Drafty-Flint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

66.5%

Resolved

4,335

Trades

6,021

lifetime

Volume

$14.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 11-06 03:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 191 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 66% +$80

Other

7% 77% -$81

Sports

4% 77% -$5

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	+5	$4	84¢	$4	+$1	11-03 12:32
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	+5	$4	72¢	$4	+$0	11-04 12:48
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	+5	$4	59¢	$3	-$1	10-31 03:16
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	+5	$3	48¢	$2	-$1	11-04 12:48
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+5	$4	15¢	$1	-$3	11-03 17:04
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+5	$2	7¢	$0	-$2	11-03 23:01
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	+5	$2	5¢	$0	-$1	11-02 15:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	2	$122	81	81	+0	Norway	+$2	06-30 17:50
crint aus zwe 2026 02 13	1	$62	72	0	+72	Zimbabwe	-$62	02-13 05:56
Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?	4	$41	40	40	+0	open	—	10-23 07:42
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	2	$37	20	20	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	$0	05-06 16:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 15:30 UTC	10	$35	35	35	+0	Up	+$2	03-28 15:31
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	2	$29	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	10-22 01:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 14:55 UTC	9	$26	42	21	+21	Down	-$3	03-31 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 19:20 UTC	7	$19	28	21	+7	Down	+$2	03-30 19:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 09:40 UTC	4	$18	12	12	+0	Up	$0	03-26 09:42
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	2	$16	10	10	+0	Seahawks	+$4	01-26 04:24
cbb pepp port 2026 03 05	3	$16	8	8	+0	Portland Pilots	+$0	03-06 04:16
cbb mich iowa 2026 03 05	3	$16	8	8	+0	Michigan Wolverines	+$0	03-06 03:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 19:30 UTC	6	$16	28	14	+14	Up	-$3	03-30 19:34
nba bkn mia 2026 03 05	3	$16	8	8	+0	Heat	+$0	03-06 02:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 09:00 UTC	6	$15	21	20	+1	Up	-$2	03-31 09:04
nba ind lal 2026 03 06	3	$15	8	8	+0	Lakers	+$0	03-07 05:57
nba dal bos 2026 03 06	3	$15	7	7	+0	Celtics	+$0	03-07 04:28
cbb ucf wvir 2026 03 06	3	$15	7	7	+0	West Virginia Mountaineers	+$0	03-07 04:28
cbb howrd norfst 2026 03 05	3	$14	7	7	+0	Howard Bison	+$1	03-06 04:00
cbb kenest utep 2026 03 05	3	$14	7	7	+0	UTEP Miners	+$0	03-06 04:34
nba det sas 2026 03 05	3	$14	8	8	+0	Spurs	+$1	03-06 03:36
cbb buf toledo 2026 03 06	2	$14	7	7	+0	Toledo Rockets	+$0	03-07 01:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 14:00 UTC	6	$14	24	8	+16	Up	+$1	03-30 14:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 13:55 UTC	3	$14	10	5	+5	Up	+$1	03-23 14:04
cbb pacfc sanclr 2026 03 08	3	$14	7	7	+0	Santa Clara Broncos	+$0	03-09 05:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 11:10 UTC	5	$14	18	12	+6	Up	+$2	03-30 11:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 06:35 UTC	5	$14	28	7	+21	Down	-$1	03-31 06:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 12:40 UTC	4	$14	21	8	+13	Up	-$5	04-05 12:44
nba nop sac 2026 03 05	3	$13	7	7	+0	Pelicans	+$0	03-06 05:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 09:30 UTC	3	$13	18	0	+18	Down	-$13	04-01 09:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 03:11:06	South Carolina State vs. Howard	South Carolina State	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc7adba…
11-06 02:32:06	Jackson State Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wave	Tulane Green Wave	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x340c91…
11-06 01:37:07	Georgia State Panthers vs. Charlotte 49ers	Charlotte 49ers	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb2b68c…
11-06 01:27:06	Buffalo Bulls vs. Pittsburgh Panthers	Pittsburgh Panthers	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x294f26…
11-05 16:35:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x71a96b…
11-05 14:31:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xefa784…
11-05 14:00:48	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x7198b6…
11-05 03:29:07	Radford Highlanders vs. California Golden Bears	California Golden Bears	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x662301…
11-05 02:58:22	Randolph College Wildcats vs. Norfolk State Spartans	Norfolk State Spartans	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x3a7787…
11-05 02:16:07	Toledo vs. Sacramento State	Toledo	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x34b243…
11-05 01:57:07	CSUN Matadors vs. Wichita State Shockers	Wichita State Shockers	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xaeb99c…
11-04 17:09:03	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb71d79…
11-04 15:15:16	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x08b5b6…
11-04 14:30:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf7f967…
11-04 14:27:07	Rolex Paris Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x2acaee…
11-04 13:25:18	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x26afdb…
11-04 12:48:07	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x33d214…
11-04 12:48:06	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x68aa7e…
11-04 12:48:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x29d7f0…
11-04 11:15:07	Luanda: Suzan Lamens vs Kristina Kroitor	Suzan Lamens	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x411385…
11-04 06:30:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9a69c8…
11-04 04:30:06	Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels	UNLV Runnin' Rebels	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x84f80c…
11-03 23:01:52	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe0e478…
11-03 19:36:09	Chennai Open: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Simona Waltert	Simona Waltert	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf1beb2…
11-03 17:51:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb5670a…
11-03 17:04:01	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x7e0716…
11-03 15:50:06	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x816926…
11-03 15:22:07	Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Mateo Del Pino	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x09e589…
11-03 14:15:15	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x110450…
11-03 13:15:57	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4add7c…
11-03 12:32:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xbb3233…
11-03 06:58:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x3f5a81…
11-02 18:11:04	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x4b3a8e…
11-02 17:26:13	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x73c3ea…
11-02 17:15:40	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xb7c13d…
11-02 17:15:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x034143…
11-02 15:02:45	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x666529…
11-02 14:30:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc1476f…
11-02 06:30:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x988de1…
11-01 16:40:25	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc286a4…
10-31 21:21:15	1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xe4686f…
10-31 21:01:21	1win FDV above $45M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2f232d…
10-31 21:01:21	1win FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2da0d4…
10-31 18:07:33	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x731cd2…
10-31 08:00:54	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4cd5d7…
10-31 04:24:31	cz binance of tweets november 3 november 10 2026 20 39	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x698642…
10-31 03:16:15	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x30faf5…
10-29 14:00:07	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x8cfb3a…
10-29 06:42:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 29?	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x90cb87…
10-28 18:35:07	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd763eb…
10-28 13:30:31	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe03f3f…
10-27 17:01:03	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0e8a8f…
10-27 14:50:32	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xada0c4…
10-27 13:35:24	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xaa33af…
10-27 13:11:14	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x57ef24…
10-26 17:10:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x51fd06…
10-26 13:55:50	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x37ef7e…
10-26 13:40:23	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd190ea…
10-25 17:20:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x5d3883…
10-25 17:20:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xe0e8b5…
10-25 17:06:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x220bd3…
10-25 15:10:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5112cb…
10-25 14:55:08	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xbc2588…
10-25 14:45:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x217414…
10-25 14:16:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x889247…
10-25 14:06:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd24f4c…
10-24 18:35:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x6552f2…
10-24 18:25:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd105e2…
10-24 17:51:17	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xba51d9…
10-24 17:50:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xcb9acf…
10-24 17:50:39	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xf7b3b3…
10-24 17:01:05	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x01a3b2…
10-24 17:00:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x28e790…
10-24 16:25:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x300be7…
10-23 07:42:54	Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xf40cf1…
10-23 07:42:54	Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xb03cae…
10-23 05:08:03	Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xd4ab48…
10-23 04:45:26	Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x9a93c4…
10-22 01:01:18	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x26c62a…
10-21 07:09:21	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xe8cfa0…
10-15 07:31:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x0ac0eb…
10-15 01:47:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xabd66d…
10-14 23:43:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x9b551e…
10-14 22:02:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x38ea0e…
10-14 09:16:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x776a4c…
10-14 09:06:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x0699a0…
10-14 08:26:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x13a15d…
10-14 07:47:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xe71e23…
10-14 03:47:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4cb1d3…
10-13 12:58:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4f28b7…
10-13 09:23:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x81f2a7…
10-13 05:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x9bff76…
10-13 03:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8f29c4…
10-12 08:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd3976c…
10-12 00:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xaa4c99…
10-11 23:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x57adcb…
10-11 22:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x101a4e…
10-10 02:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x075495…
10-10 02:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4c5763…
10-09 22:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7e543f…