Glittering-Paperback — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

382

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$30

1 position

First seen

2026-02-02

last 07-08 06:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

43% 100% +$1

Other

34% — —

Sports

9% — —

Tech

7% — —

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+30	$30	98¢	$30	+$0	06-27 04:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	15	$296	174	174	+0	open	—	04-24 04:46
solana above 70 on april 2	3	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	04-02 12:46
nhl car chi 2026 04 09	4	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	04-10 02:45
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 5am et	2	$198	99	99	+0	open	—	03-20 10:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$186	95	95	+0	open	—	05-14 07:06
mlb cle atl 2026 04 11	4	$171	86	86	+0	open	—	04-12 02:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	2	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	04-29 15:19
nhl tb edm 2026 03 21	2	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	03-22 04:40
btc updown 15m 1774191600	2	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	03-22 15:12
cbb hpnt ark 2026 03 21	2	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	03-22 04:34
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	3	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	03-23 03:47
btc updown 15m 1774193400	2	$158	80	80	+0	open	—	03-22 15:44
will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	3	$157	85	85	+0	open	—	03-25 08:19
btc updown 15m 1774253700	2	$155	80	80	+0	open	—	03-23 08:26
btc updown 15m 1774073700	4	$151	77	77	+0	open	—	03-21 06:29
nba tor den 2026 03 20	3	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	03-21 03:34
eth updown 15m 1774081800	3	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	03-21 08:44
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 4am et	3	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	03-21 08:57
ethereum up or down march 20 2026 1am et	3	$136	70	70	+0	open	—	03-20 05:57
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	3	$135	70	70	+0	open	—	04-16 18:36
eth updown 15m 1774154700	4	$131	70	70	+0	open	—	03-22 04:57
nba okc lac 2026 04 08	4	$131	66	66	+0	open	—	04-09 04:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$121	62	62	+0	open	—	04-26 03:47
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 0 39	2	$119	60	60	+0	open	—	04-03 09:00
eth updown 15m 1774241100	2	$119	60	60	+0	open	—	03-23 04:58
highest temperature in toronto on march 21 2026 2c	3	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	03-21 14:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	2	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	04-20 07:12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$117	60	60	+0	open	—	04-08 03:37
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	2	$116	60	60	+0	open	—	06-12 04:45
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 2am et	4	$115	60	60	+0	open	—	03-20 06:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 06:37:47	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x1445af…
07-08 06:06:08	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4186c1…
07-07 23:42:52	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x0d2417…
07-07 02:49:55	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xd66318…
07-07 02:24:19	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xbb59c1…
07-07 02:16:08	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x13d822…
07-06 07:09:20	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0xc03d08…
07-05 05:41:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x4485c6…
06-30 04:31:40	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x76ffde…
06-30 04:30:58	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xd0039b…
06-30 04:30:58	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x7df087…
06-30 04:30:58	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0934eb…
06-30 04:30:43	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x933e75…
06-30 04:30:43	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8f81d5…
06-28 10:19:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x366d72…
06-27 04:52:32	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xbcf5d8…
06-27 04:42:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x136730…
06-26 16:48:28	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x05a68d…
06-26 16:32:35	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	36	88¢	$32	0xc5e245…
06-26 07:07:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x99ab18…
06-25 16:16:29	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xc2a25b…
06-25 03:41:07	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	38	89¢	$34	0x0e425e…
06-23 07:23:44	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	28	98¢	$28	0x5603a0…
06-23 07:21:49	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x8960b9…
06-22 06:17:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0xca8eb3…
06-22 06:15:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x38f722…
06-20 08:49:38	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	50	81¢	$41	0x9d31cb…
06-19 06:19:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$8	0x41c4ad…
06-19 06:14:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	40	74¢	$29	0x94b9fc…
06-17 07:06:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0xe6d59c…
06-16 04:31:34	bitcoin above 62k on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x57ee21…
06-12 11:39:03	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	297	1¢	$4	0x5fe0d8…
06-12 11:38:33	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	203	1¢	$3	0xf7dc6e…
06-12 11:36:30	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	234	2¢	$4	0x65953a…
06-12 11:36:25	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	154	2¢	$2	0xf94ea2…
06-12 11:36:01	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x28ecb7…
06-12 11:33:10	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	99	2¢	$1	0x407dc3…
06-12 11:29:42	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xd55c3e…
06-12 04:45:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x02710c…
06-09 19:12:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0xfa85e2…
06-04 04:16:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xce5396…
06-01 12:12:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	66	19¢	$13	0xfe821b…
05-31 14:53:03	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	BUY	60	39¢	$23	0x441a33…
05-29 05:56:38	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xfe73bf…
05-26 05:31:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	52	47¢	$25	0x533d20…
05-26 05:28:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0xfe7ccd…
05-26 05:28:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	22	48¢	$10	0x87795b…
05-26 05:27:09	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xbba87f…
05-26 05:27:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x855476…
05-23 08:01:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0xb218b7…
05-22 09:36:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0xa790c8…
05-21 06:10:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x513dcd…
05-21 06:06:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x6c4d43…
05-20 04:48:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x8b44cc…
05-20 04:35:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x4b8d0b…
05-17 04:20:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x73b999…
05-14 07:06:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0x58f6c2…
05-13 09:12:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xf515bf…
05-12 03:56:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	28¢	$14	0xee152b…
05-12 03:43:29	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x7c5258…
05-12 03:37:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xd04cff…
05-12 03:24:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xbbd51b…
05-12 03:23:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x10cc84…
05-12 00:15:35	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x32d2d2…
05-12 00:15:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	27¢	$13	0x549bf4…
05-12 00:15:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x391e76…
05-12 00:14:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x88c21c…
05-12 00:13:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xe606ae…
05-10 17:18:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xe4b3fc…
05-10 13:01:21	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x49d8c4…
05-09 06:39:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa27b6b…
05-08 05:23:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x7e41f3…
05-07 06:08:03	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xed8fc2…
05-06 08:36:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0xb13e4c…
05-04 18:21:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$51	0x571337…
05-03 10:36:22	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0x298185…
05-03 09:47:48	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x8512c5…
05-03 07:57:30	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x2fa3f3…
05-03 07:41:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$51	0xc8d58c…
05-03 07:21:26	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0x973065…
05-03 07:11:52	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x42d1c0…
05-02 18:51:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	34	95¢	$33	0xcc0783…
05-02 17:06:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xa0bf44…
04-29 15:19:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	Yes	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x622067…
04-29 09:56:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x70a0ac…
04-27 06:51:42	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x564e77…
04-27 05:39:34	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x17ffd4…
04-26 05:27:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 27?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x77643b…
04-26 03:47:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0xee34bd…
04-25 09:00:30	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x05a217…
04-24 04:46:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	93¢	$50	0x9852d8…
04-23 11:53:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x1fc05a…
04-22 16:00:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x9deb4a…
04-22 09:20:52	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 140 159	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x508833…
04-22 06:45:12	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 140 159	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x363004…
04-20 07:12:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x19a838…
04-20 05:50:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xc7588f…
04-19 13:55:16	bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x17b55a…
04-19 13:53:16	bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x678c07…
04-19 13:53:04	bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc7998f…