Piercing-Hearsay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.40K

Unrealized P&L

+$28

Hit rate

25.7%

Resolved

350

Trades

3,180

lifetime

Volume

$29.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$142

3 positions

First seen

2026-06-01

last 11-06 19:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

57% 18% -$6,003

Tech

34% 23% -$3,078

Crypto

6% 41% -$179

Sports

3% 22% -$141

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+12,366	$95	1¢	$117	+$23	11-09 14:49
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	+7,063	$15	0¢	$18	+$2	11-09 14:54
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	+212	$5	3¢	$7	+$2	11-09 14:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	137	$2.6K	33,461	5,728	+27,733	No	-$1,870	08-26 21:45
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	130	$2.3K	35,452	35,452	+0	No	-$1,328	08-26 21:44
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	112	$1.8K	135,970	14,371	+121,598	No	-$1,220	07-26 19:58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	89	$1.7K	12,172	6,622	+5,550	Yes	-$2	07-31 14:50
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	247	$1.7K	78,867	0	+78,867	No	-$1,704	06-24 00:20
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	305	$1.5K	91,475	7,979	+83,496	No	-$843	06-30 04:12
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	9	$1.4K	2,928	2,928	+0	No	-$551	07-31 14:15
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	82	$1.2K	40,029	3,281	+36,748	No	-$1,051	07-31 14:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	96	$1.2K	22,765	6,683	+16,083	Yes	-$124	06-27 05:35
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	24	$1.2K	5,759	3,947	+1,813	No	+$365	07-31 14:20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	5	$968	941	941	+0	Yes	+$32	07-30 23:45
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	52	$797	3,572	3,572	+0	No	+$447	07-25 19:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	12	$603	23,010	23,010	-0	No	-$18	08-05 06:03
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	31	$542	17,596	17,596	-0	No	-$299	07-31 18:37
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	4	$540	391	391	+0	Yes	+$234	06-21 05:43
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	50	$497	35,370	35,370	+0	open	—	07-08 00:27
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	25	$416	3,539	2,829	+710	No	-$51	08-30 22:59
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	11	$398	1,349	1,349	+0	No	+$8	08-03 23:10
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	14	$331	8,247	8,247	+0	No	+$32	07-31 17:05
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	62	$309	14,845	2,827	+12,019	No	-$119	06-18 21:36
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	3	$273	184	184	+0	Yes	+$95	06-20 22:16
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	5	$248	217	217	+0	Belgium	-$1	07-01 22:42
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	4	$237	1,081	1,081	+0	Yes	-$21	07-28 00:46
fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 first half total 2pt5	6	$225	1,185	1,185	+0	Over	+$106	06-21 22:28
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	20	$207	1,687	1,353	+333	No	-$66	08-30 23:00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$205	198	198	+0	No	+$16	07-01 17:41
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	7	$199	2,204	2,204	+0	No	-$8	10-29 13:01
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	63	$188	7,669	0	+7,669	No	-$188	06-29 22:02
fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 second half total 2pt5	3	$177	520	520	-0	Under	-$31	06-21 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	4	$170	484	285	+199	Down	-$90	07-10 04:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 14:54:31	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xf6eab2…
11-09 14:54:31	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x15e366…
11-09 14:52:09	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x54e096…
11-09 14:49:01	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,007	1¢	$27	0x95ade1…
11-09 14:47:37	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x03b921…
11-09 14:46:46	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,331	0¢	$3	0xc7a2a1…
11-09 14:45:52	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	3¢	$3	0x0e0bb6…
11-06 19:56:16	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,951	1¢	$24	0x66ccfd…
11-06 19:56:07	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,220	1¢	$9	0x863af7…
11-06 19:55:48	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,137	0¢	$6	0xee18ae…
11-06 05:55:04	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,437	1¢	$11	0x4cfa33…
11-06 05:53:43	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x6c275f…
11-06 05:53:12	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x26ebd2…
11-06 05:53:10	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	291	1¢	$1	0xb7b70b…
11-06 05:52:55	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	541	0¢	$2	0x36e02c…
11-06 05:52:45	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x3009ad…
11-06 05:47:22	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0xe3d115…
11-06 05:46:30	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	0¢	$0	0x531538…
11-06 05:44:57	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	0¢	$0	0xf0b5d1…
11-06 05:44:57	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,237	1¢	$16	0xcddd4b…
11-06 05:44:18	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	223	0¢	$0	0xb198d5…
11-06 05:44:12	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0xbf6b9c…
11-06 05:43:42	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	707	0¢	$3	0xc3fb66…
11-06 05:43:19	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	699	0¢	$2	0x2dce5a…
11-06 05:43:12	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	653	0¢	$1	0x87927d…
11-06 05:43:03	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,302	0¢	$2	0x060188…
11-06 05:38:30	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	288	1¢	$2	0xef5c9d…
11-06 05:37:28	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x78c31a…
11-06 05:36:25	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	65	2¢	$1	0x1a2cbf…
11-06 05:36:16	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	No	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x47d5cc…
10-30 16:14:52	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x498f99…
10-30 16:14:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	574	10¢	$60	0x44bb41…
10-29 14:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xee23a5…
10-29 14:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4266e7…
10-29 14:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6e8bd5…
10-29 14:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	38	76¢	$29	0x2b0d9f…
10-29 14:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xadbab0…
10-29 14:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf5fa45…
10-29 14:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x01bdfb…
10-29 14:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9e4613…
10-29 14:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x231834…
10-29 14:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbd7423…
10-29 14:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x341a66…
10-29 14:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5abd6f…
10-29 14:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcc1a30…
10-29 14:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x269fef…
10-29 14:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe9a59c…
10-29 14:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf6af20…
10-29 14:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6fe692…
10-29 14:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc65378…
10-29 14:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf8f998…
10-29 14:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xee64ca…
10-29 14:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdd74b0…
10-29 14:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x4ffef5…
10-29 14:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xab85ed…
10-29 14:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	22	65¢	$14	0x477b1a…
10-29 14:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6f2f7c…
10-29 14:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdc378b…
10-29 14:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x943e38…
10-29 14:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x31ff4a…
10-29 14:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb92b90…
10-29 14:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd60893…
10-29 14:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4ec0dc…
10-29 14:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb51c62…
10-29 14:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb4455d…
10-29 14:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x780f4f…
10-29 14:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5e3911…
10-29 14:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4ddba9…
10-29 13:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5e3819…
10-29 13:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x668b2e…
10-29 13:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcf305d…
10-29 13:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa84b43…
10-29 13:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x018cb3…
10-29 13:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x339cac…
10-29 13:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0d4f15…
10-29 13:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd3da38…
10-29 13:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0e921c…
10-29 13:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4ffc04…
10-29 13:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x07e060…
10-29 13:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0x9bd61e…
10-29 13:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xb9fa98…
10-29 13:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x817095…
10-29 13:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x4ecdfa…
10-29 13:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x89dd96…
10-29 13:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x687f3c…
10-29 13:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xaf3f53…
10-29 13:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x8eb8a9…
10-29 13:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x50c2e7…
10-29 13:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x1278bc…
10-29 13:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x431be9…
10-29 13:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x4789d6…
10-29 13:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x35a67b…
10-29 13:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xfdbbf7…
10-29 13:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x2c238c…
10-29 13:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x13ebcf…
10-29 13:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x8fc26f…
10-29 13:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x3503cb…
10-29 13:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x172d70…
10-29 13:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x966fa3…
10-29 13:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9f479a…