Probable-Ivory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

11.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$117

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-11 15:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

76% 22% $-45

Sports

16% 0% $-8

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?	Yes		-20	$-9	45¢	$-9	$-0	05-09 14:58
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?	Yes		+53	$7	3¢	$1	$-5	05-11 11:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?	1	$20	36	0	+36	No	$-20	05-11 10:22
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?	1	$15	24	0	+24	No	$-15	05-11 15:17
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	1	$10	0	10	-10	Joshua Van	$-0	05-10 05:52
Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?	1	$9	0	20	-20	open	—	05-09 14:58
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11?	1	$9	16	0	+16	No	$-9	05-11 15:16
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?	1	$8	0	9	-9	Yes	$-1	05-08 20:36
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$8	12	0	+12	Timberwolves	$-8	05-10 22:01
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)	1	$8	0	8	-8	Everton FC	$-0	05-10 14:56
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 2.5	1	$7	0	7	-7	Over	$-0	05-10 14:16
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?	1	$7	53	0	+53	open	—	05-11 11:38
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5	1	$7	8	0	+8	Over	+$1	05-10 08:26
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?	1	$4	7	0	+7	No	$-4	05-09 20:28
Will PSV win on 2026-05-10?	1	$4	7	0	+7	Yes	+$3	05-10 08:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 15:17:30	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xa7ae81…
05-11 15:16:28	Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x1e8438…
05-11 11:38:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?	Yes	BUY	53	13¢	$7	0xe8d4a3…
05-11 10:22:18	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xac5519…
05-10 22:01:24	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xd7fe0c…
05-10 14:56:46	Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)	Everton FC	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0c73cf…
05-10 14:16:10	TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x70e03c…
05-10 08:33:45	Will PSV win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x9a4ed3…
05-10 08:26:36	1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x7c63db…
05-10 05:52:54	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa15e82…
05-09 20:28:35	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x1132bc…
05-09 14:58:46	Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x82cbbd…
05-08 20:36:21	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?	Yes	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x7d51ca…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	8	$47.0K	95	05-11 20:37
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	8	$16.5K	333	05-11 21:03
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	7	$91.2K	926	05-11 18:59
Empty-Shofar 0xaf58…2bf4	6	$568	37	05-11 18:53
(anonymous) 0x82a5…674e	6	$542	71	05-11 21:04
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	5	$8.80K	64	05-11 21:07
Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995	5	$5.36K	33	05-11 21:03
Conscious-Outfielder 0xdb83…1e50	5	$3.52K	43	05-11 02:09