Playful-Softdrink — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-18 15:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

62% 96% +$5

Crypto

33% 69% -$6

Politics

5% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+14	$14	100¢	$14	+$0	10-18 15:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 160 179	1	$150	150	+150	No	+$0	04-09 11:31
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 180 199	1	$149	149	+149	No	+$0	04-09 01:53
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	1	$149	149	+149	No	+$0	04-20 07:42
ethereum above 2600 on april 15	1	$148	148	+148	No	+$0	04-15 03:12
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?	1	$148	148	+148	No	+$0	04-26 02:38
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 80 99	1	$146	146	+146	No	+$0	03-24 02:11
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 160 179	1	$145	145	+145	No	+$0	04-03 11:23
will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	1	$145	145	+145	No	+$0	03-19 03:06
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	1	$144	144	+144	No	+$0	06-07 09:48
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in May 2026?	1	$144	144	+144	No	+$0	05-26 01:54
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 28?	1	$143	143	+143	No	+$0	05-28 11:01
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 120 139	1	$143	143	+143	No	+$0	03-06 02:37
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	1	$143	143	+143	No	+$0	05-23 06:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?	1	$143	143	+143	Yes	+$0	05-12 09:11
ethereum above 3200 on january 25	1	$143	143	+143	No	+$0	01-25 06:34
bitcoin above 100k on january 21	1	$143	143	+143	No	+$0	01-20 09:01
bitcoin above 86k on january 13	1	$142	143	+143	Yes	+$0	01-13 10:51
will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	1	$142	142	+142	No	+$0	02-13 07:58
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 620 639	1	$142	142	+142	No	+$0	02-05 08:37
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 280 299	1	$142	142	+142	No	+$0	02-02 02:18
bitcoin above 96k on january 30	1	$142	142	+142	No	+$0	01-29 09:05
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 120 139	1	$140	140	+140	No	+$0	03-11 08:42
bitcoin above 88k on january 6	1	$140	140	+140	Yes	+$0	01-06 03:33
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	1	$96	96	+96	No	+$0	05-01 09:04
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$49	49	+49	No	+$0	05-01 08:47
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	08-28 15:14
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	07-19 10:20
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$14	14	+14	open	—	10-18 15:06
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$12	13	+13	No	+$0	09-02 11:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 2?	1	$3	1,304	+1,304	Yes	-$3	05-01 08:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 15:06:38	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6f120a…
10-18 14:56:36	Ravens vs. Browns	Ravens	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9958a2…
09-02 11:21:45	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x47bc3a…
09-02 11:13:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xfbbccc…
08-28 15:14:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x24402f…
07-19 10:20:34	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x380e9b…
06-07 09:48:48	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x9440ff…
05-28 11:01:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 28?	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x115e70…
05-26 01:54:14	Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x4c222d…
05-23 06:24:47	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xf39318…
05-12 09:11:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x9f08ac…
05-12 09:01:37	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x91b7ba…
05-01 09:04:46	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x1f27bd…
05-01 08:48:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	1,304	0¢	$3	0x5bceb3…
05-01 08:47:22	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x312149…
04-26 02:38:54	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x47c67d…
04-20 07:42:14	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x9e59ec…
04-15 03:12:22	ethereum above 2600 on april 15	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0xc14305…
04-15 03:06:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 15	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$2	0xef1c65…
04-09 11:31:11	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 160 179	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x746570…
04-09 01:53:35	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 180 199	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0xc40a57…
04-03 11:23:39	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x942649…
04-03 11:23:23	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 160 179	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x186a19…
03-24 02:11:05	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 80 99	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x637e7c…
03-19 03:06:11	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x62248f…
03-11 08:44:05	no change in bank of englands interest rates after march 2026 meeting 453	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xfe3035…
03-11 08:43:57	will annual inflation increase by 2pt1 in february 694 291 362 384	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x182701…
03-11 08:43:49	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7143d6…
03-11 08:42:01	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 120 139	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x0bc54c…
03-06 02:37:21	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe834bc…
03-06 02:37:13	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 120 139	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x1dc8e7…
02-13 07:58:13	will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xc323ee…
02-05 08:37:21	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 620 639	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xf52e9e…
02-02 02:18:44	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 280 299	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x4f87b1…
01-29 09:05:56	bitcoin above 96k on january 30	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x3b4f7b…
01-26 09:39:53	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf78f26…
01-25 06:34:32	ethereum above 3200 on january 25	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x0c6067…
01-20 09:01:12	bitcoin above 100k on january 21	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x8b73bc…
01-13 10:51:13	bitcoin above 86k on january 13	Yes	BUY	143	100¢	$142	0x0efd63…
01-08 10:49:17	bitcoin above 88k on january 8	No	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0xa8e00a…
01-06 03:33:53	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xe9dbab…