Ignorant-Hormone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.0%

Resolved

Trades

289

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-05 10:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

71% 100% +$0

Politics

12% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

6% — —

Sports

5% 50% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	38	$2.0K	3,747	3,091	+656	open	—	03-01 06:05
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	63	$1.1K	982	982	+0	open	—	03-09 07:46
cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	2	$940	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-22 16:04
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$730	500	500	+0	open	—	02-18 21:16
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	10	$700	500	500	+0	open	—	02-18 21:16
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$639	522	522	+0	open	—	02-01 19:24
will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	2	$579	300	300	+0	open	—	02-23 17:02
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	19	$546	434	434	+0	open	—	03-02 15:17
will teyana taylor win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	15	$381	397	397	+0	open	—	02-27 07:56
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	27	$369	300	300	+0	Yes	+$3	01-03 05:45
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	4	$354	401	264	+137	open	—	02-12 20:21
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$328	450	0	+450	open	—	02-06 22:36
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$322	200	200	+0	open	—	01-04 21:54
coin up or down on february 18 2026	3	$315	200	200	+0	open	—	02-18 16:50
will one battle after another win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	8	$300	203	203	+0	open	—	03-01 06:03
Will Le Mans FC achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?	3	$249	197	197	+0	Yes	+$0	05-09 08:47
will jannik sinner win the 2026 australian open	39	$246	222	272	-50	open	—	01-04 20:56
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	3	$194	400	0	+400	open	—	03-19 20:08
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	1	$154	408	0	+408	open	—	01-28 20:37
Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	5	$111	192	0	+192	open	—	04-01 23:35
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$111	398	0	+398	open	—	01-24 19:43
will propr launch a token by december 31 2026	2	$107	100	31	+69	open	—	06-05 10:05
aapl up or down on march 6 2026	19	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	03-05 20:41
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$86	136	316	-180	open	—	03-23 16:13
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$76	238	238	+0	No	+$0	01-15 21:02
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	1	$54	83	0	+83	open	—	01-25 12:17
Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?	3	$49	39	39	+0	open	—	05-09 08:48
Will Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$38	308	308	+0	open	—	01-31 15:04
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$7	34	34	+0	open	—	01-03 15:04
btc updown 5m 1771103100	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	02-14 21:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 10:05:37	will propr launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	31	82¢	$25	0x10c39e…
06-03 19:26:07	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x4eaeaa…
05-09 08:48:09	Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	39	62¢	$24	0x8be3ed…
05-09 08:47:46	Will Le Mans FC achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	197	63¢	$124	0xacd018…
05-09 08:19:04	Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	35	62¢	$22	0xf9fc90…
05-09 08:18:06	Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xe166d4…
05-09 07:33:58	Will Le Mans FC achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	187	63¢	$118	0x457048…
05-08 03:16:12	Will Le Mans FC achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x066786…
04-01 23:35:55	Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xd35e84…
04-01 20:45:27	Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x4d3e24…
04-01 15:55:33	Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x5ad5a6…
04-01 12:38:07	Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	Yes	BUY	29	58¢	$17	0x7ab54d…
03-31 23:00:27	Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	Yes	BUY	53	58¢	$31	0x7c2dcb…
03-23 16:13:53	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	34	27¢	$9	0x2f598a…
03-22 16:04:35	cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	Miami Hurricanes	SELL	2,000	23¢	$460	0x910212…
03-22 15:55:31	cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	Miami Hurricanes	BUY	2,000	24¢	$480	0xceb246…
03-19 20:08:39	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x0d6c78…
03-19 17:07:41	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	127	37¢	$47	0xf85445…
03-19 17:07:05	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	73	37¢	$27	0x3e8fba…
03-09 07:46:13	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	80	69¢	$55	0x0517a5…
03-09 06:54:29	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0x380622…
03-09 06:38:09	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x72e1b1…
03-09 06:22:19	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0xa4403a…
03-08 22:16:01	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	73	71¢	$52	0x623830…
03-08 17:29:29	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0xf95d25…
03-08 17:26:19	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xcecab6…
03-08 17:26:01	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x0e56a0…
03-08 16:35:51	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xbaff09…
03-08 16:35:51	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x93a05c…
03-08 16:35:51	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	39	69¢	$27	0x7ee387…
03-08 16:35:49	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	26	69¢	$18	0xcc056a…
03-08 16:35:49	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x87b99a…
03-08 16:35:49	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x7e9079…
03-08 13:45:53	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x3131ca…
03-08 12:26:39	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	27	69¢	$19	0xfa39a5…
03-08 12:19:27	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x4360ca…
03-08 12:09:33	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	86	70¢	$60	0x207852…
03-08 11:40:09	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x046e70…
03-08 11:32:37	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xe57558…
03-08 11:10:53	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x9165d8…
03-08 10:39:19	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x2309f7…
03-08 10:17:45	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x360094…
03-08 09:59:51	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x876976…
03-08 09:30:29	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x18b0f3…
03-08 08:59:49	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x081f68…
03-08 08:13:45	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xea9220…
03-08 02:10:51	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	40	71¢	$28	0x83dca1…
03-08 01:19:35	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	25	69¢	$18	0xe686b0…
03-08 00:15:31	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	16	71¢	$11	0xbca8ff…
03-08 00:15:31	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	44	71¢	$31	0x7e5871…
03-08 00:00:21	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	61	69¢	$42	0xe7feb3…
03-07 23:15:55	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	60	69¢	$41	0xbcf820…
03-07 23:15:55	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x268f3e…
03-07 17:52:29	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	44	69¢	$30	0xedd12d…
03-07 09:18:43	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	22	71¢	$16	0xf72bd9…
03-07 08:58:53	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	78	71¢	$55	0xa0149b…
03-06 20:41:19	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x1aec69…
03-05 20:41:25	aapl up or down on march 6 2026	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xbbf34d…
03-05 20:41:25	aapl up or down on march 6 2026	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xa803e5…
03-05 20:41:25	aapl up or down on march 6 2026	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x052bb0…
03-05 20:41:23	aapl up or down on march 6 2026	Up	SELL	68	50¢	$34	0xc1d0a2…
03-05 20:39:55	aapl up or down on march 6 2026	Up	SELL	22	50¢	$11	0x38fd4c…
03-05 20:38:07	aapl up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xc7b45a…
03-05 20:38:05	aapl up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdf4a95…
03-05 20:38:05	aapl up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcc87b1…
03-05 20:38:05	aapl up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x942522…
03-05 20:38:05	aapl up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x665b0c…
03-05 20:38:05	aapl up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x36374d…
03-05 20:38:03	aapl up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcddb29…
03-05 20:38:03	aapl up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xc06b00…
03-05 20:38:03	aapl up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xa28c4d…
03-05 20:38:03	aapl up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8e154d…
03-05 20:38:03	aapl up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5ba38f…
03-05 20:38:03	aapl up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5342d7…
03-05 20:38:03	aapl up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x43727a…
03-05 20:38:03	aapl up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x38cfbb…
03-02 15:17:13	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	19	51¢	$10	0xe73b3e…
03-02 15:10:51	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x8556e9…
03-02 15:07:49	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0x806b46…
03-02 15:02:53	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x869b56…
03-02 15:00:03	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	42	51¢	$22	0xcdb593…
03-02 14:42:33	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0x3bf79b…
03-02 03:18:55	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0xac6e95…
03-02 03:18:55	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0x738415…
03-02 03:18:53	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xc0c856…
03-02 03:18:53	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	128	66¢	$84	0xa02a3a…
03-02 03:18:53	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x224173…
03-02 03:18:53	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x0f19a4…
03-01 06:05:43	Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x84af0e…
03-01 06:03:09	will one battle after another win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x3fb7c8…
02-28 15:49:15	Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x3e52e0…
02-28 15:22:19	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	57	46¢	$26	0x0aa482…
02-28 15:20:49	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xa941c2…
02-28 13:37:57	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xc2cfa6…
02-28 12:24:25	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	21	46¢	$10	0x34ee00…
02-28 11:47:37	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	82	44¢	$36	0x9af339…
02-28 07:33:29	Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x54884e…
02-27 22:00:35	will one battle after another win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xa974ef…
02-27 19:41:17	Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0x0de7c8…
02-27 14:56:09	Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	224	30¢	$67	0x0ca5b1…