Actual-Optimist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.8%

Resolved

Trades

2,243

lifetime

Volume

$22.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-09 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

81% 96% +$0

Sports

16% 100% +$0

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sea cre ver 2026 01 19 btts	4	$30	20	10	+10	open	—	03-08 22:14
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-11 11:42
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 02:47
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
lol hle drxc 2026 02 10 game2	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-10 14:50
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game2	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-11 11:24
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:25
lol jdg tes 2026 02 24 game handicap home 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-27 10:45
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 05:47
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-27 05:58
lol hle drxc 2026 02 10 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-10 14:45
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-11 10:15
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 02:47
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-05 08:56
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:12
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
val rbt flk 2026 01 19	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 20:26
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-11 11:10
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game3	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-11 11:05
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:01
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 anytime td rhamondre stevenson	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-09 21:27
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:58
val fsnx nsb 2026 02 19 map handicap home 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-19 11:35
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:17:39	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0485b…
06-09 16:28:55	lol ckz ps1 2026 06 09	Partizan Sangal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x745b31…
06-08 21:36:58	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x07fbc4…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x82e7f0…
06-07 22:16:04	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x924a31…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa4910…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe65418…
06-07 17:35:21	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game handicap away 3pt5	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x728e67…
06-07 16:59:27	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79b409…
06-07 13:09:43	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf9eba7…
06-06 23:09:46	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x175215…
06-06 14:19:19	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c85c1…
06-06 11:32:36	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf0afa0…
06-06 11:32:25	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa282d9…
06-05 20:00:33	Slovakia vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb60863…
06-05 17:59:15	Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b2fbe…
06-05 16:29:34	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2590bd…
06-05 01:53:27	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x092c32…
06-03 21:32:37	DR Congo vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1d8e1…
06-03 16:06:12	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b3d3c…
06-03 16:04:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe70cdb…
06-03 13:38:28	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers	Lotte Giants	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac0274…
06-03 07:01:16	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Saudi Arabia vs United Arab Emirates	United Arab Emirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x335fae…
06-03 04:48:32	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0136c7…
06-02 22:56:08	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b3e15…
06-02 19:09:22	Jack Pinnington Jones vs. Aleksandar Vukic: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Over 2.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x496933…
06-02 15:24:40	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76a7cd…
06-02 14:02:01	Will Pepe be included in Portugal's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xafa99a…
06-02 04:52:04	Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e650e…
06-02 04:52:01	Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7834c3…
06-01 09:07:12	Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 3 Winner	NRG	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa3f93…
06-01 07:28:44	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x02bb27…
06-01 05:49:19	CD Palestino vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44cbe9…
05-31 21:52:21	Mensik vs. Rublev: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37888c…
05-31 19:09:27	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b1c37…
05-31 18:08:24	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a7816…
05-31 17:09:15	T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Durham	Nottinghamshire	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x973de1…
05-31 13:53:28	Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc4a15f…
05-31 13:09:32	Centurion: Giles Hussey vs Edward Winter	Giles Hussey	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97b7c8…
05-31 09:14:34	KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eagles	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb38431…
05-30 22:09:39	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a2722…
05-30 18:04:17	Set Handicap: Tabilo (-2.5) vs Kouame (+2.5)	Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbbe941…
05-30 14:25:14	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x07b814…
05-30 13:58:54	KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kiwoom Heroes	KT Wiz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb45aca…
05-30 11:17:29	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04243b…
05-30 05:47:05	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb8e754…
05-30 04:48:31	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x539b2f…
05-29 21:01:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5896fc…
05-29 19:09:43	Khachanov vs. Jong: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e72c2…
05-29 13:57:04	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6eaf16…
05-28 16:52:24	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ace57…
05-28 12:33:03	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x606370…
05-28 02:32:34	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e8424…
05-27 07:24:59	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76daa0…
05-27 00:06:56	Millonarios FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1efc9…
05-26 21:29:21	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad8c93…
05-26 20:00:22	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90ec4c…
05-26 14:03:24	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x219cdd…
05-26 13:17:56	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3ca12…
05-26 09:14:39	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x181a36…
05-25 08:09:11	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xccba65…
05-25 04:48:29	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x11b54e…
05-25 01:24:37	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x15f44f…
05-24 20:55:49	Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)	Como 1907	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9be813…
05-24 19:25:18	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb326c…
05-24 16:02:32	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd51241…
05-24 15:29:51	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x582229…
05-24 13:32:37	Forca Lleida CE vs. Basquet Club Andorra	Basquet Club Andorra	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa645f…
05-24 08:02:48	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9121af…
05-24 00:32:06	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7304eb…
05-23 22:55:07	Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeb1659…
05-23 17:47:07	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x93deb9…
05-23 16:16:09	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4300e9…
05-23 12:56:35	Nedic vs. Sanchis: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8e93e…
05-23 01:24:49	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xecbda6…
05-22 17:12:22	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51cbd8…
05-22 11:42:29	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbee285…
05-22 10:23:28	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97c71d…
05-21 20:07:42	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc4f607…
05-21 11:20:11	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d41f9…
05-20 21:41:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d5b66…
05-20 21:22:35	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5479df…
05-20 21:17:32	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x463aa9…
05-20 19:29:25	Lokomotiv Kuban vs. CSKA Moscow	CSKA Moscow	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc43a11…
05-20 19:13:54	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe54600…
05-20 16:49:45	World Championships: Czechia vs. Italy	Czechia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4aa48c…
05-20 15:47:43	Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)	Yunnan Yukun FC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x03a010…
05-20 11:43:32	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Ugo Blanchet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x379195…
05-20 09:47:41	First Blood in Game 1?	T1	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9d2942…
05-20 08:53:26	ITF Wuning: Yuhan Chen vs Yingqun Sun	Yingqun Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x720aa7…
05-20 04:04:50	Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 170.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf09111…
05-20 02:09:00	Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa2869c…
05-20 01:31:58	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f1052…
05-19 20:50:09	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x178713…
05-19 19:58:58	AC Monza vs. SS Juve Stabia: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd4701…
05-19 14:12:04	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Sada Nahimana vs Ajla Tomljanovic	Sada Nahimana	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x331147…
05-19 13:47:42	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22be8f…
05-19 12:00:21	Bengaluru 3: S D Prajwal Dev vs Ilya Ivashka	Ilya Ivashka	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3dea05…
05-18 23:04:29	Will Ederson be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1bbc44…
05-18 22:39:34	Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ba115…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Puny-Roommate 0xcd9c…11c7	744	$3.86K	778	06-07 16:59
Snarling-Screwdriver 0x845b…1737	735	$25.6K	810	06-07 16:59
Intent-Bone 0xd073…9309	731	$25.6K	808	06-07 16:59
Urban-Chamber 0x6693…327c	731	$7.61K	774	06-07 21:09
Cute-Opossum 0xf3ce…edc5	705	$25.2K	766	06-07 16:59
Cute-Curry 0xebb1…5121	701	$7.31K	735	06-09 17:38
Idle-Amazon 0xcf08…9ac1	700	$3.64K	734	06-09 17:38
Jumbo-Professor 0xb1e1…087d	699	$7.27K	742	06-09 17:38