Actual-Optimist — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.0%

Resolved (90d)

221

Trades (90d)

229

3,038 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.19K

$29.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 11-06 03:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 258 days

Categories

Other

81% 98% +$6

Sports

15% 99% -$5

Crypto

2% 99% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sea cre ver 2026 01 19 btts	4	$30	20	10	+10	No	+$0	03-08 22:14
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$0	02-11 10:15
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game2	2	$20	10	10	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$0	02-11 11:24
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
lol jdg tes 2026 02 24 game handicap home 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	JD Gaming	+$0	02-27 10:45
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 00:55
Will Lorenzo Musetti be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-18 06:41
Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	2	$20	20	0	+20	Brandon Nakashima	+$0	10-22 20:12
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-11 11:42
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
lol hle drxc 2026 02 10 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	Hanwha Life Esports Challengers	+$0	02-10 14:45
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-05 08:56
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	04-25 02:47
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-10 10:42
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:36
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:37
lol hle drxc 2026 02 10 game2	2	$20	10	10	+0	Hanwha Life Esports Challengers	+$0	02-10 14:50
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
76ers vs. Hornets	2	$20	20	0	+20	76ers	+$0	11-01 00:43
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:29
val rbt flk 2026 01 19	2	$20	10	10	+0	Ramboot Club	+$0	03-03 20:26
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:12
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:37
Hawks vs. Pelicans	2	$20	20	0	+20	Pelicans	+$0	11-01 01:38
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Under	+$0	04-25 02:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 03:59:07	Ducks vs. Oilers	Ducks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36db91…
11-01 02:37:49	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb3cc84…
11-01 01:38:54	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0443be…
11-01 01:38:52	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18bbab…
11-01 01:09:45	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e2dc7…
11-01 01:09:22	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdcc525…
11-01 00:43:22	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1bed2…
11-01 00:05:45	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6cce0f…
10-31 23:14:46	Kansas vs. TCU	TCU	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8c7ee2…
10-31 16:00:21	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x27ee34…
10-30 17:47:03	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6ce99c…
10-29 15:14:20	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x94eb7a…
10-27 13:12:08	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd119d5…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd53241…
10-24 19:01:00	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd4177d…
10-24 14:16:02	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f7dad…
10-24 13:22:44	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x812534…
10-24 13:22:11	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9e1353…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xff912e…
10-24 12:46:05	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x542d77…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x374b6d…
10-23 07:20:57	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcc59d6…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f0910…
10-22 20:12:39	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e65dd…
10-22 20:12:26	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb1be4f…
10-21 21:00:20	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb497b4…
10-21 17:04:05	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd663f7…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c5d8d…
10-20 18:45:42	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0fc4de…
10-19 18:51:59	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe21f3…
10-18 03:35:41	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb07e55…
10-15 20:32:47	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa3c570…
10-15 19:37:38	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa5f620…
10-14 20:56:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd51c25…
10-14 13:12:35	wta krueger tararud 2026 10 14	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb834f1…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad3a42…
10-13 22:49:00	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3785b0…
10-13 20:58:57	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7540c…
10-13 16:04:16	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x50e432…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x270fba…
10-12 16:35:44	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5d8a3…
10-12 09:08:25	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d47f8…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6e1e0e…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc01375…
10-10 11:09:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7e2d0…
10-10 10:21:46	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x913037…
10-09 02:09:53	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b3362…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf0ceee…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x629b97…
10-06 16:07:33	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb361a…
10-06 13:20:18	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0accf4…
10-04 23:23:14	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x394c2b…
10-04 20:22:58	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9fa6fd…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1df643…
10-04 07:45:11	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd0d0de…
10-03 14:50:23	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b2af1…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc53997…
10-02 14:15:29	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac6bf8…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x506967…
10-01 22:23:56	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa9e1e3…
10-01 20:46:18	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x03c18a…
10-01 20:36:03	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2324b0…
10-01 12:07:32	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x855e66…
10-01 11:43:51	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8bb7f8…
10-01 05:13:29	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7fad94…
09-30 23:55:02	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ddba9…
09-30 01:58:18	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x81d8ec…
09-29 13:58:50	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1e5f0…
09-29 13:18:54	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xff6c6a…
09-29 13:16:02	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe13249…
09-28 10:07:54	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d28a0…
09-27 20:12:00	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x61d272…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x20d6a0…
09-27 13:31:20	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c592f…
09-27 12:29:15	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x263fb0…
09-27 01:59:50	UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ailin Perez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x001802…
09-26 23:23:48	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6a764…
09-26 20:01:35	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9003bd…
09-26 19:53:24	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ff983…
09-26 16:16:57	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x786497…
09-26 12:20:12	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9311fa…
09-25 22:57:42	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcb0086…
09-25 10:39:23	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc97bc6…
09-24 20:45:09	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9278d…
09-23 22:37:43	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1347cd…
09-23 16:19:06	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3410e…
09-23 04:45:08	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd98517…
09-21 19:09:03	will msft dip to 495 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0131ec…
09-21 18:44:37	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8d4b3…
09-21 02:19:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51d744…
09-20 22:25:43	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x968f1a…
09-20 16:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x94e9f4…
09-20 09:13:46	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3248c…
09-20 02:59:39	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd15476…
09-20 01:26:39	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba9614…
09-19 01:33:04	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf660a6…
09-18 19:32:18	Will AC Oulu win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e0d4b…
09-17 17:27:43	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdcfc21…
09-17 14:00:57	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x531abe…
09-17 12:57:06	itf lagarr1 khazim1 2026 09 17	Florent Lagarrigue	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb807d…