Vital-Smog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$580

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.1%

Resolved

3,518

Trades

4,382

lifetime

Volume

$25.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 10-27 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 32% -$452

Other

20% 56% -$129

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 201 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on September 16?	18	$131	68	68	+0	No	+$2	09-16 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:30 UTC	2	$52	50	50	+0	Up	+$47	08-20 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	18	$50	80	0	+80	Down	-$35	09-12 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 17:20 UTC	2	$47	39	39	+0	Up	+$26	08-20 17:22
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 16?	9	$45	31	22	+9	No	-$4	09-16 15:54
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 16?	7	$44	24	24	+0	No	+$4	09-16 06:18
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on September 10?	2	$42	22	22	+0	No	+$2	09-11 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	18	$33	90	0	+90	Down	-$28	09-12 23:22
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 16?	4	$32	17	17	+0	No	$0	09-16 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 27°C on September 16?	5	$30	16	16	+0	No	+$0	09-16 06:14
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 20?	2	$29	18	18	+0	No	+$5	09-20 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 01:05 UTC	2	$29	22	22	+0	Down	+$10	03-22 01:08
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 10?	2	$26	18	15	+3	No	+$2	09-10 22:29
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 20?	2	$25	14	14	+0	No	+$1	09-20 05:19
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 16?	4	$24	13	13	+0	No	+$1	09-16 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	8	$24	40	0	+40	Up	+$6	09-12 23:43
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 16?	4	$24	13	13	+0	No	+$0	09-16 14:38
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 16?	4	$24	13	13	+0	No	+$0	09-16 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 16?	4	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	09-16 13:01
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 19?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$1	09-19 20:11
Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	11	$22	55	0	+55	Up	-$7	09-12 23:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 06:00 UTC	3	$22	15	15	+0	Down	+$8	03-22 06:05
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 16?	4	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	09-16 19:32
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or below on September 16?	3	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	09-16 10:47
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 15?	3	$22	23	10	+13	No	-$2	09-15 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 16?	3	$21	11	11	+0	No	$0	09-16 09:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:10 UTC	3	$21	33	0	+33	Up	+$12	08-09 05:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 11:05 UTC	1	$21	26	0	+26	Up	-$21	06-20 11:05
Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	9	$20	45	0	+45	Up	-$5	09-12 23:48
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 16?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	09-16 09:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 16:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd4e413…
10-27 16:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x5b7517…
10-27 15:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdfe305…
10-27 15:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8e2d61…
10-21 09:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x4fc822…
10-21 08:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x306e66…
10-21 08:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xead36b…
10-21 08:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc0426e…
10-21 08:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xb87b15…
10-21 08:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6f8f8a…
10-21 08:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x87bd85…
10-21 08:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x300a5d…
10-21 08:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x776f07…
10-21 07:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x772015…
10-21 05:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x7970bc…
10-21 05:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x62b05f…
10-21 05:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x68fdd8…
10-21 04:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x1b37ff…
10-20 21:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2d2ab3…
10-20 21:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xa8dd3b…
10-20 21:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb0fd76…
10-20 07:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xddac4d…
10-02 15:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x90d8a9…
10-01 17:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x84ae51…
10-01 17:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd2858e…
10-01 16:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x115898…
10-01 16:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xaab91d…
10-01 16:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x658636…
10-01 16:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd42193…
10-01 16:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x4ed11d…
10-01 16:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1309fd…
10-01 16:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xcf095c…
10-01 16:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6fe7ab…
10-01 11:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xb9a5f9…
10-01 11:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf70639…
10-01 11:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x132a75…
09-29 16:13:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xb9f1c9…
09-28 17:41:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe88473…
09-28 17:41:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x27526c…
09-28 17:40:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x876a41…
09-28 17:37:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcb950d…
09-28 17:35:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1864f1…
09-28 17:35:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xaf9194…
09-28 17:34:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9a59f2…
09-28 17:33:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x7aa920…
09-28 17:32:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x8abd71…
09-28 17:31:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x04e71a…
09-28 17:31:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xdb93cf…
09-28 17:30:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x8ce5a6…
09-28 17:27:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x822f9b…
09-28 17:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb2689d…
09-28 17:26:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xaf25d3…
09-28 17:25:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x55b9b5…
09-28 17:23:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x05b90d…
09-28 17:22:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe02e31…
09-28 17:22:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x36efdc…
09-28 17:21:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xab8ce1…
09-28 17:20:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa1216a…
09-28 17:18:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x876983…
09-28 17:18:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8afe00…
09-28 17:18:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb54136…
09-28 17:16:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x419252…
09-28 17:15:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0xb908ce…
09-28 17:08:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xcd33cd…
09-28 17:06:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x98e12e…
09-28 17:05:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf46b43…
09-28 17:04:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcf9f40…
09-28 17:04:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x31827a…
09-28 17:04:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x6dd411…
09-28 17:03:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4759ce…
09-28 17:02:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa78295…
09-28 17:01:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xf10793…
09-28 16:59:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xe32599…
09-28 16:58:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x16624a…
09-28 16:58:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6712bb…
09-28 16:58:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xe85003…
09-28 16:57:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2706b6…
09-28 16:57:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xe0edc2…
09-28 16:56:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x29f42e…
09-28 16:55:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6b5753…
09-28 16:53:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1b8f52…
09-28 16:48:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0xd2fd6f…
09-28 16:48:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x5d608e…
09-28 16:47:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xba1b8e…
09-28 16:47:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x096c29…
09-28 16:45:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4d1c4a…
09-28 16:42:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x52d0f8…
09-28 16:40:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x93c830…
09-28 16:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x971751…
09-28 16:37:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xfad07f…
09-28 16:37:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x68979b…
09-28 16:37:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x00f63e…
09-28 16:36:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x419a95…
09-28 16:35:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd39bee…
09-28 16:35:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf25de6…
09-28 16:33:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe6c793…
09-28 16:33:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xbe2363…
09-28 16:31:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7d0b9e…
09-28 16:31:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1f29f4…
09-28 16:26:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x2a2b8f…