Friendly-Budget — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

45.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

21 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$118

$118 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$44

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-10 23:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	+25	$6	64¢	$16	+$10	05-10 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	+25	$12	60¢	$15	+$3	05-10 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	+25	$11	50¢	$13	+$1	05-10 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	+25	$8	1¢	$0	$-8	05-10 23:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 23:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0xadbbbc…
05-10 23:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0xedcc07…
05-10 23:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0xac8966…
05-10 23:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xa605a6…
05-10 22:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	26¢	$6	0xad225d…
05-10 22:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0xfbed9a…
05-10 22:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	79¢	$21	0x2fc9ba…
05-10 22:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x6f8b67…
05-10 22:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0x8618bc…
05-10 21:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	37¢	$9	0x749886…
05-10 20:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0xe235a8…
05-10 20:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	26¢	$6	0xdb1e2b…
05-10 20:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0xb65b28…
05-10 04:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbe592b…
05-10 03:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x58d0e5…
05-10 01:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8c8ead…
05-10 00:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x68ecbc…
05-09 22:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x264d9d…
05-09 21:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5abac0…
05-09 21:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x252339…
05-08 23:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x1ef2dc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	20	$6.25K	233	05-10 23:43
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	19	$8.17K	294	05-10 23:43
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	19	$2.82K	136	05-10 23:43
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	19	$2.67K	128	05-10 23:43
Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55	19	$1.19K	136	05-10 23:43
Aged-Visit 0x2ea2…d3d7	19	$886	132	05-10 23:43
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	18	$1.53K	275	05-10 23:43
Flaky-Wreck 0x0484…1b1a	17	$2.81K	118	05-10 23:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$21	26	0	+26	open	—	05-10 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$12	25	0	+25	open	—	05-10 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$11	25	0	+25	open	—	05-10 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$9	25	0	+25	open	—	05-10 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$8	25	0	+25	open	—	05-10 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$8	25	0	+25	open	—	05-10 22:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$6	25	0	+25	open	—	05-10 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$6	25	0	+25	open	—	05-10 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$6	25	0	+25	open	—	05-10 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-09 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-08 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$4	25	0	+25	open	—	05-10 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	+$3	05-10 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-10 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-09 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$2	25	0	+25	open	—	05-10 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$2	25	0	+25	open	—	05-10 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	+$3	05-10 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$2	25	0	+25	open	—	05-10 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-10 04:57