Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

31.9%

Resolved

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$168

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-07-19

last 10-25 19:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

92% 25% -$22

Politics

7% — —

Tech

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+5	$2	68¢	$4	+$2	10-25 18:40
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+5	$1	31¢	$2	+$0	10-25 19:13
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+9	$2	11¢	$1	-$1	10-19 20:44
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+14	$2	4¢	$1	-$1	10-19 20:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	3	$9	9	9	+0	Yes	+$4	07-19 21:09
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	08-31 12:34
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$6	15	15	+0	open	—	09-12 04:43
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	4	$5	12	10	+2	No	-$1	10-19 21:57
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	4	$5	13	13	+0	No	$0	10-19 21:48
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 14?	3	$5	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	08-14 06:54
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	2	$4	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-06 04:47
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	4	$4	13	13	+0	No	-$1	09-29 14:24
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	4	$4	12	12	+0	No	$0	09-10 10:24
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	3	$4	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	10-22 15:29
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	3	$4	542	0	+542	No	-$4	10-08 10:22
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	4	$3	13	13	+0	No	-$1	09-10 10:24
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$3	1,007	0	+1,007	No	-$3	10-07 17:45
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	2	$3	305	0	+305	No	-$3	10-22 09:10
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	10-20 19:30
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	3	$3	25	8	+17	No	-$1	09-25 08:19
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	2	$3	8	4	+4	Yes	+$4	09-25 19:34
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	2	$3	7	7	+0	No	+$0	10-15 03:34
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$3	8	8	+0	No	+$0	10-17 16:36
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	2	$3	5	5	+0	No	+$1	09-03 19:48
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 16?	2	$3	17	17	+0	No	-$1	08-15 20:10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	2	$2	5	3	+3	No	$0	10-01 19:52
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$2	12	12	+0	open	—	10-19 21:20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	2	$2	8	8	+0	No	-$1	09-24 19:59
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	2	$2	7	7	+0	No	-$1	10-15 03:24
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	2	$2	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	09-03 19:49
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$2	1,100	0	+1,100	No	-$2	10-07 16:33
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 15?	1	$2	62	0	+62	No	-$2	08-15 03:01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$2	545	0	+545	No	-$2	10-08 14:35
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	10-11 05:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 19:13:39	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x117af1…
10-25 18:40:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0xacca22…
10-25 18:40:17	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x200651…
10-24 04:49:45	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xde2728…
10-22 15:29:15	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x5d8933…
10-22 15:29:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x9a6f55…
10-22 09:10:47	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6838d4…
10-22 09:10:29	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$2	0x3acc1a…
10-22 08:46:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xc45ba1…
10-21 16:11:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0xd8aec7…
10-21 09:10:33	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x7b6f89…
10-21 09:09:38	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x07cab6…
10-20 19:30:17	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xf0b89b…
10-20 19:29:14	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$1	0x7b807b…
10-19 21:57:55	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x9be435…
10-19 21:50:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x520c77…
10-19 21:48:37	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x7de07c…
10-19 21:20:45	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xa42607…
10-19 21:16:22	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x59e3b2…
10-19 21:15:28	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x0b49da…
10-19 20:44:38	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0xb8fe7c…
10-19 20:28:05	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x30df97…
10-19 20:26:24	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0xf9f280…
10-18 13:45:32	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xb3781c…
10-18 13:45:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x23de16…
10-17 16:36:26	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x0ed243…
10-17 16:36:23	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0xfd170c…
10-17 16:36:18	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$1	0xe6bc0c…
10-17 16:36:14	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x857f49…
10-17 04:37:13	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf40783…
10-17 04:35:01	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc743a5…
10-17 04:30:37	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x0927d1…
10-16 15:17:57	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x145a07…
10-16 15:17:43	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xae9563…
10-16 15:17:28	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x49716e…
10-15 03:34:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x088451…
10-15 03:24:04	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0xb84836…
10-15 03:23:43	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x3365f9…
10-14 16:55:54	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xce1011…
10-14 04:29:25	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x623eaf…
10-14 04:29:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x23a0b7…
10-11 13:39:12	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xef371b…
10-11 05:31:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1a9742…
10-11 05:17:53	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x928b32…
10-11 05:17:26	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x9d21b6…
10-08 14:35:23	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x485775…
10-08 10:22:30	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	284	0¢	$1	0x385a14…
10-07 18:35:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x47fcd2…
10-07 17:46:06	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x24ab61…
10-07 17:45:42	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x76a100…
10-07 16:33:14	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x142e27…
10-07 07:01:48	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3a42a9…
10-07 05:37:18	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa1da0d…
10-06 15:07:23	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x40efbd…
10-06 15:07:00	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb7e7b7…
10-06 04:47:43	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xddfbb9…
10-06 04:47:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x6eae31…
10-04 11:12:16	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2276d6…
10-04 11:11:59	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x93dfd1…
10-01 19:52:23	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x0ef07f…
09-30 17:43:38	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x6f5dcd…
09-29 17:41:27	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8ad1f6…
09-29 16:41:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x26528e…
09-29 16:41:03	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbda577…
09-29 14:24:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xd83aa6…
09-27 13:24:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe137e8…
09-26 06:16:30	Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xedac45…
09-26 06:16:12	Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xb86a68…
09-25 19:35:45	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9942e8…
09-25 19:34:47	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x47331c…
09-25 08:19:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x768f7f…
09-24 20:08:47	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x0a4ff6…
09-24 20:03:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x216256…
09-24 19:59:44	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x24e214…
09-24 19:34:59	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xc1b40a…
09-22 16:25:46	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x26e620…
09-22 16:24:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0xe848a8…
09-22 16:23:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x1a9f3e…
09-22 16:22:46	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$2	0xa40070…
09-22 15:39:13	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xeb7359…
09-22 10:31:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x18d851…
09-21 18:41:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa17d6e…
09-17 20:43:31	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x16e75a…
09-17 20:42:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0x8de09a…
09-17 20:42:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0xee0b7e…
09-17 20:42:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x16a0a9…
09-15 18:00:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x15a43e…
09-15 18:00:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xb95939…
09-15 18:00:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe8f762…
09-15 13:19:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x0f36c6…
09-15 08:35:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xde230b…
09-14 11:47:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa7e482…
09-14 02:40:12	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0d8e00…
09-12 04:43:43	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0xe82974…
09-10 10:24:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xc06e26…
09-10 10:24:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xadfbf5…
09-10 10:24:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x21d93d…
09-08 16:18:27	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?	No	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x08a2c1…
09-08 03:02:57	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x101abb…
09-03 20:43:31	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x1254ff…