Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$319

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-06

last 11-02 09:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

64% 10% -$11

Politics

24% 25% -$4

Pop-Culture

7% 0% -$13

Tech

4% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 8?	4	$27	20	20	+0	No	-$1	10-06 13:30
Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	8	$24	40	40	+0	No	-$13	10-08 00:40
Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	10-06 14:37
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	3	$16	20	20	+0	No	-$1	10-11 10:54
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$15	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-07 15:07
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?	3	$14	19	19	+0	No	+$1	10-11 03:26
Ukraine lowers conscription age by March 31, 2027?	2	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	10-10 06:44
Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	2	$13	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	10-11 14:00
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	2	$13	18	18	+0	No	-$2	10-06 14:37
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	2	$13	20	20	+0	No	-$2	10-21 07:26
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026?	2	$12	20	20	+0	Yes	-$10	10-07 15:43
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	3	$12	20	20	+0	open	—	10-21 19:57
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?	2	$11	20	20	+0	open	—	10-06 12:07
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30, 2027?	2	$11	20	20	+0	open	—	10-22 00:32
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 60 and 89 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	2	$11	20	20	+0	No	-$3	10-07 15:43
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by November 30?	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	11-02 03:51
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	2	$10	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	10-22 13:15
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?	2	$9	20	20	+0	open	—	11-01 17:58
Will US gas hit $4.45 (High) in November?	2	$9	20	20	+0	open	—	11-02 09:32
Israel military action against Syria by December 31, 2026?	2	$9	19	19	+0	open	—	11-01 20:09
Modi out by June 30, 2027?	2	$9	20	20	+0	open	—	10-10 07:40
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	2	$9	20	20	+0	No	-$1	10-11 02:19
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2027?	3	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	10-21 20:57
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	2	$8	20	20	+0	Yes	-$3	10-06 15:41
Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	2	$7	10	10	+0	No	$0	10-21 09:45
Will Summit be the most played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	2	$6	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	10-10 11:21
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the cash rate target by 25 bps at the March meeting?	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	11-01 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 8?	2	$1	2	2	+0	No	$0	10-06 13:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 09:32:30	Will US gas hit $4.45 (High) in November?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x04da4a…
11-02 09:23:13	Will US gas hit $4.45 (High) in November?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x671625…
11-02 03:51:00	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x5b9ad0…
11-02 03:26:34	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xaf4d15…
11-01 20:09:15	Israel military action against Syria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xfcc128…
11-01 19:44:12	Israel military action against Syria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0xac5d37…
11-01 17:58:40	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xa0b4b2…
11-01 17:41:31	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xa1cfd4…
11-01 09:20:36	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the cash rate target by 25 bps at the March meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x388d09…
11-01 06:54:27	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the cash rate target by 25 bps at the March meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0xd7536b…
10-22 13:15:59	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x87f781…
10-22 12:59:29	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xc822b4…
10-22 00:32:45	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x6da782…
10-22 00:16:05	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xa62352…
10-21 20:57:56	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0xd23f71…
10-21 20:53:42	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x52a385…
10-21 20:22:48	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xf8896c…
10-21 19:57:50	France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x136834…
10-21 19:54:09	France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x153fdb…
10-21 19:29:08	France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xbca6b3…
10-21 09:45:08	Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xe7ce53…
10-21 09:28:27	Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x8a7f4a…
10-21 07:26:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xe51ce8…
10-21 07:09:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xe39387…
10-11 14:00:09	riyadh airport closed by october 31 2026	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xfe53db…
10-11 13:42:51	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xc97714…
10-11 10:54:05	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x1d3bd3…
10-11 10:28:44	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	13	42¢	$6	0xf3843b…
10-11 10:28:44	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xcbaedf…
10-11 03:26:38	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xb461a8…
10-11 03:21:50	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?	Yes	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0x0d10cd…
10-11 02:56:38	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0x7247c8…
10-11 02:19:02	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x6900ba…
10-11 02:01:51	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xc6ed1c…
10-10 11:21:54	Will Summit be the most played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x2cb52d…
10-10 10:53:48	Will Summit be the most played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xaca37e…
10-10 07:40:03	Modi out by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x7abfc5…
10-10 07:09:06	Modi out by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x593008…
10-10 06:44:37	Ukraine lowers conscription age by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x14169b…
10-10 06:19:22	Ukraine lowers conscription age by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x668edc…
10-08 00:40:52	Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x61f16b…
10-08 00:33:04	Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x50ce8c…
10-08 00:32:34	Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xee33de…
10-08 00:32:26	Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x571375…
10-08 00:31:25	Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xa01546…
10-08 00:02:56	Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0x95571f…
10-08 00:01:07	Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x981849…
10-08 00:00:59	Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x9fd406…
10-07 15:43:37	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 60 and 89 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x4289db…
10-07 15:43:14	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x2ea276…
10-07 15:13:49	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 60 and 89 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xcfcbc1…
10-07 15:13:02	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x59e6cd…
10-07 15:07:19	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x42d47a…
10-06 15:41:38	Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x3045cd…
10-06 15:11:00	Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x9f11c0…
10-06 14:55:41	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xfa1116…
10-06 14:37:48	Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x6c9cc6…
10-06 14:37:29	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	No	SELL	18	30¢	$5	0x41f463…
10-06 14:24:47	Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xe9ec0c…
10-06 14:24:21	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	No	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xed4da1…
10-06 13:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 8?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x9f3061…
10-06 13:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 8?	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x9036eb…
10-06 13:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xbc2e5f…
10-06 13:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x771039…
10-06 13:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x0ba3fe…
10-06 12:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x6cdaf0…
10-06 12:07:57	Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x0a14af…
10-06 11:55:07	Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x90d0e0…