Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$790

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.8%

Resolved

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$45.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$348

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-22 17:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

37% 40% +$4

Politics

34% 50% +$1,405

Other

26% 46% $-1,235

Tech

4% 100% +$616

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 1800 on march 1	2	$8.0K	4,012	4,012	+0	Yes	+$8	03-01 20:00
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	2	$7.9K	4,106	4,106	+0	No	$-77	01-21 20:12
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	17	$7.7K	4,700	4,700	+0	Yes	$-155	02-17 11:10
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	7	$5.9K	3,162	3,162	+0	Yes	+$79	03-01 19:59
will the us invade iran by march 31	4	$2.1K	1,324	1,324	+0	No	$-20	03-26 18:26
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$2.0K	1,493	1,493	+0	No	$-15	05-26 18:21
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	1	$1.5K	1,612	0	+1,612	No	+$112	06-16 14:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$1.1K	1,875	931	+944	Yes	+$1,434	02-28 20:16
will khamenei tweet again by march 1	8	$1.0K	1,150	0	+1,150	Yes	$-1,034	02-28 21:26
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	2	$845	500	500	+0	No	+$95	01-21 20:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$798	400	600	-200	Yes	$-2	03-01 19:59
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$654	500	500	+0	No	+$326	02-14 08:31
will germany strike iran by march 31	3	$566	300	300	+0	No	$-1	03-01 19:59
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$552	300	300	+0	No	+$6	03-01 20:01
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$500	633	0	+633	Yes	$-500	03-26 18:02
megaquake by march 31	7	$397	1,500	1,500	+0	No	$-91	02-09 20:39
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	2	$320	200	200	+0	No	$-4	02-18 12:34
lighter market cap fdv 1b one day after launch	1	$320	0	320	-320	Yes	$-0	01-02 16:46
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	1	$300	402	0	+402	No	+$102	06-16 14:16
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$224	0	227	-227	No	$-3	03-27 20:06
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	1	$200	675	0	+675	Yes	+$475	06-01 19:59
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	1	$200	690	0	+690	Yes	+$490	02-17 11:42
nflx above 80 on february 27 2026	3	$195	300	0	+300	Yes	$-195	02-19 14:56
us strikes iraq by march 7	6	$185	210	250	-40	Yes	$-58	03-01 20:04
spx up or down on january 2 2026	2	$178	336	0	+336	Up	$-178	01-02 17:12
will claude 5 be released by february 6 2026 173 394	2	$171	200	0	+200	No	+$29	02-05 11:42
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	3	$167	147	75	+72	No	+$18	02-17 17:15
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	1	$150	203	0	+203	Under	+$53	06-22 17:02
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	1	$100	185	0	+185	Switzerland	+$85	05-26 18:17
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	1	$100	271	0	+271	No	$-100	04-02 18:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 17:02:23	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	203	74¢	$150	0xd9a51c…
06-16 14:17:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	No	BUY	1,612	93¢	$1,500	0xa0a579…
06-16 14:16:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	402	75¢	$300	0xd00ec8…
06-06 16:09:09	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x8da90b…
06-01 19:59:52	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	675	30¢	$200	0x52d25e…
05-26 18:21:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	1,493	66¢	$985	0xc4e3df…
05-26 18:21:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	1,493	67¢	$1,000	0xaad9c2…
05-26 18:17:23	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Switzerland	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x80d933…
04-02 18:07:15	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	456	11¢	$50	0x9ce67a…
04-02 18:07:07	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	394	13¢	$50	0xc8b975…
04-02 18:06:57	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	271	37¢	$100	0x35d786…
03-27 20:06:39	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	227	99¢	$224	0x116fdc…
03-26 18:26:31	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	1,324	80¢	$1,054	0x2ae7bb…
03-26 18:25:51	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	318	80¢	$254	0x764fbb…
03-26 18:18:47	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x21edfe…
03-26 18:04:37	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	1,000	82¢	$815	0x8fe17e…
03-26 18:02:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	633	79¢	$500	0x7021c8…
03-01 20:04:05	us strikes iraq by march 7	No	SELL	250	25¢	$64	0x30813c…
03-01 20:03:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	926	3¢	$25	0x939ae5…
03-01 20:01:21	Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	300	93¢	$279	0xcafd62…
03-01 20:00:03	ethereum above 1800 on march 1	Yes	SELL	4,012	100¢	$4,008	0xedd391…
03-01 19:59:51	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	300	94¢	$283	0x1cf4b4…
03-01 19:59:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	600	83¢	$498	0x286913…
03-01 19:59:33	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	2,512	96¢	$2,422	0x099d5d…
03-01 19:58:49	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	248	94¢	$235	0xaada25…
03-01 19:55:39	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xbf2113…
03-01 19:10:09	Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	103	91¢	$94	0xa1094f…
03-01 18:18:23	Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xe49f6a…
03-01 18:18:11	Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	153	91¢	$139	0xbc70b3…
03-01 08:27:51	ethereum above 1800 on march 1	Yes	BUY	4,012	100¢	$4,000	0x4904d7…
02-28 21:26:39	will khamenei tweet again by march 1	No	BUY	41	89¢	$36	0x409f1a…
02-28 21:26:07	will khamenei tweet again by march 1	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x58dcdb…
02-28 21:25:05	will khamenei tweet again by march 1	No	BUY	310	90¢	$279	0x9ea8e8…
02-28 21:23:51	will khamenei tweet again by march 1	No	BUY	241	90¢	$217	0x39b001…
02-28 21:21:21	will khamenei tweet again by march 1	No	BUY	400	90¢	$360	0x4a9646…
02-28 21:21:11	will khamenei tweet again by march 1	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x0b90b4…
02-28 21:13:19	us strikes iraq by march 7	No	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0xd200b1…
02-28 21:12:21	us strikes iraq by march 7	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xb82e2a…
02-28 21:12:13	will khamenei tweet again by march 1	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xcb3bd0…
02-28 21:12:05	will khamenei tweet again by march 1	No	BUY	69	90¢	$62	0x0cc7d4…
02-28 21:11:35	us strikes iraq by march 7	No	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x10941e…
02-28 21:11:17	us strikes iraq by march 7	No	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0x0a9d38…
02-28 21:10:45	us strikes iraq by march 7	No	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xf262a9…
02-28 20:16:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	127	96¢	$122	0x75db3b…
02-28 20:15:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	361	96¢	$346	0x759a4b…
02-28 14:34:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	154	72¢	$111	0x297327…
02-28 14:32:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	289	73¢	$211	0x5e050e…
02-25 12:25:00	will starmer say green during the next prime ministers questions	No	BUY	98	70¢	$68	0x37290d…
02-25 09:01:04	will starmer say green during the next prime ministers questions	No	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x23f207…
02-23 00:44:16	will starmer say restore britain during the next prime ministers questions	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x9d5f09…
02-23 00:29:16	will starmer say restore britain during the next prime ministers questions	No	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xb230b6…
02-22 16:00:22	will starmer say restore britain during the next prime ministers questions	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xe0fcd3…
02-22 02:56:00	bynd quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 neg0pt08	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xe69c41…
02-21 22:23:58	bynd quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 neg0pt08	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xcb5c0a…
02-21 21:43:50	bynd quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 neg0pt08	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xdd0b75…
02-19 14:56:52	nflx above 80 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x3de09c…
02-19 14:55:18	nflx above 80 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x5de916…
02-19 14:54:58	nflx above 80 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xe1ced5…
02-18 12:34:16	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	No	SELL	200	79¢	$158	0x3eef5d…
02-18 09:49:42	andrew tate posts february 13 february 20 0 99	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xd3ae38…
02-17 17:57:51	will crime 101 second weekend box office be greater than 10m	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x4fea1d…
02-17 17:57:37	will crime 101 second weekend box office be greater than 10m	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x075cd6…
02-17 17:15:55	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	No	SELL	75	76¢	$57	0x6d972b…
02-17 17:15:31	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0xb5dade…
02-17 17:06:01	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 40 64	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xd18f8b…
02-17 17:05:55	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xaa81fb…
02-17 17:05:47	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	No	BUY	97	75¢	$73	0x337636…
02-17 11:42:17	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	690	29¢	$200	0xa4364b…
02-17 11:10:23	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	750	82¢	$615	0x5bc12d…
02-17 10:27:41	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	250	82¢	$205	0x4c17d3…
02-17 10:26:23	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	1,700	82¢	$1,394	0x4aba0c…
02-17 10:25:45	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	600	83¢	$498	0xd2c2ee…
02-17 10:25:35	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	600	83¢	$498	0x230534…
02-16 20:07:05	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	1,500	81¢	$1,215	0xbb60d6…
02-15 22:16:41	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	1,500	86¢	$1,290	0x7867bc…
02-14 22:12:07	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	141	87¢	$123	0xa3cdd5…
02-14 22:04:09	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	108	87¢	$94	0x4e9d0c…
02-14 21:51:13	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x116925…
02-14 21:50:33	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	484	87¢	$421	0x5d6454…
02-14 21:44:33	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	144	87¢	$125	0xdac674…
02-14 21:43:19	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	215	87¢	$187	0x4491ec…
02-14 21:40:37	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	308	87¢	$268	0xc84a16…
02-14 14:44:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,875	16¢	$300	0xb2d09b…
02-14 08:31:45	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	500	98¢	$490	0xe3f1d2…
02-12 22:20:13	donald trump of truth social posts february 6 february 13 140 159	No	BUY	38	58¢	$22	0x50d5f9…
02-12 20:24:37	pins quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt68	No	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0x51e766…
02-12 18:49:27	donald trump of truth social posts february 6 february 13 140 159	No	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x67508f…
02-12 18:35:55	donald trump of truth social posts february 6 february 13 140 159	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x3e7729…
02-12 18:34:53	donald trump of truth social posts february 6 february 13 140 159	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x50eb8c…
02-12 18:21:27	donald trump of truth social posts february 6 february 13 140 159	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0c42be…
02-12 18:18:07	donald trump of truth social posts february 6 february 13 140 159	No	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0x474dbb…
02-12 18:10:11	donald trump of truth social posts february 6 february 13 140 159	No	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x159bd1…
02-12 17:55:17	donald trump of truth social posts february 6 february 13 140 159	No	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0xb317dc…
02-12 17:54:57	donald trump of truth social posts february 6 february 13 140 159	No	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x0e0a0f…
02-12 17:49:51	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,613	93¢	$1,500	0x006a26…
02-11 13:32:01	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	350	85¢	$298	0x0e644f…
02-09 20:49:33	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	300	83¢	$249	0x68f0ce…
02-09 20:39:41	megaquake by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,500	10¢	$153	0xb0f3a1…
02-09 20:39:33	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	500	73¢	$365	0xd61c88…
02-06 09:09:27	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x6b6860…