Handy-Schema — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

22.1%

Resolved

Trades

270

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-18

last 06-22 11:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

54% — —

Politics

38% 20% $-24

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No		+5	$5	97¢	$5	+$0	06-22 11:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	4	$517	264	264	+0	open	—	04-14 06:15
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	9	$504	336	336	+0	open	—	03-28 13:17
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	8	$488	249	249	+0	open	—	04-12 17:26
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	10	$470	403	403	+0	open	—	04-13 15:21
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	4	$369	364	364	+0	open	—	03-20 05:16
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	2	$276	141	141	+0	open	—	04-30 20:53
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$272	142	142	+0	open	—	04-21 07:17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	8	$269	310	310	+0	open	—	04-26 15:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	7	$266	369	369	+0	No	$-10	05-07 07:12
will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$261	134	134	+0	open	—	04-06 07:05
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	3	$261	133	133	+0	open	—	04-22 21:26
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$260	132	132	+0	open	—	04-09 20:40
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$260	131	131	+0	open	—	04-09 18:06
will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	2	$251	127	127	+0	open	—	03-26 02:18
Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	4	$251	127	127	+0	open	—	04-25 17:09
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	3	$249	134	134	+0	open	—	04-18 22:36
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	8	$249	595	595	+0	No	$-5	04-26 01:16
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	6	$247	134	134	+0	open	—	04-20 20:14
will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$244	125	125	+0	open	—	03-27 15:58
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	7	$240	441	441	+0	open	—	05-07 04:18
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 3 6	2	$239	124	124	+0	open	—	04-11 03:03
will justin thomas win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$237	120	120	+0	open	—	04-08 14:55
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	5	$236	128	128	+0	open	—	04-10 10:27
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	4	$231	118	118	+0	open	—	04-26 11:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$231	119	119	+0	No	+$0	05-08 02:49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$231	117	117	+0	open	—	05-13 03:26
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$229	150	150	+0	open	—	03-23 05:05
taylor swift pregnant by march 31	3	$228	115	115	+0	open	—	03-25 02:58
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	2	$227	115	115	+0	open	—	03-25 14:49
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	3	$226	115	115	+0	open	—	04-30 10:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 11:31:53	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xee9158…
05-19 19:22:27	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	46	5¢	$2	0x832479…
05-18 22:25:41	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	37	4¢	$2	0xea4075…
05-13 06:37:55	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xa7ccbc…
05-13 06:37:55	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x36c882…
05-13 03:26:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	117	99¢	$115	0x259fda…
05-13 03:24:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	117	99¢	$115	0x8753ca…
05-12 12:04:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	140	5¢	$8	0xbb0cdd…
05-12 09:33:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0xea4b01…
05-12 09:33:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	97	5¢	$5	0xe63bbb…
05-10 15:12:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	82	1¢	$1	0x2e159a…
05-10 14:51:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	110	2¢	$2	0xfc5da4…
05-10 12:34:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xa4c108…
05-10 12:34:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$2	0x48b3db…
05-10 07:02:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	108	96¢	$104	0x2de6cb…
05-10 05:37:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0xa34e25…
05-10 05:37:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0x2ccd4c…
05-09 16:22:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	195	3¢	$7	0xcd217e…
05-09 14:35:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0xaadbd8…
05-09 14:35:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	4¢	$3	0x33068b…
05-09 03:28:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	146	2¢	$3	0xacf846…
05-09 01:31:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0xecfa9a…
05-09 01:31:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	51	3¢	$1	0x0adb6e…
05-09 01:31:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xbbf01e…
05-08 06:28:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	58	97¢	$56	0xc25dc8…
05-08 06:27:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0x0d472f…
05-08 02:49:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	119	97¢	$116	0x892d22…
05-08 00:35:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	119	97¢	$115	0x741826…
05-07 07:12:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	5¢	$5	0x8d90b0…
05-07 07:12:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	6¢	$7	0x5da80e…
05-07 04:21:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x5f8616…
05-07 04:21:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	5¢	$4	0x27322c…
05-07 04:21:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0x0d23eb…
05-07 04:18:23	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	112	1¢	$1	0xcf0643…
05-07 04:18:23	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	84	1¢	$1	0x522ff5…
05-07 04:18:22	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	62	1¢	$0	0xffce41…
05-07 04:18:22	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	65	1¢	$0	0xd65cf4…
05-06 23:39:00	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	323	2¢	$5	0xea6f64…
05-06 21:05:32	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	118	99¢	$116	0x6b5e78…
05-06 18:13:39	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0x33289a…
05-06 10:50:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	153	76¢	$116	0xb809cb…
05-06 09:47:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	153	83¢	$127	0x243057…
05-02 00:54:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	6¢	$5	0xf0b0d0…
05-02 00:54:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	6¢	$5	0x8cd83c…
05-02 00:54:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	6¢	$5	0x71b28a…
05-02 00:54:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	6¢	$6	0x6e4dcb…
05-01 21:34:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	382	8¢	$29	0xdebfd6…
05-01 17:22:18	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xfa2e0e…
05-01 17:22:18	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$78	0x3f10c2…
05-01 11:26:52	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	96	98¢	$94	0xd71ca3…
05-01 11:26:52	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7ef1c3…
05-01 09:28:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0x419553…
05-01 09:27:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	228	5¢	$12	0x340b1f…
05-01 06:54:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	257	6¢	$14	0x173dfb…
04-30 20:53:30	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	141	97¢	$137	0x4fe236…
04-30 18:44:44	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	141	98¢	$139	0x27617c…
04-30 10:42:52	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x281654…
04-30 10:42:50	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0xe0ae7d…
04-30 07:47:30	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	115	98¢	$113	0xbe880b…
04-29 20:27:08	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xf4a814…
04-29 20:27:06	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x84aa51…
04-29 15:53:20	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0x079cdb…
04-29 15:49:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0xf408a7…
04-29 15:49:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	2¢	$1	0x4a723e…
04-29 15:49:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	2¢	$1	0x3a604a…
04-29 15:49:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	2¢	$2	0x37235a…
04-29 15:49:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x09e0e8…
04-29 12:03:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	342	3¢	$9	0x9a12f9…
04-27 13:37:20	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0xa39973…
04-27 13:36:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	335	2¢	$7	0x1be537…
04-27 13:35:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	BUY	367	2¢	$8	0x535eba…
04-27 06:53:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	59	99¢	$59	0xa59aaf…
04-27 06:53:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x37692c…
04-27 03:05:48	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	89	98¢	$87	0xb2c620…
04-27 00:03:36	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	65	1¢	$1	0x75da93…
04-27 00:03:36	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	119	1¢	$1	0x710839…
04-27 00:03:36	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	108	1¢	$1	0x4aab48…
04-26 21:34:14	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	292	1¢	$3	0x8a2474…
04-26 15:45:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	76	2¢	$2	0xfe9bd9…
04-26 14:06:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	95	2¢	$2	0x8f0f0e…
04-26 12:01:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	144	2¢	$3	0x7f4f35…
04-26 12:01:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x24f92f…
04-26 11:57:30	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xd850f6…
04-26 08:58:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x5d7977…
04-26 08:58:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x22fbe3…
04-26 03:43:18	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	118	98¢	$115	0xf4ebda…
04-26 01:16:26	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x6b5526…
04-26 01:16:24	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x3cddfd…
04-25 20:56:58	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x682666…
04-25 20:56:58	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x3798b1…
04-25 17:09:48	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xbd0fcf…
04-25 17:09:48	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0xbce7ee…
04-25 13:12:22	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x2a7084…
04-25 13:12:22	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x172364…
04-25 12:09:08	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x3d2f62…
04-25 12:09:08	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	310	1¢	$3	0x11b678…
04-25 07:39:44	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	330	1¢	$4	0xb2907b…
04-25 05:25:42	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	366	2¢	$6	0xdaf238…
04-25 00:38:16	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	366	2¢	$8	0x3ed940…
04-23 14:02:26	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0xcb7456…