Youthful-Carrot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-21 06:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 100% +$3

Other

35% 100% +$2

Tech

9% 100% +$2

Sports

6% 100% +$1

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No		+17	$16	96¢	$16	+$0	10-05 11:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$360	289	72	+217	No	+$1	01-28 06:47
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$267	267	0	+267	No	+$0	02-05 06:32
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$265	265	0	+265	No	+$0	05-13 11:39
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	1	$263	264	0	+264	No	+$1	04-02 13:25
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	1	$255	257	0	+257	Yes	+$2	06-01 12:30
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$243	244	0	+244	No	+$1	03-10 15:28
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$241	241	0	+241	No	+$0	05-20 13:56
will ethereum dip to 1400 in january 2026 585	1	$218	218	0	+218	No	+$0	01-29 09:03
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	1	$182	183	0	+183	No	+$1	07-17 12:55
will solana reach 140 in july 2026	1	$173	173	0	+173	No	+$0	07-22 14:37
will solana reach 160 in august 2026	1	$121	121	0	+121	No	+$0	08-03 07:35
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	1	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	01-28 06:47
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	09-01 10:38
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	10-05 11:42
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-21 06:07
Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	02-05 06:32
nflx above 200 on march 31 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	03-15 14:42
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	10-05 11:40
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	2	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-28 09:45
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	09-01 10:39
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	03-29 13:22
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	06-14 12:26
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on June 1?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	06-01 12:28
will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in june 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	06-24 15:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-13 11:40
Will Solana reach $200 in September?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	09-19 14:21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	08-03 07:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 06:07:23	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1faae3…
10-05 11:42:04	Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe5c908…
10-05 11:40:56	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x4ef277…
09-19 14:21:29	Will Solana reach $200 in September?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6ace32…
09-01 10:39:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc1699a…
09-01 10:38:58	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbde241…
08-03 07:36:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa37d83…
08-03 07:35:11	will solana reach 160 in august 2026	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xfa2875…
07-22 14:37:34	will solana reach 140 in july 2026	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x0e6b3d…
07-17 12:55:52	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	183	99¢	$182	0xe2eca4…
06-24 15:30:55	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in june 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xaf6a0b…
06-14 12:26:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2481c3…
06-01 12:30:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	257	99¢	$255	0x770ebd…
06-01 12:28:20	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on June 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa077f8…
05-20 13:56:55	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0x712e42…
05-13 11:40:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x54b176…
05-13 11:39:48	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0xa73c34…
04-28 09:45:16	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x25c86c…
04-02 13:27:01	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x07ce66…
04-02 13:25:29	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	264	100¢	$263	0x558b39…
03-29 13:22:30	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34cd51…
03-15 14:42:07	nflx above 200 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x727d96…
03-10 15:28:17	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	244	100¢	$243	0x783bf6…
02-05 06:32:57	Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x98ef63…
02-05 06:32:15	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	267	100¢	$267	0xd9f772…
01-29 09:03:58	will ethereum dip to 1400 in january 2026 585	No	BUY	218	100¢	$218	0xc87ed4…
01-28 06:47:57	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x8b281f…
01-28 06:47:35	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xe0ee50…
01-09 08:27:40	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	289	100¢	$288	0x5a031c…