Glossy-Finger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

90.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$795

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$159

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 08-02 21:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

49% 98% +$0

Crypto

38% 100% +$1

Sports

7% 0% -$46

Tech

4% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-02).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+159	$158	100¢	$159	+$1	06-16 05:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$158	159	0	+159	open	—	06-16 05:02
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	01-16 15:54
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$46	45,776	0	+45,776	No	-$46	06-29 06:30
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	05-05 10:20
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	05-05 10:20
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	02-05 08:12
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	1	$35	36	0	+36	No	+$0	05-05 10:20
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	01-16 15:54
will zai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	02-05 08:12
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	02-05 08:12
will mistral have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	02-05 08:12
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-16 15:55
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	02-05 08:13
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	01-16 15:54
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$14	3,454	3,454	+0	No	+$0	06-16 05:01
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	1	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	01-16 15:55
Will XRP reach $1.55 on May 2?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-02 08:46
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	1	$7	8	0	+8	No	+$0	01-16 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-02 08:41
Will XRP dip to $1.30 on May 2?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-02 08:46
Will XRP reach $1.50 on May 2?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-02 08:46
will freecash get paid real money be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-16 15:55
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or higher on May 2?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-02 08:42
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 83°F or below on May 2?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-02 08:42
will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-16 15:55
will slednh 2026 be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on february 6	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	02-05 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 2?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-02 08:41
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-02 08:41
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-02 08:41
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 100-101°F on May 2?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-02 08:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 21:15:18	Will the Bank of Israel hike by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9bc8b3…
07-07 06:26:55	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0c198a…
06-29 06:30:50	Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	45,776	0¢	$46	0xbef299…
06-16 05:02:03	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x249325…
06-16 05:01:37	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,454	0¢	$7	0x3daf48…
06-15 15:25:31	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,454	0¢	$7	0x897a6b…
06-02 11:04:14	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	148	99¢	$147	0xc147cd…
05-05 10:20:24	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0x0dcb79…
05-05 10:20:06	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xecf84c…
05-05 10:20:00	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x2985ab…
05-02 08:46:22	Will XRP dip to $1.30 on May 2?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x0ac143…
05-02 08:46:10	Will XRP reach $1.50 on May 2?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x37c992…
05-02 08:46:02	Will XRP reach $1.55 on May 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8537d…
05-02 08:45:28	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x14ad22…
05-02 08:45:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x284ab9…
05-02 08:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb6e8b7…
05-02 08:44:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x58b51f…
05-02 08:44:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or higher on May 2?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x46e284…
05-02 08:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 2?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0e93c4…
05-02 08:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe60bcf…
05-02 08:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 102°F or higher on May 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf71642…
05-02 08:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 100-101°F on May 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5d6418…
05-02 08:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on May 2?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x99b338…
05-02 08:42:56	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 2?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x192a27…
05-02 08:42:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa80e84…
05-02 08:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 2?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa8b670…
05-02 08:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 83°F or below on May 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdbc118…
05-02 08:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or higher on May 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc5b73d…
05-02 08:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfc1df2…
05-02 08:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2120f0…
05-02 08:41:24	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd5fb86…
05-02 08:41:18	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7b8d15…
05-02 08:41:14	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfbf02d…
05-02 08:41:08	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xed1a44…
05-02 08:40:52	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x90f977…
05-02 08:40:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4eb4e8…
05-02 08:40:40	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x910150…
03-12 20:27:55	spl neo taa 2026 03 12 neo	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6734ba…
02-05 08:13:45	will slednh 2026 be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on february 6	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x85b90a…
02-05 08:13:41	will procreate pocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on february 6	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1f5030…
02-05 08:13:29	will upscrolled be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x143d31…
02-05 08:13:23	will freecash get paid real money be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2d01d5…
02-05 08:13:05	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1a7c89…
02-05 08:12:59	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xa711f9…
02-05 08:12:49	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9b1029…
02-05 08:12:43	will zai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb914d5…
02-05 08:12:31	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7436bf…
01-16 15:55:42	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xe2d0ac…
01-16 15:55:32	will freecash get paid real money be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x263a71…
01-16 15:55:18	will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe9d755…
01-16 15:55:14	will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc884d6…
01-16 15:55:06	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xcc304a…
01-16 15:55:00	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbea9c0…
01-16 15:54:48	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x188fb3…
01-16 15:54:42	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6abd31…
01-16 15:54:36	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbee051…