Probable-Ivory — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

8 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$36

$58 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-10 14:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

66% 0% $-1

Sports

18% 0% $-0

Politics

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?	Yes		-20	$-9	45¢	$-9	$-0	05-09 14:58
Will PSV win on 2026-05-10?	Yes		+7	$4	100¢	$7	+$3	05-10 08:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	1	$10	0	10	-10	Joshua Van	$-0	05-10 05:52
Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?	1	$9	0	20	-20	open	—	05-09 14:58
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?	1	$8	0	9	-9	Yes	$-1	05-08 20:36
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)	1	$8	0	8	-8	open	—	05-10 14:56
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 2.5	1	$7	0	7	-7	open	—	05-10 14:16
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	05-10 08:26
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?	1	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	05-09 20:28
Will PSV win on 2026-05-10?	1	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	05-10 08:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 14:56:46	Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)	Everton FC	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0c73cf…
05-10 14:16:10	TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x70e03c…
05-10 08:33:45	Will PSV win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x9a4ed3…
05-10 08:26:36	1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x7c63db…
05-10 05:52:54	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa15e82…
05-09 20:28:35	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x1132bc…
05-09 14:58:46	Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x82cbbd…
05-08 20:36:21	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?	Yes	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x7d51ca…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	4	$27.5K	39	05-10 16:01
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	4	$712	94	05-10 16:11
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	3	$37.0K	250	05-10 12:57
Conscious-Outfielder 0xdb83…1e50	3	$2.50K	15	05-10 16:01