25b2bb…
09-17 17:57:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xd067ba…
09-17 17:48:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x710d8d…
09-17 17:43:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x96d011…
09-17 17:37:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	53	89¢	$47	0xa23556…
09-17 17:29:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x63d0fe…
09-17 17:28:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xba3999…
09-17 17:23:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x189d64…
09-17 17:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xac5b8a…
09-17 07:43:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xfd37db…
09-17 07:38:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x6e3000…
09-17 07:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x82c055…
09-17 07:18:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xb67e89…