Bare-Poncho — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.16K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.3%

Resolved

331

Trades

1,391

lifetime

Volume

$62.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-11 12:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

76% 49% -$1,427

Crypto

15% 62% +$47

Politics

5% 40% -$619

Sports

4% 36% -$158

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on march 4 2026	86	$8.7K	6,943	7,104	-162	Up	-$342	03-04 18:03
googl up or down on march 4 2026	336	$3.1K	2,900	2,900	+0	Down	-$158	03-04 19:41
spx opens up or down on march 5 2026	62	$2.5K	2,268	2,268	+0	Down	-$144	03-05 13:56
spx up or down on february 26 2026	8	$2.2K	3,052	1,300	+1,752	Down	-$140	02-26 17:28
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	3	$2.2K	1,645	1,250	+395	Yes	-$377	02-27 20:14
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	4	$2.2K	1,117	1,117	+0	No	-$3	02-27 09:19
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2.0K	1,027	1,027	+0	Yes	+$0	02-27 09:19
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$2.0K	1,006	1,006	+0	No	-$1	02-27 09:18
spx up or down on march 2 2026	14	$1.6K	1,973	2,273	-300	Up	-$167	03-02 19:58
googl up or down on february 27 2026	24	$1.5K	1,705	1,700	+5	Up	-$224	02-27 19:31
pltr up or down on february 26 2026	10	$1.2K	800	800	+0	Up	+$20	02-26 20:34
spx opens up or down on february 27 2026	21	$1.2K	1,238	1,238	+0	Down	-$14	02-27 12:51
spx opens up or down on february 24 2026	14	$1.1K	755	755	+0	Down	-$129	02-24 14:30
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	16	$1.0K	1,479	1,301	+178	No	+$27	03-19 03:23
bun bay wol 2026 01 11 bay	2	$1.0K	562	562	+0	Yes	+$6	01-11 17:23
epl wol liv 2026 03 03 liv	4	$918	765	606	+159	No	-$82	03-03 21:05
epl wol ars 2026 02 18 ars	4	$873	519	519	+0	No	+$73	02-18 20:37
coin up or down on march 5 2026	19	$843	789	711	+78	Down	+$174	03-05 17:45
meta up or down on february 26 2026	13	$836	700	700	+0	Up	+$40	02-26 19:59
spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	20	$829	665	662	+3	Down	+$3	03-06 12:38
nflx up or down on march 5 2026	14	$794	1,100	1,100	+0	Up	-$70	03-05 20:40
nvda up or down on march 3 2026	8	$792	1,716	1,716	+0	Down	+$40	03-03 20:07
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	1	$770	0	1,384	-1,384	No	+$770	01-02 00:02
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	36	$755	400	400	+0	Up	+$5	02-18 13:11
spx opens up or down on february 26 2026	23	$753	684	684	+0	Down	+$14	02-26 12:50
ndx up or down on march 6 2026	51	$740	409	409	+0	Down	+$12	03-06 17:09
googl up or down on february 25 2026	8	$678	450	450	+0	Up	+$12	02-25 20:45
coin up or down on march 6 2026	32	$617	425	425	+0	Down	+$11	03-06 14:49
spx up or down on february 27 2026	19	$598	2,200	1,700	+500	Down	-$258	02-27 16:52
spx opens up or down on march 3 2026	2	$594	300	300	+0	Down	+$2	03-03 09:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 12:01:09	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,000	2¢	$69	0xc59d6f…
06-10 17:19:00	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	280	10¢	$29	0x8e635e…
05-31 12:13:34	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	280	10¢	$28	0xa3d944…
05-31 10:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x473b8d…
05-31 10:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x848f05…
05-31 09:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x272428…
05-31 09:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf9bd2c…
05-30 10:25:08	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	28	58¢	$16	0x3d1097…
05-30 10:24:51	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	166	10¢	$17	0x52933e…
05-19 17:07:28	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	166	8¢	$14	0xe8644f…
05-14 15:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x1f930d…
05-14 15:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x643a9c…
05-14 15:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x384e8f…
05-14 11:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	26	64¢	$17	0x7498c2…
05-14 11:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x11407c…
05-14 11:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xf99999…
05-14 10:46:40	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0xf37f57…
05-14 10:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0xcf20c0…
05-14 10:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x7c395f…
05-14 09:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x9b7c56…
05-14 09:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a36ea…
05-14 08:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x501065…
05-13 22:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1044c2…
05-13 22:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x2d98b6…
05-13 21:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x5dcb8e…
05-13 21:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xfc4e04…
05-13 21:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	13	80¢	$11	0x029363…
05-13 21:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xae9b04…
05-13 21:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb05924…
05-13 20:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x406886…
05-13 20:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x8043a0…
05-13 20:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x19c591…
05-13 20:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7c3cee…
05-13 18:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x0b8729…
05-13 18:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	62	47¢	$29	0x3959f6…
05-13 18:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x802517…
05-13 17:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0xeb2e57…
05-13 17:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xd2c832…
05-13 17:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf170e7…
05-13 17:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xc710cc…
05-13 17:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x32c728…
05-13 16:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2af35d…
05-13 14:32:58	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	641	8¢	$51	0xb0b0f0…
05-13 14:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x0f5bbe…
05-13 12:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x3ed26e…
05-13 11:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x36bbf0…
05-13 11:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb41d0e…
05-13 11:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x9966d8…
05-13 10:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x2f556b…
05-13 09:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x4da495…
05-13 09:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe1f11c…
05-13 08:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0xc6aa22…
05-13 08:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf7a06f…
05-13 08:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x33c86d…
05-12 22:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xc16ddb…
05-12 21:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x04d03e…
05-12 21:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0xea24ef…
05-12 21:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x21fc7b…
05-12 21:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x47cd3f…
05-12 21:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2e4ef2…
05-12 21:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xf2c901…
05-12 20:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xb9b90e…
05-12 20:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	28	43¢	$12	0x4a1e9f…
05-12 20:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x57b783…
05-12 20:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0xbfb3e6…
05-12 20:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xe4e95f…
05-12 19:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	34	93¢	$32	0x0099af…
05-12 19:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	47	12¢	$6	0x3c8ddd…
05-12 19:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x5f6cd2…
05-12 19:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x48ca06…
05-12 19:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x28c2a8…
05-12 19:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	56	3¢	$2	0xf9eba7…
05-12 19:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x111ae1…
05-12 19:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x65bf70…
05-12 18:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xac8277…
05-12 18:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x259263…
05-12 17:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	86	47¢	$40	0xefc828…
05-12 17:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	15¢	$4	0xbd8d00…
05-12 17:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xb8d8f4…
05-12 17:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	43	55¢	$23	0xaa6efb…
05-12 17:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x66a696…
05-12 17:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x09eaf9…
05-12 17:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x0d25c4…
05-12 17:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x7c4884…
05-12 17:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x0dea85…
05-12 17:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x123875…
05-12 17:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xf04372…
05-12 16:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xca3433…
05-12 16:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	40	70¢	$28	0x95a189…
05-12 16:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x0f0d00…
05-12 16:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x86d2bf…
05-12 15:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x15b897…
05-12 15:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x770f38…
05-12 15:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe94de6…
05-12 15:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x84c95e…
05-12 15:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x612913…
05-12 15:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x08e139…
05-12 14:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x29adc9…
05-12 14:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x4b3bc7…
05-12 13:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x3cc321…