Drafty-Flint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.3%

Resolved

4,293

Trades

5,970

lifetime

Volume

$14.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-27 17:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 181 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 66% +$75

Other

7% 77% -$83

Sports

4% 77% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	2	$122	81	81	+0	Norway	+$2	06-30 17:50
crint aus zwe 2026 02 13	1	$62	72	0	+72	Zimbabwe	-$62	02-13 05:56
Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?	4	$41	40	40	+0	open	—	10-23 07:42
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	2	$37	20	20	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	$0	05-06 16:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 15:30 UTC	10	$35	35	35	+0	Up	+$2	03-28 15:31
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	10-22 01:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 14:55 UTC	9	$26	42	21	+21	Down	-$3	03-31 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 19:20 UTC	7	$19	28	21	+7	Down	+$2	03-30 19:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 09:40 UTC	4	$18	12	12	+0	Up	$0	03-26 09:42
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	2	$16	10	10	+0	Seahawks	+$4	01-26 04:24
cbb pepp port 2026 03 05	3	$16	8	8	+0	Portland Pilots	+$0	03-06 04:16
cbb mich iowa 2026 03 05	3	$16	8	8	+0	Michigan Wolverines	+$0	03-06 03:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 19:30 UTC	6	$16	28	14	+14	Up	-$3	03-30 19:34
nba bkn mia 2026 03 05	3	$16	8	8	+0	Heat	+$0	03-06 02:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 09:00 UTC	6	$15	21	20	+1	Up	-$2	03-31 09:04
nba ind lal 2026 03 06	3	$15	8	8	+0	Lakers	+$0	03-07 05:57
nba dal bos 2026 03 06	3	$15	7	7	+0	Celtics	+$0	03-07 04:28
cbb ucf wvir 2026 03 06	3	$15	7	7	+0	West Virginia Mountaineers	+$0	03-07 04:28
cbb howrd norfst 2026 03 05	3	$14	7	7	+0	Howard Bison	+$1	03-06 04:00
cbb kenest utep 2026 03 05	3	$14	7	7	+0	UTEP Miners	+$0	03-06 04:34
nba det sas 2026 03 05	3	$14	8	8	+0	Spurs	+$1	03-06 03:36
cbb buf toledo 2026 03 06	2	$14	7	7	+0	Toledo Rockets	+$0	03-07 01:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 14:00 UTC	6	$14	24	8	+16	Up	+$1	03-30 14:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 13:55 UTC	3	$14	10	5	+5	Up	+$1	03-23 14:04
cbb pacfc sanclr 2026 03 08	3	$14	7	7	+0	Santa Clara Broncos	+$0	03-09 05:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 11:10 UTC	5	$14	18	12	+6	Up	+$2	03-30 11:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 06:35 UTC	5	$14	28	7	+21	Down	-$1	03-31 06:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 12:40 UTC	4	$14	21	8	+13	Up	-$5	04-05 12:44
nba nop sac 2026 03 05	3	$13	7	7	+0	Pelicans	+$0	03-06 05:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 09:30 UTC	3	$13	18	0	+18	Down	-$13	04-01 09:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 17:01:03	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0e8a8f…
10-27 14:50:32	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xada0c4…
10-27 13:35:24	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xaa33af…
10-27 13:11:14	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x57ef24…
10-26 17:10:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x51fd06…
10-26 13:55:50	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x37ef7e…
10-26 13:40:23	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd190ea…
10-25 17:20:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x5d3883…
10-25 17:20:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xe0e8b5…
10-25 17:06:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x220bd3…
10-25 15:10:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5112cb…
10-25 14:55:08	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xbc2588…
10-25 14:45:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x217414…
10-25 14:16:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x889247…
10-25 14:06:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd24f4c…
10-24 18:35:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x6552f2…
10-24 18:25:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd105e2…
10-24 17:51:17	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xba51d9…
10-24 17:50:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xcb9acf…
10-24 17:50:39	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xf7b3b3…
10-24 17:01:05	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x01a3b2…
10-24 17:00:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x28e790…
10-24 16:25:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x300be7…
10-23 07:42:54	Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xf40cf1…
10-23 07:42:54	Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xb03cae…
10-23 05:08:03	Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xd4ab48…
10-23 04:45:26	Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x9a93c4…
10-22 01:01:18	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x26c62a…
10-21 07:09:21	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xe8cfa0…
10-15 07:31:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x0ac0eb…
10-15 01:47:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xabd66d…
10-14 23:43:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x9b551e…
10-14 22:02:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x38ea0e…
10-14 09:16:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x776a4c…
10-14 09:06:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x0699a0…
10-14 08:26:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x13a15d…
10-14 07:47:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xe71e23…
10-14 03:47:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4cb1d3…
10-13 12:58:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4f28b7…
10-13 09:23:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x81f2a7…
10-13 05:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x9bff76…
10-13 03:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8f29c4…
10-12 08:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd3976c…
10-12 00:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xaa4c99…
10-11 23:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x57adcb…
10-11 22:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x101a4e…
10-10 02:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x075495…
10-10 02:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4c5763…
10-09 22:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7e543f…
10-09 12:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x98c289…
10-09 06:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x95f41a…
10-09 01:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa75594…
10-09 00:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x9467c1…
10-08 21:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x53e8a0…
10-08 20:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x19065c…
10-08 20:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4385d0…
10-08 19:21:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1b068d…
10-08 19:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xade57c…
10-08 18:09:59	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	255	1¢	$3	0x005566…
10-08 12:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xef037e…
10-08 12:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x298e64…
10-08 09:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7bd1d6…
10-08 07:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x40b431…
10-07 22:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd935af…
10-07 22:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x83823f…
10-07 19:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf74cf2…
10-07 10:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x4e4874…
10-07 09:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xaa0df8…
10-07 09:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4841d3…
10-07 09:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xd4c423…
10-07 09:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x14c5b3…
10-07 08:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa1de7c…
10-07 08:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x072568…
10-06 22:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x62cfad…
10-06 22:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe9b919…
10-06 16:05:27	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x65fd47…
10-06 08:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xad5414…
10-06 04:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x7f8cf0…
10-06 04:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x15edbb…
10-06 00:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xfbadc1…
10-06 00:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x45a97d…
10-05 05:51:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5b5353…
10-05 04:06:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xbfe7fa…
10-05 03:52:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x141355…
10-05 03:31:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2de87c…
10-05 01:47:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x59aaee…
10-05 01:11:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2ab74e…
10-04 22:47:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x442be6…
10-04 03:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x76d5d9…
10-03 23:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x382ade…
10-03 23:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xcad4cd…
10-03 07:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe159b4…
10-03 06:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x50da3d…
10-03 04:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x59f850…
10-02 22:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x1a6d14…
10-02 19:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x446702…
10-02 19:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x8c90ed…
10-02 11:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x59b63e…
10-02 07:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x6840c3…
10-02 06:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x421d3b…