Light-Cactus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

Trades

751

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-18 10:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

41% — —

Other

28% — —

Crypto

24% 52% +$6

Sports

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 183 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	6	$2.5K	1,684	1,684	+0	open	—	01-23 21:29
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	2	$1.5K	1,019	1,019	+0	open	—	01-21 22:42
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase december 30 january 5	14	$1.2K	842	842	+0	open	—	01-04 20:54
cs2 prv ts7 2026 01 23	4	$975	664	664	+0	open	—	01-23 20:48
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 9 737	9	$918	1,348	873	+475	open	—	01-06 06:19
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$846	465	465	+0	open	—	01-21 15:04
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 13 19	10	$712	678	678	+0	open	—	01-20 04:21
ufc son sea1 2026 01 24	5	$670	528	528	+0	open	—	01-25 04:21
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase january 13 19	8	$563	628	628	+0	open	—	01-20 04:22
cs2 fal2 prv 2026 01 25	4	$521	422	422	+0	open	—	01-25 19:48
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	6	$485	1,647	2,005	-358	open	—	01-23 20:13
cs2 prv furia 2026 01 24	3	$484	417	417	+0	open	—	01-24 19:57
nba dal mil 2026 01 25	4	$434	450	450	+0	open	—	01-30 19:13
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for denmark by feburary 1	4	$406	836	278	+558	open	—	01-21 14:53
cs2 gl1 vit 2026 01 23 game2	2	$358	351	351	+0	open	—	01-23 16:51
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 6 12	2	$219	120	120	+0	open	—	01-12 06:28
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	1	$190	339	0	+339	open	—	02-09 18:03
will israel strike gaza on january 19 2026	2	$178	118	118	+0	open	—	01-21 15:04
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$165	300	300	+0	open	—	01-07 07:06
cs2 fal2 prv 2026 02 20	3	$154	318	0	+318	open	—	02-20 11:04
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$150	203	0	+203	open	—	01-27 00:47
will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	2	$129	84	84	+0	open	—	02-05 20:08
iran strike on israel by february 28	2	$121	1,034	1,034	+0	open	—	02-28 11:57
cs2 furia vit 2026 02 08	1	$106	156	0	+156	open	—	02-08 12:49
cs2 g2 mglz 2026 01 31	1	$100	227	0	+227	open	—	01-31 11:07
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for the netherlands by feburary 1	1	$100	417	0	+417	open	—	01-20 05:30
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	2	$93	74	74	+0	open	—	02-05 04:12
cs2 gl1 vit 2026 01 23	2	$88	420	420	+0	open	—	01-23 16:52
cs2 tl1 g2 2026 01 29	3	$76	101	101	+0	open	—	01-29 19:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$75	490	490	+0	open	—	02-28 23:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 10:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x449e41…
05-18 10:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9060c0…
05-18 10:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6dae81…
05-18 07:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0xe398c3…
05-18 07:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xad91bc…
05-18 07:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x8028e3…
05-18 07:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6cf018…
05-18 07:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x14b5da…
05-18 05:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xa6406a…
05-18 05:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x91ffb2…
05-18 05:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x409d2c…
05-18 05:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa0d40f…
05-18 02:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0x22f592…
05-18 02:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x90483b…
05-18 02:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa52db3…
05-18 01:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x264636…
05-18 01:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc6d4de…
05-18 01:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0xbca075…
05-18 01:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x12f1c1…
05-18 01:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x817a1b…
05-18 01:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe0caec…
05-18 00:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xdacd28…
05-18 00:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1090bb…
05-18 00:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0xa0e947…
05-18 00:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xeaa735…
05-18 00:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbcca15…
05-17 21:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x072a9e…
05-17 21:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa1bd1c…
05-17 19:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x407433…
05-17 19:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3dd8eb…
05-17 19:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf7ae41…
05-17 16:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	43¢	$1	0x0ae557…
05-17 16:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x217ad1…
05-17 16:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x08d2a7…
05-17 16:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x817c03…
05-17 14:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xce3b98…
05-17 12:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x5e39f8…
05-17 12:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xa05ed6…
05-17 12:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x03dbb9…
05-17 11:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0xe1f094…
05-17 11:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd5fab3…
05-17 11:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x55634a…
05-17 11:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd0ba23…
05-17 08:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x518585…
05-17 08:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x61070e…
05-17 08:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xcbc744…
05-17 04:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x4475d5…
05-17 04:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xecbbec…
05-17 04:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0xf3a31d…
05-17 04:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3a923f…
05-17 04:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x7d415c…
05-17 04:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa0beba…
05-17 04:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xf04b95…
05-17 04:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe0a79a…
05-17 04:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xca7025…
05-17 04:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa371e7…
05-17 04:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xbba125…
05-17 04:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x43e62e…
05-17 04:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x125e57…
05-17 04:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xaaad20…
05-17 03:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x6ec584…
05-17 03:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9ebbda…
05-17 03:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8a4547…
05-17 02:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x845ec8…
05-17 02:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdc6ffe…
05-17 02:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x929350…
05-17 02:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xccc1f8…
05-17 02:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x2fa4da…
05-17 02:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6c36d5…
05-17 02:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xbcc0c6…
05-17 02:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfc74d9…
05-17 02:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x472a9e…
05-17 02:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x7de7e5…
05-17 02:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2adba1…
05-17 01:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x427481…
05-17 01:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x79e38c…
05-17 01:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb93be0…
05-17 01:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x1367f2…
05-17 01:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe19d2f…
05-17 01:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0xbc5658…
05-17 01:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6d8888…
05-17 01:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa324b9…
05-17 01:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa26366…
05-17 01:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2763fe…
05-17 01:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x456d2b…
05-17 01:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6b5c6d…
05-17 00:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2c476f…
05-17 00:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x997826…
05-17 00:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x19a39a…
05-17 00:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x42268f…
05-17 00:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6e60d9…
05-16 23:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xac3d44…
05-16 23:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc3e8fb…
05-16 22:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x300882…
05-16 22:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd28591…
05-16 22:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x25f96b…
05-16 22:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc9e7c4…
05-16 21:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xf0bae2…
05-16 21:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd0324d…
05-16 21:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xa7377a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	210	$59.9K	17,276	05-18 10:39
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	210	$54.6K	18,126	05-18 10:39
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	209	$196.0K	7,658	05-18 10:40
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	209	$73.5K	12,299	05-18 10:39
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	209	$66.4K	4,286	05-18 10:39
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	209	$66.2K	10,904	05-18 10:39
Pessimistic-Harp 0x951b…433e	209	$65.2K	8,899	05-18 10:39
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	209	$64.5K	18,613	05-18 10:39