Drafty-Sleeping-Submitter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$57

Unrealized P&L

+$74

Hit rate

68.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$855

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$271

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 10-28 20:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

79% 79% +$194

Politics

20% 38% -$127

Sports

1% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	+132	$70	98¢	$129	+$59	06-05 16:20
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	+94	$77	88¢	$83	+$6	10-28 20:20
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	No	+62	$50	95¢	$59	+$9	10-28 20:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$92	1,614	0	+1,614	Yes	-$92	03-08 02:35
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	1	$77	94	0	+94	open	—	10-28 20:20
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$70	132	0	+132	open	—	06-05 16:20
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	3	$54	44	31	+12	No	+$7	03-01 06:27
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	10-28 20:14
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	1	$50	132	0	+132	Yes	-$50	06-05 16:18
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	1	$50	75	0	+75	No	+$25	06-05 16:18
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	1	$50	67	0	+67	No	+$17	05-10 10:37
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	2	$48	29	29	+0	No	+$8	03-01 06:24
will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	2	$43	31	31	+0	No	+$3	03-01 06:25
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	1	$35	102	0	+102	No	+$67	05-09 10:03
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	1	$29	132	0	+132	No	+$103	04-02 12:49
will russia strike kyiv on february 14 2026	2	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	02-16 04:55
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	1	$20	30	0	+30	No	+$10	05-10 10:39
will russia capture pokrovka by february 28	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$1	03-01 06:25
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	03-01 06:30
will russia strike kyiv on february 20 2026	1	$12	15	0	+15	No	+$3	02-16 04:55
will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	04-01 19:43
ukraine peace referendum scheduled by march 31	1	$10	40	0	+40	No	-$10	02-11 14:47
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	1	$10	22	0	+22	No	+$12	07-04 22:04
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	132	0	+132	Yes	-$10	07-26 17:49
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$10	23	0	+23	No	-$10	05-29 19:03
will trump say ceasefire or peace deal during address to the nation	1	$10	15	0	+15	No	-$10	04-01 19:48
will trump say nato during address to the nation 235	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	-$10	04-01 19:44
will trump say nuclear during address to the nation 726	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	04-01 19:45
will russia capture all of kupiansk by march 31	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-01 06:28
will ukraine be said at the oscars	3	$8	10	0	+10	No	-$8	03-04 23:51
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-25 04:58
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	1	$5	60	0	+60	Yes	-$5	05-29 19:00
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	1	$5	7	0	+7	No	+$2	03-01 19:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 20:20:26	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	94	82¢	$77	0xa23d1f…
10-28 20:14:37	Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x7300e3…
07-26 17:49:18	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	132	8¢	$10	0x750128…
07-04 22:04:07	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x73461b…
06-05 16:20:09	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	132	53¢	$70	0x5b05fd…
06-05 16:18:31	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x9517d3…
06-05 16:18:00	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x757d7b…
05-29 19:03:00	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x69947a…
05-29 19:00:54	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x204852…
05-29 19:00:44	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x7046a4…
05-10 10:39:05	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x4ac90f…
05-10 10:37:44	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x0c3860…
05-09 10:03:43	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	102	34¢	$35	0xb220b8…
04-02 12:49:31	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	No	BUY	132	22¢	$29	0x1b078e…
04-01 19:48:53	will trump say ceasefire or peace deal during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x802b8d…
04-01 19:45:37	will trump say nuclear during address to the nation 726	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x923a97…
04-01 19:44:13	will trump say nato during address to the nation 235	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb8eb9a…
04-01 19:43:59	will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xd7c54a…
03-08 02:35:53	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	1,439	3¢	$39	0x442ea8…
03-07 10:39:57	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x8e41d0…
03-04 23:51:09	will ukraine be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xf90a4e…
03-04 21:32:55	will ukraine be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x55a73a…
03-04 20:57:29	will ukraine be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x6cd508…
03-01 19:42:03	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x46e5de…
03-01 19:41:27	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xac7a32…
03-01 06:30:41	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0xb16918…
03-01 06:28:35	will russia capture all of kupiansk by march 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x13fe50…
03-01 06:27:15	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x733f8b…
03-01 06:25:17	will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	No	SELL	31	76¢	$23	0xb0c207…
03-01 06:25:13	will russia capture pokrovka by february 28	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xefb9aa…
03-01 06:25:09	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	SELL	31	78¢	$24	0x7a54fb…
03-01 06:24:41	will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	No	SELL	29	100¢	$28	0x4da817…
02-25 04:58:42	will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb5eef0…
02-16 04:55:51	will russia strike kyiv on february 20 2026	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x41b098…
02-16 04:55:15	will russia strike kyiv on february 14 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9dac54…
02-13 05:04:11	will russia capture pokrovka by february 28	No	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0xc5662a…
02-13 05:01:13	will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x51b769…
02-13 04:59:59	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x57c912…
02-13 04:59:35	will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x217246…
02-11 14:47:33	ukraine peace referendum scheduled by march 31	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x4c9416…
02-11 05:20:21	will russia strike kyiv on february 14 2026	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xaf931f…