Untimely-Direction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.14K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.7%

Resolved

209

Trades

5,311

lifetime

Volume

$624.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 08-15 00:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 98% $-1,267

Other

9% 100% +$126

Sports

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	1	$5.0K	5,376	+5,376	open	—	07-04 16:58
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	1	$5.0K	5,618	+5,618	open	—	06-30 20:48
ufc jer4 myk 2026 08 15	18	$4.4K	5,000	+5,000	open	—	08-15 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	114	$1.9K	3,200	+3,200	open	—	05-01 12:40
btc updown 5m 1776834600	13	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	open	—	04-22 05:15
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	open	—	05-08 16:00
BNB Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	Down	+$18	05-06 20:45
btc updown 5m 1776244200	2	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	open	—	04-15 09:15
btc updown 5m 1776832200	2	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	open	—	04-22 04:35
btc updown 5m 1776651900	2	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	open	—	04-20 02:30
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	9	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	open	—	04-24 21:32
eth updown 5m 1776580500	5	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	open	—	04-19 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	open	—	04-27 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	Up	+$18	05-05 22:45
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	Up	+$18	05-06 18:20
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	Up	+$18	05-08 04:15
btc updown 5m 1776198300	2	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	open	—	04-14 20:30
xrp updown 5m 1776803700	2	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	open	—	04-21 20:40
btc updown 5m 1776234900	2	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	open	—	04-15 06:40
btc updown 5m 1776922800	2	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	open	—	04-23 05:45
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	Down	+$18	05-06 20:45
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	Down	+$18	05-06 20:45
btc updown 5m 1776927300	2	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	open	—	04-23 07:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	Up	+$19	05-05 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	25	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	Down	+$20	05-07 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	22	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	Up	+$21	05-08 19:55
btc updown 5m 1776448500	2	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	open	—	04-17 18:00
btc updown 5m 1776401400	2	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	open	—	04-17 04:55
btc updown 5m 1776226800	2	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	open	—	04-15 04:25
btc updown 5m 1776444900	2	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	open	—	04-17 17:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 04:23:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0xb6b46d…
08-15 03:25:12	will a hurricane make landfall in hawaii before 2027 20260721182828397	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x57f1d8…
08-15 03:23:36	will a hurricane make landfall in hawaii before 2027 20260721182828397	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x2bf19b…
08-15 01:27:33	ufc jer4 myk 2026 08 15	Myktybek Orolbai	BUY	826	89¢	$735	0xc14fec…
08-15 01:20:16	ufc jer4 myk 2026 08 15	Myktybek Orolbai	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xbaddb9…
08-15 00:49:19	ufc jer4 myk 2026 08 15	Myktybek Orolbai	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x8ccf59…
08-15 00:47:45	ufc jer4 myk 2026 08 15	Myktybek Orolbai	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x9a25e8…
08-15 00:30:52	ufc jer4 myk 2026 08 15	Myktybek Orolbai	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x14a5aa…
08-14 23:52:51	ufc jer4 myk 2026 08 15	Myktybek Orolbai	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x586408…
08-14 23:32:48	ufc jer4 myk 2026 08 15	Myktybek Orolbai	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xd9927c…
08-14 23:16:33	ufc jer4 myk 2026 08 15	Myktybek Orolbai	BUY	1,958	89¢	$1,743	0x1e32e8…
08-14 21:09:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	130	10¢	$13	0x6c807a…
08-14 20:58:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x6393e7…
08-14 20:56:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x070fb4…
08-14 20:52:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x57d767…
08-14 20:43:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0xcfb63f…
08-14 20:43:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	143	11¢	$16	0xacad23…
08-14 20:43:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	21	11¢	$2	0x6ac36c…
08-14 20:43:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x609c6d…
08-14 20:43:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x088b7e…
08-14 20:00:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	96	11¢	$11	0x912f28…
08-14 19:13:48	ufc jer4 myk 2026 08 15	Myktybek Orolbai	BUY	636	89¢	$566	0x190b11…
08-14 17:33:30	ufc jer4 myk 2026 08 15	Myktybek Orolbai	BUY	103	89¢	$92	0x1ae937…
08-14 17:30:13	ufc jer4 myk 2026 08 15	Myktybek Orolbai	BUY	68	89¢	$61	0x7e5f8b…
08-14 17:26:01	ufc jer4 myk 2026 08 15	Myktybek Orolbai	BUY	51	89¢	$46	0xa06c80…
08-14 17:23:36	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1490	Yes	SELL	110	38¢	$42	0x674d07…
08-14 17:19:37	ufc jer4 myk 2026 08 15	Myktybek Orolbai	BUY	66	89¢	$59	0x8e4549…
08-14 17:19:16	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xb934b0…
08-14 17:02:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x58560f…
08-14 16:40:40	ufc jer4 myk 2026 08 15	Myktybek Orolbai	BUY	437	89¢	$389	0x7e8da0…
08-14 15:51:31	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x5b3d75…
08-14 15:50:33	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x6f7dec…
08-14 15:49:34	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x05c086…
08-14 14:46:15	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xf773e7…
08-14 14:11:13	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xb483f9…
08-14 13:55:58	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	Yes	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0xbbcad7…
08-14 13:54:58	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1490	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc70fc7…
08-14 13:54:48	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xa1d662…
08-14 13:54:06	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1490	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xf13bba…
08-14 13:51:12	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xc8cc2f…
08-14 13:49:40	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x488440…
08-14 13:34:04	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1500	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x28e822…
08-14 13:27:31	ufc jer4 myk 2026 08 15	Myktybek Orolbai	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x6c2c75…
08-14 13:27:09	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1500	No	SELL	60	74¢	$44	0x963396…
08-14 12:48:15	ufc jer4 myk 2026 08 15	Myktybek Orolbai	BUY	646	89¢	$575	0x935a3a…
08-14 11:12:39	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x0bd7e9…
08-14 10:38:45	ufc jer4 myk 2026 08 15	Myktybek Orolbai	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x9cf85b…
08-14 10:34:27	ufc jer4 myk 2026 08 15	Myktybek Orolbai	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x887f84…
08-14 10:18:33	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x62b4ae…
08-14 10:16:04	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x551fa0…
08-14 10:15:34	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xf4d2ce…
08-14 09:43:43	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1490	Yes	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0x31fa30…
08-14 09:30:22	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1490	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xc08b08…
08-14 09:15:45	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1490	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc15e52…
08-14 09:01:37	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1490	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x5930fd…
08-14 08:30:21	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1500	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x32edc9…
08-14 07:53:07	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1500	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x097786…
08-14 07:43:21	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1500	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xa9b03e…
08-14 07:43:16	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1500	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xc66308…
08-14 07:41:36	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1500	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x061f21…
08-14 07:00:12	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x577020…
08-14 06:52:07	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1490	Yes	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x9caea8…
08-14 06:50:30	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1500	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x476d8e…
08-14 06:44:30	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x2f57ec…
08-14 06:43:09	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x215b76…
08-14 06:25:49	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x5502a0…
08-14 05:42:42	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x9dcd93…
08-14 05:40:22	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1490	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xe09b46…
08-14 05:38:43	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1490	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xb9390a…
08-14 05:32:58	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x6f4b1b…
08-14 04:37:57	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1490	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x7cb30d…
08-14 03:34:13	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x0b4234…
08-14 03:33:01	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x1ecf9c…
08-14 02:46:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xdbd9a3…
08-14 01:36:27	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xb485cb…
08-14 01:11:33	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x554272…
08-14 00:27:00	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x079b71…
08-14 00:26:46	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	Yes	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x7b12c1…
08-14 00:18:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0xb52892…
08-14 00:07:01	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x15d7d3…
08-13 23:33:12	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	Yes	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x432a00…
08-13 23:23:30	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x899bab…
08-13 23:23:18	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xc9b4a5…
08-13 23:23:12	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x2c290a…
08-13 23:11:39	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xd96119…
08-13 23:03:27	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xde890f…
08-13 22:39:33	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x38f536…
08-13 22:29:43	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x0f018e…
08-13 22:01:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	86	84¢	$72	0x1702e1…
08-13 18:47:10	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x709fe2…
08-13 18:39:19	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x3bdd75…
08-13 18:30:54	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x608c5f…
08-13 18:29:27	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x66543f…
08-13 18:28:16	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xbf8d9d…
08-13 17:56:24	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x8bbc36…
08-13 17:56:01	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x3e474f…
08-13 17:45:21	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x8aa2e8…
08-13 17:42:40	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xfee112…
08-13 17:33:43	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xab5e77…
08-13 17:23:30	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xd71b5b…