Actual-Optimist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.8%

Resolved

Trades

2,329

lifetime

Volume

$22.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-30 12:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

81% 96% +$0

Sports

16% 100% +$0

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sea cre ver 2026 01 19 btts	4	$30	20	10	+10	open	—	03-08 22:14
lol jdg tes 2026 02 24 game handicap home 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-27 10:45
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 05:47
val rbt flk 2026 01 19	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 20:26
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-05 08:56
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 02:47
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-11 11:42
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game2	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-11 11:24
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 02:47
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-11 10:15
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:12
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-27 05:58
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:25
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
lol hle drxc 2026 02 10 game2	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-10 14:50
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
lol hle drxc 2026 02 10 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-10 14:45
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game3	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-11 11:05
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-11 11:10
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:01
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 anytime td rhamondre stevenson	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-09 21:27
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 12:18:43	crictelangana med kar 2026 06 30	Karimnagar Diamonds	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53b7a9…
06-30 10:12:44	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x573d78…
06-30 05:19:02	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc32301…
06-30 04:26:05	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa59680…
06-29 23:35:11	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf506d1…
06-29 19:22:26	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc14628…
06-29 19:07:22	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe43e75…
06-29 16:05:02	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd994f2…
06-29 13:52:40	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x940eac…
06-29 13:08:34	atp kovacev zandsch 2026 06 29 set totals 3pt5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc125a9…
06-28 18:43:14	crint cze srb 2026 06 28	Czechia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce4c1b…
06-28 15:56:31	codmw tex lat1 2026 06 28	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x59662f…
06-28 15:43:20	codmw tex lat1 2026 06 28	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc97d40…
06-28 08:45:04	cs2 hon1 oly 2026 06 28 game1	OlyBet SB	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48defb…
06-28 03:01:26	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7962b8…
06-27 20:00:20	cap fdv above 300m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b9bfc…
06-27 18:05:47	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x59b7ef…
06-27 17:11:05	codmw faz lat1 2026 06 27	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x12c420…
06-27 16:44:01	ufc abu2 mic1 2026 06 27 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x860f46…
06-27 02:30:01	Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd1e969…
06-27 02:11:10	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 goals alex baena gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x567b0c…
06-27 01:32:26	mlb phi nym 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	New York Mets	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53d671…
06-26 11:54:02	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e8679…
06-26 00:55:49	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2975d3…
06-25 22:21:10	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a8f21…
06-25 02:00:28	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x611da5…
06-25 01:49:26	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9749db…
06-25 00:05:34	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 corners team home 6pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5a8ab…
06-25 00:04:46	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf9d598…
06-25 00:02:38	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x12a725…
06-24 21:00:40	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce0769…
06-24 12:34:52	kbo kia kiw 2026 06 24	Kia Tigers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7523f…
06-23 20:00:58	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb344c5…
06-23 19:09:11	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	Portugal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x56236f…
06-23 18:25:08	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c2253…
06-21 18:13:10	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ea00f…
06-20 22:06:25	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd44b76…
06-20 21:07:23	wnba sea phx 2026 06 20 total 160pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x93d166…
06-20 20:06:43	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8884ca…
06-20 19:13:17	atp giron broom 2026 06 20	Marcos Giron	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xced7e9…
06-20 19:05:32	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 goals crysencio summerville gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2c201…
06-20 18:58:37	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 goals cody gakpo gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbfbd2a…
06-20 05:14:17	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x426794…
06-20 02:55:22	mlb stl kc 2026 06 19 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf28ef0…
06-20 02:41:29	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x338a81…
06-20 01:49:04	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe612a5…
06-19 15:45:28	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05a98b…
06-19 15:36:19	r6siege allgam tyloo 2026 06 19	TYLOO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84fe41…
06-18 22:59:25	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e756d…
06-18 18:01:41	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48f83f…
06-17 19:25:29	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f1336…
06-17 19:17:58	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x078be3…
06-17 19:06:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21c74b…
06-17 19:04:13	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4300e9…
06-17 18:59:14	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1489bd…
06-17 18:09:13	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ce6a5…
06-17 17:29:58	atp feldbau gulin 2026 06 17	Kilian Feldbausch	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1423c8…
06-17 16:10:17	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa77a31…
06-17 16:08:10	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad48e0…
06-17 16:06:17	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6dd7f…
06-17 03:10:43	mlb col chc 2026 06 16	Colorado Rockies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c4d6c…
06-17 00:03:22	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8010f9…
06-16 13:45:55	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x676ee6…
06-16 02:29:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf90089…
06-15 19:57:06	cs2 sparta g2a 2026 06 15 game2 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53c763…
06-15 12:41:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a00e8…
06-15 01:32:10	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x917683…
06-14 19:02:24	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xabe20f…
06-13 20:48:01	will breel embolo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x65cb7c…
06-13 14:12:04	fin1 int aco 2026 06 13 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd90d2b…
06-13 11:58:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87f6f6…
06-13 09:02:45	cs2 fnc minken 2026 06 13	fnatic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd52caf…
06-13 01:55:00	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e72b7…
06-12 23:27:34	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x366739…
06-12 20:26:58	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x771d0c…
06-12 20:18:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcabcdc…
06-12 20:17:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe37ae7…
06-12 20:05:04	tsla above 410 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c70c4…
06-12 13:30:18	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf376d2…
06-12 10:42:22	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 game2 kill over 29pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48e234…
06-11 22:13:42	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c21d7…
06-11 21:05:00	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x398a46…
06-11 16:53:31	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1d619a…
06-11 16:03:33	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xafb4d0…
06-10 20:16:54	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcbd521…
06-10 20:05:15	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x793066…
06-09 17:17:39	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0485b…
06-09 16:28:55	lol ckz ps1 2026 06 09	Partizan Sangal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x745b31…
06-08 21:36:58	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x07fbc4…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x82e7f0…
06-07 22:16:04	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x924a31…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa4910…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe65418…
06-07 17:35:21	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game handicap away 3pt5	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x728e67…
06-07 16:59:27	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79b409…
06-07 13:09:43	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf9eba7…
06-06 23:09:46	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x175215…
06-06 14:19:19	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c85c1…
06-06 11:32:36	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf0afa0…
06-06 11:32:25	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa282d9…