Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$140

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

621

Trades

1,000

lifetime

Volume

$2.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-20

last 08-21 09:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 75% -$104

Other

6% 64% -$40

Tech

3% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	3	$100	190	90	+100	Yes	-$28	07-20 15:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 16:45 UTC	32	$68	0	130	-130	Down	+$3	08-11 16:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 17:45 UTC	24	$55	0	110	-110	Up	$0	08-11 17:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 18:00 UTC	22	$55	0	120	-120	Down	-$5	08-11 18:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 17:15 UTC	21	$51	0	100	-100	Up	+$1	08-11 17:28
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?	2	$46	50	50	+0	Yes	+$4	07-24 02:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 18:15 UTC	21	$43	0	80	-80	Down	+$3	08-11 18:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 19:45 UTC	11	$43	0	60	-60	Up	+$3	08-11 19:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 21:45 UTC	17	$40	0	80	-80	Up	$0	08-11 21:59
bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 4pm et	16	$38	76	0	+76	Down	-$2	07-27 20:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 03:15 UTC	13	$35	0	65	-65	Up	+$0	08-12 03:21
bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 11am et	13	$34	63	0	+63	Down	$0	07-27 15:34
bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 6pm et	10	$30	25	25	+0	Down	-$1	07-27 22:13
bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 8am et	6	$28	50	0	+50	Down	-$3	07-27 12:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 17:30 UTC	11	$25	0	50	-50	Up	+$0	08-11 17:43
bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 1pm et	11	$25	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	07-27 17:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 16:00 UTC	7	$24	0	40	-40	Down	+$5	08-11 16:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 20:30 UTC	5	$23	0	40	-40	Up	+$3	08-11 20:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 21:00 UTC	10	$21	0	40	-40	Up	+$1	08-11 21:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 20:15 UTC	2	$20	0	40	-40	Down	+$0	08-11 20:29
ethereum up or down july 27 2026 2pm et	6	$19	25	5	+20	Down	+$0	07-27 18:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 03:30 UTC	5	$18	0	32	-32	Up	-$2	08-12 03:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 20:45 UTC	17	$18	0	37	-37	Up	$0	08-11 20:59
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	3	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-23 12:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 19:30 UTC	6	$17	0	40	-40	Up	-$3	08-11 19:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 21:15 UTC	8	$17	0	40	-40	Down	-$3	08-11 21:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 01:00 UTC	7	$16	0	30	-30	Up	+$1	08-12 01:08
bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 5pm et	8	$16	25	5	+20	Down	+$0	07-27 21:12
bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 9am et	6	$15	30	0	+30	Up	$0	07-27 13:16
ethereum up or down july 27 2026 4pm et	6	$15	30	0	+30	Down	$0	07-27 20:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 09:24:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x55a695…
08-21 05:44:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x0f5535…
08-21 05:34:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe30089…
08-21 04:59:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x568902…
08-21 04:54:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xa4cb6c…
08-21 04:44:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x37cb1a…
08-21 04:09:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x3caa60…
08-21 03:29:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xef962c…
08-21 02:54:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x456ba3…
08-21 02:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x7d440c…
08-20 23:34:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xa80f0b…
08-20 22:14:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x847701…
08-20 21:09:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xc1bd3a…
08-20 20:44:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x593875…
08-20 18:39:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xd7b52c…
08-20 18:29:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf62591…
08-20 17:34:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xf5a71b…
08-20 17:19:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8c4cf4…
08-20 16:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf0105b…
08-20 14:59:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x6ee36d…
08-20 14:44:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xe8e346…
08-20 13:24:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x32a462…
08-20 11:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xabeea1…
08-20 10:04:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xcd90e7…
08-20 09:24:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x2e8544…
08-20 06:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x9e1a28…
08-20 06:14:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x9fbe90…
08-20 02:49:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x45c4ed…
08-20 02:14:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x3b7d9b…
08-20 01:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x469048…
08-20 01:24:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x15b493…
08-20 01:19:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x000a74…
08-20 00:24:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x17c613…
08-19 23:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x931817…
08-19 23:04:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x4ecfa4…
08-19 22:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x43125a…
08-19 20:59:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x43ca1c…
08-19 18:39:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x055fb6…
08-19 18:29:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xa2f7c0…
08-19 18:04:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xa30ec3…
08-19 17:14:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x54ca06…
08-19 16:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x6012d3…
08-19 15:44:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xbd3b24…
08-19 14:29:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x7ac1b4…
08-19 14:14:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x520ac1…
08-19 08:09:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x93f659…
08-19 08:04:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x51d62f…
08-19 06:44:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x771e7c…
08-19 06:34:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x2fa8c6…
08-19 04:39:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x75b0e0…
08-19 03:54:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xa3cbdf…
08-19 03:49:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xddc3a3…
08-19 01:49:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x3ecf91…
08-19 01:49:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x18814c…
08-19 01:24:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x478985…
08-19 00:19:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x8f8dae…
08-19 00:09:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x61b284…
08-18 23:09:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x3ecf0c…
08-18 22:39:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x5af7f8…
08-18 22:19:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0xce8393…
08-18 16:24:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xa7740a…
08-18 15:49:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x50f77b…
08-18 13:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xf7f013…
08-18 12:09:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xaf9f50…
08-18 11:59:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xdf346d…
08-18 09:29:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x5fcde7…
08-18 05:19:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x77a775…
08-18 03:59:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x79d3be…
08-18 01:59:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb4cc5f…
08-18 00:49:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa10fcc…
08-18 00:24:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x12dc69…
08-17 21:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x9da5d2…
08-17 21:14:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x43bae1…
08-17 21:04:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xae1691…
08-17 19:24:22	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x1a1e94…
08-17 19:24:19	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x695002…
08-17 19:24:18	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x39c77b…
08-17 19:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x47d862…
08-17 19:09:36	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x812de8…
08-17 19:09:33	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x47469f…
08-17 19:09:22	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x4eaa5c…
08-17 19:04:27	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xe267a9…
08-17 18:59:36	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x45175f…
08-17 18:54:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x6b27c5…
08-17 18:39:30	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x0b2e39…
08-17 18:04:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x879846…
08-17 17:59:27	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xb3a67b…
08-17 17:54:22	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xfc424e…
08-17 17:54:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x43634e…
08-17 17:09:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x805d47…
08-17 17:09:21	Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xc6d566…
08-17 16:29:46	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x50aec4…
08-17 16:24:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xa15125…
08-17 16:19:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x40e5fb…
08-17 16:09:25	Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xd00468…
08-17 16:09:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x238777…
08-17 15:44:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb1d3ef…
08-17 15:39:30	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xddbdc6…
08-17 15:34:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xffb413…
08-17 15:24:30	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x2b3e59…