Spicy-Brace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

266

Trades

427

lifetime

Volume

$6.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-14 20:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Other

86% 49% -$31

Crypto

12% 82% -$10

Sports

2% 75% -$10

Politics

0% 0% -$27

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+20	$4	4¢	$1	-$3	09-15 11:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 9 4am et	3	$373	190	190	+0	Up	+$6	01-09 09:55
atp rublev borges 2026 01 09	3	$292	150	150	+0	Rublev	+$2	01-09 08:25
sea juv cre 2026 01 12 juv	2	$183	184	0	+184	Yes	+$0	01-12 20:59
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 115 139	1	$183	183	0	+183	Yes	+$1	01-12 16:48
es2 leg vld 2026 01 11 leg	1	$180	180	0	+180	Yes	+$0	01-11 15:01
cdr alb rma 2026 01 14 rma	3	$175	216	0	+216	No	-$175	01-13 15:13
aus bri auc 2026 01 09 auc	11	$168	170	0	+170	Yes	+$2	01-09 10:16
aus mac syd 2026 01 10 syd	1	$150	150	0	+150	Yes	+$0	01-10 10:24
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$131	80	80	+0	Yes	+$28	05-12 15:48
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$109	65	65	+0	Yes	+$3	05-19 12:26
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?	3	$109	110	0	+110	Yes	+$1	09-27 20:06
spl kho ith 2026 01 09 ith	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	01-09 18:58
sea rom sas 2026 01 10 rom	1	$99	100	0	+100	Yes	+$1	01-10 18:40
wta kostyuk anisimo 2026 01 08	6	$98	80	60	+20	Kostyuk	-$1	01-08 12:01
highest temperature in hong kong on march 19 2026 28corhigher	3	$84	42	42	+0	Yes	+$0	03-19 23:51
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	2	$81	41	41	+0	Yes	+$1	04-21 09:36
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30?	1	$80	80	0	+80	Yes	+$0	08-30 16:05
ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 spo1	3	$67	29	39	-10	Yes	+$0	03-17 21:04
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	2	$62	50	50	+0	Yes	+$38	05-09 17:13
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	4	$60	40	40	+0	Yes	+$4	04-17 12:39
ssc fcb atc 2026 01 07 fcb	1	$57	60	0	+60	Yes	+$3	01-07 19:33
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	3	$52	60	18	+42	Yes	+$9	04-29 04:58
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	1	$50	100	0	+100	No	-$50	05-16 04:42
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$48	52	0	+52	Yes	+$4	04-25 13:48
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$48	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	03-26 08:54
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	1	$40	50	0	+50	Yes	+$10	04-27 05:16
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	10-14 20:22
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	10-14 17:31
bun b04 stu 2026 01 10 stu	2	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	01-10 18:48
ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 psg1	2	$39	40	0	+40	Yes	+$2	03-17 21:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 20:22:52	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x7d385d…
10-14 17:31:25	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x28e27a…
09-28 12:42:35	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	8¢	$9	0x8c58b6…
09-28 12:42:02	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	12¢	$14	0x1677eb…
09-28 12:41:35	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	15¢	$17	0x7596bd…
09-28 12:41:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	19¢	$22	0x8a5533…
09-28 12:40:44	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	22¢	$25	0xfeda5f…
09-28 12:40:17	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	15¢	$17	0x30a9b1…
09-27 20:06:48	Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xbf5dbe…
09-27 20:05:17	Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x63e65a…
09-27 20:04:21	Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0xfa5dd3…
09-24 21:51:23	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	28¢	$5	0xb21141…
09-23 07:48:13	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xaba777…
09-21 11:23:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x22a9bf…
09-21 11:14:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x1b5cb4…
09-21 11:13:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xbab7bb…
09-21 11:13:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x0785e2…
09-21 11:13:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x658ca3…
09-17 19:51:27	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x8585dd…
09-15 11:11:15	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x163e0d…
09-15 04:57:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x21567b…
09-14 08:46:25	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x16e52e…
09-14 08:45:25	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x86e9c3…
09-14 08:45:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xaf0157…
09-14 08:44:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x244c00…
09-14 08:44:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x72744c…
09-14 08:44:04	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	23¢	$21	0x18434a…
09-14 08:43:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xfc7725…
09-12 21:04:19	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	2¢	$1	0x3464e7…
09-12 19:33:25	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	6¢	$15	0xa8ecad…
09-12 15:01:30	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x5cf3ec…
09-12 13:56:24	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x104b75…
09-11 06:16:18	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5024b5…
09-10 05:24:13	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcdbe74…
09-10 05:21:39	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x1918f8…
09-10 05:19:19	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x48553a…
09-09 17:55:30	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8f65ca…
09-08 17:51:34	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xd61395…
09-07 13:40:28	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x77afbd…
09-07 13:40:22	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x169d0d…
09-07 13:29:42	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0x5613f1…
09-07 13:19:31	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8a10ff…
09-07 12:50:58	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xfcc6dc…
09-07 12:47:06	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x6e63da…
09-07 12:45:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x24a252…
09-07 12:45:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0x76f0c0…
09-07 12:44:40	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x735527…
09-07 12:43:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	2¢	$1	0x7d6627…
09-07 12:43:31	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x61bb4e…
09-07 12:43:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0xcda9fc…
09-07 12:42:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	18¢	$15	0x63fc7a…
09-07 12:42:01	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	24¢	$20	0xb53dc1…
09-07 12:41:39	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	25¢	$21	0x90538a…
08-30 16:05:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x2e9daf…
08-29 20:25:25	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb4929b…
08-13 18:08:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	8¢	$6	0xe7f02c…
08-13 18:07:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	16¢	$13	0x88be3b…
08-13 18:06:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	27¢	$22	0x47c04e…
08-13 18:06:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xcd51de…
08-13 18:06:09	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	16¢	$13	0x276cb6…
07-23 03:30:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	9¢	$3	0x4e7ca5…
07-22 12:32:18	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xe99ba3…
07-22 12:31:36	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0x3a9a4c…
07-22 12:31:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xc830cb…
07-22 12:30:28	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	12¢	$9	0x039c01…
07-22 12:30:01	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	15¢	$11	0x545154…
07-22 12:29:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	16¢	$12	0xd7bb78…
07-22 12:29:13	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	16¢	$12	0xa99f32…
07-22 12:28:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	12¢	$9	0x763c3a…
07-13 18:27:32	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0xdfb200…
07-13 18:27:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0xcc3b23…
07-13 18:26:59	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	18¢	$11	0x5e4dbf…
07-13 18:26:43	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x9a74a7…
07-13 18:26:11	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	13¢	$8	0x05ec5b…
06-18 20:23:19	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x1f719e…
06-17 20:25:22	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x6c95a0…
06-17 20:25:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x4397f5…
06-17 20:24:43	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x5d4da7…
06-17 20:24:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x212409…
06-17 20:24:13	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x89ac0a…
06-17 20:20:29	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xde26ae…
06-09 18:01:01	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xe0fb67…
06-08 14:08:15	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	23¢	$6	0x3a48a0…
06-08 14:07:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	59¢	$16	0x296dce…
06-08 14:07:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	13¢	$4	0x56c8f2…
06-08 14:05:42	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x931374…
06-08 14:05:15	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xe762fe…
06-08 14:04:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xb7add7…
06-08 14:03:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xb7a346…
06-08 14:03:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$11	0xdd6eb9…
06-08 14:03:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x624840…
06-08 14:02:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xddfce7…
05-29 21:41:19	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x2c371d…
05-29 21:40:48	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0xfe5e85…
05-29 21:40:34	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x79b7b2…
05-29 21:40:13	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0xf12ad3…
05-29 21:39:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x5031d4…
05-29 21:39:38	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	4¢	$2	0xe3c075…
05-29 21:39:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	4¢	$2	0x5a8c73…
05-29 21:39:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	5¢	$3	0x681bbd…