Limited-Asparagus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

349

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$53

1 position

First seen

2026-02-02

last 07-05 16:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 0% $-11

Other

31% — —

Sports

9% 0% $-2

Tech

6% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+55	$51	96¢	$53	+$1	07-05 16:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	6	$230	120	120	+0	open	—	04-09 03:58
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$219	119	119	+0	open	—	03-30 14:24
nba lal okc 2026 04 02	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 03:16
ethereum up or down march 22 2026 12am et	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	03-22 05:00
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 4am et	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	03-24 08:54
ethereum up or down march 20 2026 5am et	2	$197	99	99	+0	open	—	03-20 10:12
btc updown 15m 1774237500	2	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	03-23 03:57
wta rybakin putints 2026 03 20	2	$179	90	90	+0	open	—	03-21 03:49
btc updown 15m 1774260900	2	$178	90	90	+0	open	—	03-23 10:28
cs2 3dmax ghy 2026 03 23	4	$173	88	88	+0	open	—	03-23 09:35
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 12am et	2	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	03-19 04:53
btc updown 15m 1774006200	5	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	03-20 11:43
btc updown 15m 1774153800	2	$158	80	80	+0	open	—	03-22 04:46
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 1am et	2	$154	80	80	+0	open	—	03-20 05:50
nba den phx 2026 03 24	2	$152	100	100	+0	open	—	03-25 05:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	3	$151	80	80	+0	open	—	05-01 15:24
aus per mct 2026 03 22 per	4	$151	77	77	+0	open	—	03-22 09:43
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	5	$140	101	46	+55	open	—	07-05 16:19
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$139	80	80	+0	open	—	03-02 16:47
btc updown 15m 1774175400	2	$136	70	70	+0	open	—	03-22 10:44
eth updown 15m 1774073700	2	$135	68	68	+0	open	—	03-21 06:30
bitcoin above 70k on april 11	2	$132	66	66	+0	open	—	04-11 12:15
kor seo gwa 2026 03 22 seo	3	$131	66	66	+0	open	—	03-22 06:23
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	6	$130	90	90	+0	open	—	03-07 19:32
will they will kill you opening weekend box office be less than 5m	7	$130	80	80	+0	open	—	03-30 22:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	2	$130	70	70	+0	open	—	05-01 12:22
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	2	$122	63	63	+0	open	—	04-25 05:28
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	2	$119	60	60	+0	open	—	04-07 11:48
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	2	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	04-14 14:15
nhl cal col 2026 04 09	2	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	04-10 03:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 16:19:38	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0xe4013d…
07-01 18:55:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0xce173a…
07-01 08:27:29	bitcoin above 56k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0xfc7527…
06-30 10:49:55	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x6e8ce0…
06-25 22:38:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x10ccde…
06-25 04:27:44	bitcoin above 64k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x8a5796…
06-22 06:29:13	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0x4f5e4d…
06-21 16:54:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x412cc4…
06-20 05:08:16	ethereum above 1800 on june 20 2026	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x744311…
06-14 01:08:54	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	32	95¢	$30	0x31f029…
06-12 08:12:25	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8a9c2b…
06-12 08:10:24	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0a0427…
06-12 08:08:19	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x88ec2a…
06-12 07:52:19	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8b827e…
06-12 07:43:40	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x38556f…
06-12 07:35:06	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xce1d66…
06-12 07:23:24	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$4	0x196428…
06-11 08:40:52	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x14961c…
06-11 08:00:54	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x945d98…
06-08 04:17:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x9ade1e…
06-08 04:15:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x27d61e…
06-08 04:15:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0x27444a…
06-06 08:23:39	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x128a57…
06-01 15:14:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0xdd3921…
05-31 19:24:23	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x1c0ae3…
05-28 06:01:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xea7b7b…
05-27 11:56:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x8e1492…
05-26 13:26:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	69¢	$27	0x85310e…
05-24 13:38:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x113e3e…
05-18 07:29:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xc2398b…
05-17 06:51:58	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0x39b831…
05-15 13:53:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xf3bded…
05-15 09:22:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xd55044…
05-08 13:40:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x499370…
05-07 15:41:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xd34d33…
05-06 08:45:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x198830…
05-06 08:45:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0xcae0e8…
05-06 08:45:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$4	0xa5b109…
05-06 03:13:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$51	0x06aed6…
05-04 06:55:26	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	55	91¢	$50	0xae481a…
05-02 20:10:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xad94fd…
05-01 15:24:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	77	96¢	$74	0x094cef…
05-01 15:23:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xe1e077…
05-01 14:14:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	80	93¢	$74	0x53e18a…
05-01 12:22:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	70	98¢	$69	0x275fad…
05-01 03:40:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	70	87¢	$61	0xdc0184…
04-29 13:31:26	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x7d84d7…
04-28 06:37:06	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	90	82¢	$74	0xbc4bb7…
04-27 11:02:20	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x4c99d9…
04-27 10:44:12	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0xd620a7…
04-27 09:30:32	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x9f128c…
04-27 08:24:12	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4a51d5…
04-26 04:31:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbdf0cb…
04-26 04:12:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x04bbca…
04-25 08:03:42	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x043433…
04-25 05:28:42	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	63	97¢	$61	0x4a4921…
04-24 05:49:40	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xf1ebb9…
04-23 14:48:50	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x76aab6…
04-23 13:37:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x7f6909…
04-21 13:12:46	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x450d56…
04-21 05:50:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xe685f9…
04-20 13:17:08	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0x580e90…
04-20 11:12:58	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x9f998f…
04-20 10:42:24	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x88a2b9…
04-20 01:21:30	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x24c68a…
04-20 01:20:54	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x262b1b…
04-19 17:22:28	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	49	89¢	$44	0x451782…
04-19 14:52:02	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x4a3a9c…
04-19 14:41:02	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	44	97¢	$42	0x1c9e77…
04-18 05:36:46	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0x24c30c…
04-17 10:06:00	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x5d0d42…
04-17 07:36:40	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0x9eec8d…
04-16 19:56:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	SELL	45	93¢	$42	0x8a1392…
04-16 10:19:26	Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xb0e8ad…
04-15 03:29:48	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xf86fb4…
04-14 14:15:13	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xffdc0d…
04-14 06:37:01	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0xb63ee4…
04-13 10:12:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x9dd6af…
04-13 09:54:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd2c11b…
04-13 09:54:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x510b66…
04-13 09:54:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x2ab87a…
04-13 09:53:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0x007517…
04-13 09:53:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe55eb7…
04-13 09:53:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x2dcdef…
04-13 09:52:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x34d267…
04-13 09:52:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x299116…
04-13 09:52:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x8d5f5e…
04-13 05:45:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0xec8cb7…
04-12 15:54:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x52c8d6…
04-12 07:18:45	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	60	93¢	$56	0xa22393…
04-11 12:15:51	bitcoin above 70k on april 11	Yes	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x254a18…
04-11 06:52:37	bitcoin above 70k on april 11	Yes	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xc62edd…
04-10 03:24:49	nhl cal col 2026 04 09	Avalanche	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xcae0b6…
04-10 02:52:33	nhl cal col 2026 04 09	Avalanche	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x39c11a…
04-09 19:18:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x871a73…
04-09 03:58:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0xf7d690…
04-09 03:35:07	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xf76233…
04-08 17:24:47	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x9c4181…
04-08 13:36:31	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xef7f9c…
04-07 11:48:19	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x2b6949…