Magnificent-Independent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$65

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.1%

Resolved

473

Trades

929

lifetime

Volume

$9.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 07-14 10:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 55% -$218

Other

20% 25% +$154

Sports

3% 33% +$1

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	54	$1.1K	1,318	1,318	+0	Down	-$78	05-01 10:27
highest temperature in chicago on april 13 2026 74forhigher	5	$434	234	233	+1	Yes	-$7	04-13 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	18	$342	393	393	+0	Up	-$39	05-01 10:16
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 11 2026 28c	2	$274	276	263	+13	Yes	+$260	04-11 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	23	$274	391	398	-7	Up	-$34	05-01 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	11	$220	202	202	-0	Down	+$180	05-01 10:11
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$213	572	572	+0	Yes	+$30	07-14 10:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	2	$189	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	18	$170	278	279	-1	Down	-$16	05-01 10:11
highest temperature in dallas on april 15 2026 82forhigher	75	$111	440	407	+34	No	-$38	04-15 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	23	$99	152	58	+94	Up	-$30	05-01 11:10
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 82forhigher	49	$83	97	48	+49	No	-$37	04-14 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	20	$82	120	46	+74	Down	+$26	05-01 10:50
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 11?	4	$78	186	186	+0	No	-$38	05-11 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	11	$71	79	79	+0	Down	+$5	05-01 11:03
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 2?	3	$63	1,368	278	+1,089	No	-$51	05-02 11:56
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 8?	2	$55	63	63	+0	No	+$43	05-08 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	10	$48	90	9	+81	Down	-$37	05-01 11:05
bitcoin above 60k on june 4 2026	1	$46	50	0	+50	Yes	+$4	06-04 08:03
bitcoin above 68k on april 8	2	$46	28	27	+1	Yes	+$9	04-08 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12PM ET	2	$43	29	29	+0	Up	+$13	05-11 16:40
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 51°F or below on May 1?	2	$42	23	23	+0	Yes	+$2	05-01 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3PM ET	2	$42	41	41	+0	Up	+$4	05-06 19:26
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$40	120	0	+120	Yes	+$80	04-12 20:18
bitcoin above 66k on april 8	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	04-08 10:21
bitcoin above 74k on april 8	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-08 10:23
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C or below on May 6?	2	$39	101	101	+0	Yes	+$14	05-06 09:18
bitcoin above 72k on april 8	2	$33	20	20	+0	No	-$6	04-08 10:23
highest temperature in shanghai on april 12 2026 17corbelow	2	$32	20	19	+0	Yes	+$6	04-12 18:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	4	$30	30	5	+25	Yes	-$22	05-01 11:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 10:42:47	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	572	21¢	$122	0x0d971d…
06-09 10:01:15	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	572	16¢	$91	0x227c21…
06-09 10:00:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xe7138d…
06-09 02:00:07	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x13a041…
06-09 01:00:06	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xd5bfb6…
06-09 00:00:07	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0x358198…
06-08 15:58:16	bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf7778c…
06-08 11:50:12	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x597f20…
06-07 21:03:07	bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x410a03…
06-07 20:00:06	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xc93745…
06-07 16:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9?	Yes	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x94e930…
06-06 20:00:51	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xb0b9eb…
06-06 18:09:01	bitcoin above 62k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x0e168b…
06-06 12:00:21	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xb1c541…
06-06 11:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x8e0934…
06-06 11:01:49	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0x5d70b4…
06-06 05:00:06	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0x1be9b7…
06-06 04:00:06	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x6b0539…
06-06 00:00:06	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x823231…
06-05 19:00:09	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0xd23f6f…
06-05 16:15:27	bitcoin above 60k on june 6 2026	Yes	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x36ec5a…
06-05 16:13:12	bitcoin above 60k on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x577d79…
06-05 15:00:15	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x7eaef7…
06-05 14:00:06	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0x45271c…
06-05 13:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	18	48¢	$8	0x9a5a79…
06-05 12:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x713ea6…
06-05 12:00:09	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x9fb957…
06-05 05:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x82b57e…
06-05 04:00:07	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xf5983d…
06-05 03:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x584c08…
06-05 02:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xc3e2fb…
06-04 18:57:03	bitcoin above 66k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x80b51d…
06-04 18:00:06	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x4ad05a…
06-04 17:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	16	46¢	$8	0xc5c78e…
06-04 13:40:09	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xa7a153…
06-04 12:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xdd632b…
06-04 12:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xf6444a…
06-04 11:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xef57da…
06-04 11:42:37	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xcc0580…
06-04 11:00:06	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x812e50…
06-04 10:14:37	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x063567…
06-04 10:00:06	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xce0f51…
06-04 09:00:07	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x8eeea2…
06-04 08:03:45	bitcoin above 60k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xd238c2…
06-04 08:00:06	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0x4d5a2b…
06-04 06:57:45	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6a593e…
06-03 19:55:39	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x14a096…
06-03 19:51:39	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x2bb691…
06-03 18:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xa0ad78…
06-03 17:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x91b922…
06-03 04:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0x25fbda…
06-03 00:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	26	44¢	$11	0x954b05…
06-02 21:49:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x8ba977…
06-02 15:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xcc9037…
06-02 14:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	43¢	$10	0xf36262…
06-02 10:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0x4cfa24…
06-02 09:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x95a3ad…
05-31 17:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	23	46¢	$11	0xf3d19a…
05-31 15:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0xbd90d6…
05-31 08:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	28	42¢	$12	0xbd3db6…
05-29 20:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	27	47¢	$13	0x91353b…
05-29 16:12:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0xd776e1…
05-29 14:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0x1ca922…
05-28 05:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x14c814…
05-28 00:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x453267…
05-27 23:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0x385eae…
05-27 22:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x15af67…
05-27 13:51:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0xbd3523…
05-27 13:25:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3ae59d…
05-27 11:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x74d883…
05-27 05:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	29	41¢	$12	0xafd334…
05-26 23:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	27	46¢	$12	0x580f16…
05-26 22:47:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xb313cb…
05-26 20:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	28	48¢	$13	0xca49c5…
05-26 19:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	32	44¢	$14	0x34e962…
05-26 16:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xba2cd8…
05-26 10:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	68	23¢	$16	0x1f58a4…
05-26 03:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0x51acf3…
05-26 02:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	45¢	$16	0xaccc04…
05-25 23:07:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xbbb061…
05-25 22:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	32	46¢	$15	0x462b70…
05-25 21:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	33	42¢	$14	0xf92d2b…
05-25 20:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0x159a60…
05-25 14:01:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xea2985…
05-25 12:44:50	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0xe91953…
05-25 07:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x53360b…
05-24 17:30:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x1782d4…
05-24 15:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0xb7ba2f…
05-24 14:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0x562494…
05-24 10:27:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x5cafbf…
05-24 10:10:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x87beec…
05-23 12:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x5b28f5…
05-23 09:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0xdaffb6…
05-23 08:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xb112ea…
05-23 02:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xebda95…
05-23 01:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xf7d3de…
05-23 00:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0xcb3ee7…
05-22 22:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0x54c685…
05-22 21:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x1d4071…
05-22 20:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0xc9e8ea…