Open-Continent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$830

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.0%

Resolved

379

Trades

806

lifetime

Volume

$9.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 10-18 17:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Sports

46% 33% -$192

Other

29% 31% -$512

Crypto

23% 53% -$127

Politics

1% 75% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spurs vs. Thunder	9	$1.2K	1,301	1,301	+0	Thunder	-$11	05-27 00:27
Thunder vs. Spurs	6	$1.0K	1,306	847	+460	Spurs	-$201	05-27 18:02
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	12	$727	2,384	2,384	+0	No	-$400	04-12 18:34
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	4	$608	787	787	+0	Yes	-$12	01-21 21:46
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?	18	$528	1,245	1,245	+0	No	-$5	05-17 21:20
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	9	$344	1,372	1,372	+0	Yes	+$25	05-23 05:46
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$239	175	175	+0	Yes	+$2	05-18 05:37
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$208	209	209	+0	Spurs	+$70	05-19 03:51
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	4	$171	248	57	+191	Knicks	+$82	05-24 19:49
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?	2	$128	78	78	+0	Yes	+$28	05-17 22:31
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	2	$125	122	122	+0	cancelled	$0	05-20 21:19
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 29?	7	$113	93	91	+2	No	-$8	04-28 17:33
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	3	$105	112	53	+59	Cavaliers	-$38	05-17 20:49
Thunder vs. Spurs	3	$99	134	60	+74	Thunder	-$41	05-19 18:50
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?	2	$93	181	180	+0	No	-$7	05-17 20:03
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	2	$75	69	68	+0	Yes	+$2	02-03 16:07
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on April 30?	2	$74	44	44	+0	No	+$8	04-30 09:58
Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?	2	$74	205	205	+0	No	-$8	05-17 20:15
bitcoin up or down march 13 5am et	10	$73	72	55	+17	Up	-$9	03-13 09:17
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	2	$73	53	53	+0	Seahawks	-$1	02-02 20:15
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$72	104	104	+0	Yes	-$28	05-23 05:46
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on May 2?	4	$71	59	59	+0	No	-$11	05-02 08:54
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 1?	2	$69	57	57	+0	No	-$3	05-01 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 30?	2	$68	37	37	+0	No	+$6	04-30 19:03
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on April 30?	2	$61	33	33	+0	No	+$6	04-30 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 30?	2	$47	27	27	+0	No	+$7	04-30 05:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 21:30 UTC	5	$46	34	26	+8	Down	+$6	03-18 21:36
highest temperature in nyc on march 17 2026 48 49f	4	$45	25	25	+0	No	$0	03-16 19:55
Will Real Madrid win the 2025-26 Euroleague?	2	$39	62	62	+0	No	-$19	05-24 19:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 15:15 UTC	2	$37	23	23	+0	Up	+$8	02-02 15:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 17:30:26	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x546257…
10-18 16:41:42	Cardinals vs. Rams	Cardinals	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0x389494…
10-18 16:41:41	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	13	78¢	$11	0xc766e9…
10-18 16:41:41	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	25¢	$10	0x7f363b…
10-18 16:41:41	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	37¢	$8	0x6735e4…
10-18 16:41:41	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$10	0x621a8c…
10-18 16:41:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x822605…
10-17 20:38:02	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x2b06d8…
10-17 20:38:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x585a50…
10-17 20:38:00	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x0eab63…
10-17 20:29:05	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x181462…
10-17 20:28:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x153c4c…
10-17 20:28:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x3da578…
10-17 20:28:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6a6404…
10-17 20:24:32	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xffe083…
10-17 20:24:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xdfe70f…
10-17 20:24:32	Cardinals vs. Rams	Cardinals	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x7fcd41…
10-17 20:02:54	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf34812…
10-17 20:02:54	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0x85b0ff…
10-17 20:02:54	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x0506d4…
10-17 20:02:53	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x5339d2…
05-27 18:02:39	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	460	42¢	$193	0x24aed9…
05-27 17:59:58	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	SELL	489	41¢	$200	0xb30a0e…
05-27 17:28:30	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xab0bb9…
05-27 17:20:02	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	477	42¢	$200	0x181b44…
05-27 17:11:51	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	358	58¢	$208	0x4499eb…
05-27 17:04:47	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	358	59¢	$211	0x246c2a…
05-27 00:27:40	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	540	41¢	$222	0x7333df…
05-26 21:09:27	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	134	41¢	$55	0x0d28cb…
05-26 20:59:20	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	406	41¢	$166	0x5c8ba7…
05-26 20:58:50	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	292	59¢	$172	0xca9054…
05-26 20:23:03	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7751ac…
05-26 20:22:51	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x16c47e…
05-26 20:20:54	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	287	61¢	$175	0x8e1480…
05-26 20:19:33	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	469	39¢	$183	0x5ed5b0…
05-26 15:28:41	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	469	40¢	$187	0xf6a30f…
05-24 19:49:50	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x553a6e…
05-24 19:47:41	Will Real Madrid win the 2025-26 Euroleague?	Yes	SELL	62	17¢	$10	0x24dbee…
05-24 19:33:18	Will Real Madrid win the 2025-26 Euroleague?	Yes	BUY	62	46¢	$29	0x02addf…
05-24 19:32:39	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	SELL	57	55¢	$31	0x926a4c…
05-24 09:20:53	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	123	56¢	$69	0x1305a0…
05-24 08:27:27	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	105	57¢	$60	0x5af76d…
05-23 17:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0335d8…
05-23 17:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe4a91e…
05-23 17:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd00f3a…
05-23 17:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x5bd637…
05-23 17:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x399b13…
05-23 15:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xad809a…
05-23 15:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa6c24a…
05-23 14:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x61c398…
05-23 05:46:38	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	207	17¢	$35	0x05f391…
05-23 05:46:33	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	104	21¢	$22	0xab18e9…
05-22 22:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb29b66…
05-22 22:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x910ab5…
05-22 21:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb51fda…
05-22 21:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x72315b…
05-22 21:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xda63c8…
05-22 21:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x317907…
05-22 18:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc39401…
05-21 21:45:22	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd0ad81…
05-21 21:43:18	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	69	17¢	$12	0xbd6fe3…
05-21 21:42:47	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x1a08af…
05-21 20:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe177dc…
05-21 20:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1835dc…
05-21 20:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6b9701…
05-21 20:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc8819a…
05-21 20:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf5b42a…
05-21 20:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc15c3a…
05-21 19:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x502a4a…
05-21 19:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x41771d…
05-21 19:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x202b76…
05-21 18:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x956903…
05-21 18:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x83b21a…
05-21 17:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x54fbad…
05-21 08:41:49	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xb3dc7b…
05-20 21:19:13	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	SELL	122	51¢	$62	0xef260a…
05-20 21:11:42	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	122	51¢	$63	0xe8617b…
05-20 19:39:42	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	51	69¢	$35	0x2fca6f…
05-20 06:55:18	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xd4f91a…
05-20 06:54:38	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	276	18¢	$50	0xde67ec…
05-19 18:50:10	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x43c6a8…
05-19 10:18:12	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	SELL	60	48¢	$29	0xd68ce6…
05-19 10:17:56	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xeea81b…
05-19 03:51:32	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xa3b250…
05-18 21:20:30	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x3806d0…
05-18 21:15:05	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	106	33¢	$35	0x655229…
05-18 20:52:04	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	103	32¢	$33	0x33304f…
05-18 14:32:24	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	103	33¢	$34	0xb4bef2…
05-18 05:37:50	Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	175	69¢	$120	0x6d8758…
05-17 22:31:27	Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x239d80…
05-17 21:38:41	Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	175	68¢	$118	0xb6c231…
05-17 21:37:10	Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x163c70…
05-17 21:20:13	Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	708	25¢	$174	0xbfa5de…
05-17 20:49:57	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	59	64¢	$38	0x059d07…
05-17 20:48:49	Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xb3a2b0…
05-17 20:47:49	Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x5ef336…
05-17 20:42:22	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	519	12¢	$65	0x2fc893…
05-17 20:36:48	Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xdb3f5f…
05-17 20:36:30	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	173	13¢	$22	0xde8d10…
05-17 20:35:55	Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	52	28¢	$15	0xb03b5d…