Dishonest-Blowgun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,816

lifetime

Volume

$2.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 05-06 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

50% — —

Politics

43% 100% +$0

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

3% 100% +$8

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	60	$55	51	49	+3	open	—	02-01 21:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	40	$53	49	45	+4	open	—	03-01 06:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	36	$47	74	69	+5	open	—	04-10 08:06
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	31	$28	19	11	+8	open	—	04-08 12:33
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	22	$25	20	5	+15	open	—	02-03 23:32
nba lac nop 2026 03 19 1h moneyline	5	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	03-20 01:08
netanyahu out by march 31 854	20	$22	1,016	5	+1,011	open	—	04-01 04:35
lol ly jdg 2026 03 20	3	$21	10	11	-1	open	—	03-20 19:33
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	32	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-02 09:46
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	18	$19	50	36	+13	open	—	03-26 06:13
will clavicular be the top ranked chad by march 31	3	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-17 19:00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	14	$18	20	17	+3	open	—	04-13 01:04
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	19	$18	13	8	+5	open	—	02-12 21:16
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	17	$18	30	5	+25	open	—	04-22 09:23
will trump say nancy or pelosi this week march 22	10	$17	30	5	+25	open	—	03-23 12:53
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	16	$15	17	16	+0	open	—	02-03 01:21
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	17	$15	13	8	+5	open	—	02-28 07:15
highest temperature in taipei on march 17 2026 26c	3	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-17 20:41
will powell say war during march press conference	3	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-18 18:43
will axiom be accused of insider trading	14	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	02-26 11:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	19	$14	23	21	+1	open	—	04-07 19:10
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	12	$12	12	4	+8	open	—	04-03 09:03
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	10	$12	7	5	+2	open	—	04-28 09:26
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	6	$12	15	0	+15	open	—	03-25 22:43
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	8	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-06 21:38
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	9	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-12 19:53
acn sen mar 2026 01 18 sen	9	$12	8	4	+4	open	—	01-18 21:44
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	02-05 08:18
italy nordio reform referendum passes	6	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	03-23 14:43
will reminders of him opening weekend box office be between 19m and 22m	8	$11	7	6	+1	open	—	03-15 13:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 16:59:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf1311c…
05-06 16:57:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa5f5c8…
05-06 16:26:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x90cec3…
05-06 14:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x507c83…
05-06 14:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdd7043…
05-06 14:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x966a54…
05-06 14:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x24ff6b…
05-06 07:02:14	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd57ac6…
05-06 07:02:14	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xaaa497…
05-06 07:02:14	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x71ea75…
05-05 23:28:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xc082af…
05-05 23:15:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb9debe…
05-05 23:15:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x74d2e0…
05-05 23:15:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa37ab9…
05-05 18:00:46	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc658d7…
05-05 18:00:30	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x26ee4a…
05-05 01:28:44	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8dc1c4…
05-05 01:18:54	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x024d6b…
05-05 00:59:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x254048…
05-04 20:19:08	Will Trump say "Farmer" during Small Business Summit?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4b75c9…
05-04 18:21:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd7458d…
05-04 18:21:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1a9b6c…
05-04 18:17:56	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6fd2e4…
05-04 18:16:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc782cd…
05-04 18:11:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc281c7…
04-28 09:26:32	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x38ceff…
04-28 02:00:58	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb320ae…
04-28 01:55:28	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcf8084…
04-28 01:55:24	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x230468…
04-28 01:55:08	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6d9bf5…
04-26 19:21:48	CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x247565…
04-26 18:33:18	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf7359b…
04-26 02:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe7ff2e…
04-26 02:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc1d674…
04-26 02:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfea0ff…
04-26 02:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe99a1b…
04-26 02:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x852930…
04-26 02:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc840f6…
04-26 02:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf01dfe…
04-26 02:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x53c638…
04-26 00:28:44	UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)	Eric McConico	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x614a87…
04-26 00:28:28	UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)	Eric McConico	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf35d62…
04-26 00:27:52	UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)	Eric McConico	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x347f75…
04-26 00:26:58	UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)	Eric McConico	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe7c86f…
04-24 22:39:52	will nickeil alexander walker win the 20252026 nba most improved player	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x330e5d…
04-24 22:38:56	will nickeil alexander walker win the 20252026 nba most improved player	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x65bca2…
04-24 21:38:08	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xcb8b00…
04-24 21:31:52	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc991ef…
04-24 15:48:14	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x169309…
04-24 00:38:52	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xce3854…
04-23 18:21:58	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3cf78d…
04-23 18:21:58	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x335ba8…
04-23 18:21:56	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x496295…
04-23 18:21:54	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x205c12…
04-23 13:22:08	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfd3d3e…
04-23 12:17:42	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x78bb6b…
04-23 12:17:04	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2044e0…
04-22 12:52:30	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x882fed…
04-22 11:38:08	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc61e22…
04-22 11:38:08	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc1eb5f…
04-22 11:07:30	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xedf933…
04-22 11:07:28	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb45a6b…
04-22 11:07:26	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9731ae…
04-22 11:07:24	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6a3550…
04-22 11:07:20	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xab28f9…
04-22 09:23:56	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x18043a…
04-22 01:16:12	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x066246…
04-22 01:16:10	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xae50e7…
04-22 00:48:00	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x22c32a…
04-22 00:40:28	will trump say where is 3 times during ncaa national champions remarks on april 21	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe19c20…
04-22 00:40:20	will trump say where is 3 times during ncaa national champions remarks on april 21	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc81f92…
04-22 00:39:38	will trump say where is 3 times during ncaa national champions remarks on april 21	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4cfe63…
04-22 00:39:16	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x7245f4…
04-22 00:19:24	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf29a02…
04-22 00:19:08	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x859ae5…
04-22 00:19:08	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x60eabe…
04-22 00:17:46	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe7df3f…
04-22 00:17:42	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf03f29…
04-21 23:33:30	will trump say where is 3 times during ncaa national champions remarks on april 21	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x31a888…
04-21 23:33:16	will trump say where is 3 times during ncaa national champions remarks on april 21	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc30c80…
04-21 23:11:52	will trump say where is 3 times during ncaa national champions remarks on april 21	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbbec81…
04-21 23:10:50	will trump say where is 3 times during ncaa national champions remarks on april 21	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcaa192…
04-21 23:10:38	will trump say where is 3 times during ncaa national champions remarks on april 21	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3bc2cd…
04-21 20:50:30	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7b2c32…
04-21 20:18:14	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x04ad38…
04-21 20:18:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xcdb32b…
04-21 20:18:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x845d23…
04-21 20:17:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x77d1b6…
04-21 19:57:02	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xdace4c…
04-21 19:51:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x39eea2…
04-21 19:51:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3892f3…
04-21 15:59:40	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3ff324…
04-21 15:35:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x804c7f…
04-21 15:35:08	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0bb74c…
04-21 13:11:10	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd98e06…
04-21 11:23:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x10968e…
04-21 10:40:42	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x678351…
04-21 10:35:46	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x97decb…
04-21 08:06:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x1e6193…
04-21 08:06:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x624284…