Equal-Concentrate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$731

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 06-01 10:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

38% 0% -$275

Politics

30% 67% +$131

Crypto

24% 45% +$67

Tech

8% 33% +$103

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	1	$100	228	0	+228	No	+$128	04-19 03:48
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?	1	$100	1,345	0	+1,345	Yes	-$100	04-25 12:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$99	122	0	+122	No	+$23	04-19 03:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	1	$50	380	0	+380	No	-$50	04-19 06:10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	1	$40	723	0	+723	No	-$40	06-01 10:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$40	13,333	0	+13,333	No	-$40	04-23 09:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	1	$25	625	0	+625	No	-$25	04-19 06:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$25	330	0	+330	No	-$25	04-19 06:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	1	$25	435	0	+435	No	-$25	04-19 06:11
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	1	$20	1,198	0	+1,198	No	-$20	05-21 22:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$20	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$20	05-11 21:27
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	1	$20	1,078	0	+1,078	No	-$20	05-23 01:05
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	1	$20	1,044	0	+1,044	No	-$20	04-25 03:29
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	1	$20	163	0	+163	No	+$143	05-21 22:44
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	1	$20	111	0	+111	Yes	-$20	05-21 22:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 06:45 UTC	1	$15	208	0	+208	Down	+$193	04-24 06:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 01:35 UTC	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	-$10	04-22 01:34
will 70 79 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 178	1	$10	83	0	+83	No	-$10	04-19 05:44
will 50 59 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 662	1	$10	30	0	+30	No	-$10	04-19 05:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 13:25 UTC	1	$10	67	0	+67	Down	-$10	04-23 13:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 02:15 UTC	1	$10	27	0	+27	Up	-$10	04-22 02:15
will 60 69 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 525	1	$10	65	0	+65	No	-$10	04-19 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 02:25 UTC	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	04-22 02:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 03:10 UTC	1	$5	16	0	+16	Up	-$5	04-22 03:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 02:35 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	04-22 02:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 01:40 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	04-22 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 03:50 UTC	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	-$5	04-22 03:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 03:40 UTC	1	$4	7	0	+7	Up	+$3	04-22 03:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 10:02:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	723	6¢	$40	0x5e97b9…
05-23 01:05:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,078	2¢	$20	0x349efc…
05-21 22:44:37	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	BUY	163	12¢	$20	0x9eb30c…
05-21 22:41:50	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0xc14d8e…
05-21 22:40:28	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	1,198	2¢	$20	0x613a22…
05-11 21:27:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	1¢	$20	0x483a43…
04-25 12:06:20	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?	No	BUY	1,345	7¢	$100	0x4809f6…
04-25 03:29:46	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,044	2¢	$20	0x5392f1…
04-24 06:51:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	208	7¢	$15	0x4a52a7…
04-23 13:27:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x1f0b0b…
04-23 09:57:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,667	0¢	$20	0x53132e…
04-22 03:50:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x6915e9…
04-22 03:40:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x08a5c0…
04-22 03:13:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xc4c3e7…
04-22 02:34:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x053748…
04-22 02:31:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 02:25 UTC	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0285c8…
04-22 02:27:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xf652d2…
04-22 02:15:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x746a92…
04-22 01:39:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x23a5fd…
04-22 01:34:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xae1012…
04-19 06:11:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	625	4¢	$25	0x853273…
04-19 06:11:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	Yes	BUY	435	6¢	$25	0x08d6b7…
04-19 06:11:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	330	8¢	$25	0xe273fb…
04-19 06:10:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	380	13¢	$50	0xe3aa29…
04-19 05:44:20	will 70 79 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 178	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x51295f…
04-19 05:44:00	will 60 69 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 525	Yes	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0x44c0d0…
04-19 05:43:58	will 50 59 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 662	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xd8da90…
04-19 04:00:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,667	0¢	$20	0xff151d…
04-19 03:48:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	228	44¢	$100	0x3aeb86…
04-19 03:33:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	122	81¢	$99	0x2cb131…