Shameless-Scow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-09 13:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 96% +$3

Other

33% 65% -$29

Politics

7% 100% +$4

Sports

1% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 100k on january 16	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	01-16 13:31
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 14	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	01-13 13:21
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3400 on january 2	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	01-01 12:06
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 440 459	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	01-11 07:24
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	03-30 12:14
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 340 359	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	03-02 12:23
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 10	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	03-09 12:33
xrp above 1pt2 on march 6	1	$81	81	+81	Yes	+$0	03-06 13:21
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 180 199	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	03-18 13:56
will bitcoin reach 84k march 16 22	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	03-21 07:46
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 12	1	$79	79	+79	No	+$0	04-11 12:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 3	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	04-03 12:40
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$77	81	+81	No	+$4	06-04 11:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 24	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	04-24 10:49
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 19	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	04-18 03:39
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 20	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	04-20 13:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	05-19 12:12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	06-01 12:24
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 11?	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	05-10 13:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	05-07 12:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	1	$77	77	+77	Yes	+$0	05-24 10:33
bitcoin above 70k on april 16	1	$71	71	+71	Yes	+$0	04-16 10:41
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 18corhigher	1	$66	66	+66	No	+$0	04-01 12:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	1	$64	64	+64	No	+$0	04-30 12:00
will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 9	1	$59	59	+59	No	+$0	01-08 12:07
military action against iran ends on march 14 2026	1	$57	57	+57	No	+$0	03-14 13:06
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	1	$53	53	+53	No	+$0	05-04 04:55
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	1	$49	61	+61	No	+$12	02-04 13:10
will ethereum reach 2700 february 9 15	1	$44	44	+44	No	+$0	02-10 12:16
ethereum up or down on january 30	1	$40	42	+42	Down	+$2	01-30 11:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 13:42:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x79f901…
09-09 13:42:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x7ca920…
08-26 10:49:10	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in August?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5cb564…
07-18 09:30:12	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x448d49…
06-04 11:57:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	81	95¢	$77	0x202e84…
06-02 12:37:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9c981c…
06-01 12:24:42	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x5150f1…
05-24 10:33:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x7e95af…
05-19 12:12:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x3d1f14…
05-10 13:30:19	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 11?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x4b72e8…
05-07 12:35:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x069bdc…
05-04 06:08:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xa50006…
05-04 04:57:10	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x016bd8…
05-04 04:55:58	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x4b679f…
04-30 12:00:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x9cea54…
04-30 11:52:56	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x921103…
04-24 10:49:28	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 24	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xaadae2…
04-20 13:24:38	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 20	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x0a8ac5…
04-18 03:39:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 19	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x538832…
04-16 10:47:16	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 380 399	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4002d0…
04-16 10:41:42	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x1c3a4c…
04-16 10:41:04	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x56552a…
04-15 13:48:50	bitcoin above 70k on april 15	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x953bda…
04-11 12:54:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 12	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x2c95cc…
04-03 12:40:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 3	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x93cbf3…
04-01 12:43:05	highest temperature in austin on april 2 2026 75forbelow	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3d009f…
04-01 12:17:33	highest temperature in nyc on april 1 2026 88forhigher	Yes	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0x69dd18…
04-01 12:14:59	highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x997cf2…
04-01 11:52:37	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 380 399	Yes	BUY	870	0¢	$2	0xafc916…
04-01 11:51:59	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc68a8f…
03-30 12:14:32	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x61044b…
03-21 07:46:55	will bitcoin reach 84k march 16 22	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x4a194a…
03-18 13:56:51	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 180 199	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x4be977…
03-14 13:14:57	highest temperature in london on march 14 2026 14corhigher	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa16d67…
03-14 13:09:21	highest temperature in seattle on march 15 2026 54forhigher	Yes	BUY	198	1¢	$1	0x460b5e…
03-14 13:06:59	military action against iran ends on march 14 2026	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xf2604f…
03-09 12:33:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 10	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xb34002…
03-06 13:21:39	xrp above 1pt2 on march 6	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xbf8b5c…
03-02 12:23:33	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 340 359	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xba1dab…
02-14 11:17:15	will solana reach 120 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x798b9b…
02-10 12:21:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x55298e…
02-10 12:17:47	will grok 4pt20 be released on february 10 2026	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x377661…
02-10 12:16:47	will ethereum reach 2700 february 9 15	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0xeea8e7…
02-04 13:13:22	will the price of solana be between 70 80 on february 5	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xd0c94f…
02-04 13:10:10	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	No	BUY	61	80¢	$49	0x37f2cd…
02-04 13:02:24	lol sly sc 2026 02 04	Solary	BUY	41	81¢	$33	0x24924a…
01-30 11:28:40	ethereum up or down on january 30	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x16bc34…
01-30 11:23:38	nba min mem 2026 01 31	Timberwolves	BUY	33	72¢	$24	0xd64948…
01-30 11:16:38	US strike on Mexico by January 31?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x285298…
01-16 13:31:52	bitcoin above 100k on january 16	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x327fb8…
01-13 13:21:33	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 14	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x80468d…
01-11 07:24:00	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 440 459	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x7cf06d…
01-08 12:15:21	bitcoin above 94k on january 8	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xccf0a3…
01-08 12:09:59	highest temperature in nyc on january 9 38 39f	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xa59583…
01-08 12:07:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 9	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xf20816…
01-01 12:06:55	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3400 on january 2	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x45012b…