Realized P&L
-$1.59K
Unrealized P&L
-$25
Hit rate
55.0%
Resolved
72
Trades
316
lifetime
Volume
$39.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$126
Open exposure
$178
3 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 09-19 06:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 47 days
Categories
Other
40% 42% -$1,272
Tech
37% 33% -$660
Politics
12% 50% +$8
Crypto
5% 50% -$139
Sports
5% 40% +$476
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +376 $181 44¢ $164 -$18 09-19 06:35
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -226 -$68 4¢ $-10 +$58 05-27 15:26
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +637 $70 1¢ $4 -$65 08-27 11:29