Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$410

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

63.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

$65

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 11-01 06:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

62% 50% +$623

Other

24% 46% -$189

Sports

15% 0% -$843

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No		+90	$61	72¢	$65	+$3	10-23 23:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$1.9K	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	+$462	04-05 03:15
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$500	1,350	1,350	+0	No	-$121	03-23 11:41
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	7	$480	1,074	500	+574	Yes	+$284	02-27 15:36
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	5	$453	254	254	+0	No	+$48	01-30 13:13
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$420	60,000	0	+60,000	No	-$420	06-16 13:25
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$300	60,000	0	+60,000	No	-$300	06-16 13:24
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	2	$287	190	190	+0	Yes	+$89	04-08 00:29
khamenei seen in public by march 4 594 341 111	4	$180	100	100	+0	No	+$16	02-28 20:00
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	4	$165	1,500	0	+1,500	Yes	-$165	03-05 18:21
will monthly inflation be between 2pt6 and 2pt8 in january	4	$150	250	0	+250	No	+$100	02-10 17:58
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	2	$145	245	245	+0	Yes	+$32	06-29 18:36
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$142	750	0	+750	No	-$142	03-08 22:09
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$116	1,755	0	+1,755	No	-$116	10-25 23:26
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	100,000	0	+100,000	No	-$100	06-16 13:26
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	1	$99	300	0	+300	Yes	+$201	02-27 13:32
nvda above 185 on february 13 2026	8	$75	150	85	+65	No	-$56	02-13 20:06
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	3	$67	200	200	+0	No	-$33	01-29 19:29
will argentinas monthly inflation in february 2026 be between 2pt5 and 2pt7	2	$66	101	0	+101	No	-$66	03-12 17:52
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	3	$61	90	0	+90	open	—	10-23 23:22
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$60	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$60	03-14 21:57
will travis scott perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	8	$57	100	50	+50	No	-$23	02-09 01:04
Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	16	$51	1,304	0	+1,304	open	—	11-01 06:42
will argentinas monthly inflation in february 2026 be between 2pt8 and 3pt0	2	$39	45	45	+0	Yes	-$32	03-12 18:44
will monthly inflation be between 2pt3 and 2pt5 in january	2	$26	30	0	+30	No	+$4	02-10 16:36
will monthly inflation be between 2pt9 and 3pt1 in january	1	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$15	02-10 17:57
will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	4	$14	350	0	+350	No	-$14	06-17 18:34
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$10	208	0	+208	No	-$10	01-15 17:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 06:42:27	Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x0605a3…
11-01 06:18:04	Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x67ed7f…
11-01 06:02:42	Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x95b4a8…
11-01 05:45:07	Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x7426e6…
11-01 05:41:24	Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xa18170…
11-01 03:46:34	Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x46251f…
11-01 03:07:46	Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x9b481a…
11-01 02:23:42	Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xf401c7…
11-01 01:23:27	Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xfb0363…
10-28 16:52:35	Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0x0218ce…
10-26 14:31:57	Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x64cb7f…
10-25 23:26:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,587	6¢	$100	0x27838a…
10-25 23:25:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	168	10¢	$16	0x9555df…
10-24 20:28:23	Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x8b775e…
10-24 20:27:45	Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x6df19a…
10-24 16:35:54	Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x5fb733…
10-23 23:22:18	Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	BUY	60	68¢	$41	0x4f961f…
10-23 11:02:39	Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x8a8e42…
10-23 02:21:05	Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xcbaaa9…
10-22 17:23:39	Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	124	4¢	$5	0xa85c67…
10-22 17:23:39	Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	858	4¢	$34	0x10fe08…
06-29 18:36:14	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	245	36¢	$88	0x611f46…
06-29 18:01:16	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	245	23¢	$56	0x51498f…
06-17 18:34:38	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	Yes	BUY	194	5¢	$10	0x2cc731…
06-17 18:34:08	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x700f6e…
06-17 18:34:02	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0xa4c80c…
06-17 18:32:50	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xbfb0c8…
06-16 13:26:13	Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x7ecbc0…
06-16 13:25:26	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	60,000	1¢	$420	0x0c4a74…
06-16 13:24:56	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	60,000	0¢	$300	0xfa8254…
04-08 00:29:45	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	Yes	SELL	190	99¢	$188	0xcd148b…
04-07 19:59:59	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	Yes	BUY	190	52¢	$99	0x8e9a46…
04-05 03:15:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x47eca9…
04-05 01:09:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0xb91cf1…
04-05 01:07:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	400	91¢	$366	0xab12ef…
04-04 12:14:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0xc3190f…
04-03 23:10:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	300	86¢	$258	0x8507ac…
04-01 18:27:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,300	54¢	$702	0x6b27a3…
03-23 11:41:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	650	14¢	$91	0x0e574a…
03-23 11:40:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x0033c8…
03-23 11:40:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	600	14¢	$84	0xd16452…
03-20 20:54:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,350	23¢	$310	0x8692bc…
03-14 21:57:43	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x01548f…
03-14 21:54:51	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x61a8bb…
03-14 21:54:33	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	400	6¢	$25	0x3542e3…
03-12 18:44:33	will argentinas monthly inflation in february 2026 be between 2pt8 and 3pt0	No	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0xaff560…
03-12 18:31:53	will argentinas monthly inflation in february 2026 be between 2pt8 and 3pt0	No	BUY	45	79¢	$36	0xe6cde8…
03-12 17:52:51	will argentinas monthly inflation in february 2026 be between 2pt5 and 2pt7	Yes	BUY	91	65¢	$59	0xeb4b5b…
03-12 17:44:17	will argentinas monthly inflation in february 2026 be between 2pt5 and 2pt7	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xc9f84d…
03-08 22:09:33	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	750	19¢	$142	0xe52247…
03-05 18:21:35	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	No	BUY	274	6¢	$16	0x02a8f8…
03-05 17:31:09	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	No	BUY	226	6¢	$14	0x246c6d…
03-05 17:26:31	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	No	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0xc5edd3…
03-05 13:34:25	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xb30c1b…
02-28 20:00:33	khamenei seen in public by march 4 594 341 111	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xd2c6f3…
02-28 19:26:17	khamenei seen in public by march 4 594 341 111	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xc4ec41…
02-28 19:25:41	khamenei seen in public by march 4 594 341 111	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x2d13e8…
02-28 18:59:11	khamenei seen in public by march 4 594 341 111	No	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0xab1c3f…
02-27 15:36:37	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	500	19¢	$95	0xa08619…
02-27 13:32:35	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	33¢	$99	0x5cee4b…
02-18 13:53:02	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	500	32¢	$160	0x4925df…
02-13 20:06:17	nvda above 185 on february 13 2026	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x206dfd…
02-13 19:53:07	nvda above 185 on february 13 2026	Yes	SELL	75	11¢	$8	0xf15e1a…
02-13 17:32:03	nvda above 185 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x6d3733…
02-13 17:21:51	nvda above 185 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x6b5f49…
02-13 17:21:25	nvda above 185 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x9bf70b…
02-13 17:19:15	nvda above 185 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	49	42¢	$21	0xe2a57d…
02-13 17:18:41	nvda above 185 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0xd36dbd…
02-13 17:16:13	nvda above 185 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xbcfdcf…
02-10 17:58:55	will monthly inflation be between 2pt6 and 2pt8 in january	No	BUY	57	60¢	$34	0x499594…
02-10 17:58:05	will monthly inflation be between 2pt6 and 2pt8 in january	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xe026a5…
02-10 17:57:57	will monthly inflation be between 2pt9 and 3pt1 in january	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xc05839…
02-10 17:57:27	will monthly inflation be between 2pt6 and 2pt8 in january	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x7e931e…
02-10 17:57:05	will monthly inflation be between 2pt6 and 2pt8 in january	No	BUY	123	60¢	$74	0xe0ff0c…
02-10 16:36:39	will monthly inflation be between 2pt3 and 2pt5 in january	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x87cc47…
02-10 16:29:21	will monthly inflation be between 2pt3 and 2pt5 in january	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x3a0892…
02-09 01:04:29	will travis scott perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	Yes	SELL	26	34¢	$9	0x5e6113…
02-09 01:04:29	will travis scott perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	Yes	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x2ee9e4…
02-09 01:04:29	will travis scott perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x094f56…
02-09 01:04:27	will travis scott perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xfb5dec…
02-09 01:04:27	will travis scott perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	Yes	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0xc59f6b…
02-08 22:41:09	will travis scott perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6f31c7…
02-08 22:40:59	will travis scott perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	Yes	BUY	83	40¢	$33	0xf964aa…
02-08 22:40:49	will travis scott perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xb3e64e…
02-03 19:12:06	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x04cdbc…
02-03 17:58:14	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x7f4897…
01-30 13:13:16	si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	No	SELL	254	99¢	$251	0x7672ae…
01-30 02:32:44	si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xd179dd…
01-30 02:31:28	si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x7058d9…
01-29 19:29:46	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	SELL	72	8¢	$6	0x043a89…
01-29 19:28:04	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	SELL	128	9¢	$12	0xf80d1a…
01-29 18:49:48	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xea5bbb…
01-29 18:49:12	si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	No	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0x8be775…
01-29 16:21:46	si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x5f9432…
01-28 14:23:41	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xeaf88b…
01-27 18:44:19	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x0dc572…
01-15 17:15:52	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	208	5¢	$10	0xe3cad8…
01-15 16:09:28	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xe3d311…