Exhausted-Notepad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$650

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 05-17 13:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 51% +$1

Politics

2% 0% -$12

Other

1% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$45	31	31	+0	Up	+$15	05-16 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$44	29	29	+0	Down	+$14	05-16 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$37	22	22	+0	Down	+$7	05-16 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$36	39	16	+22	Down	-$4	05-16 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$36	26	26	+0	Down	+$16	05-16 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$32	25	25	+0	Down	+$12	05-16 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$32	287	0	+287	Down	-$32	05-16 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$27	50	50	+0	Down	+$7	05-16 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$26	20	20	+0	Up	+$6	05-16 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$23	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	05-16 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$21	17	17	+0	Up	+$1	05-16 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$18	30	30	+0	Up	-$2	05-16 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	05-16 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-16 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-16 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	05-16 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-16 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$10	50	0	+50	Down	-$10	05-16 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Up	-$10	05-16 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	-$10	05-16 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$10	136	0	+136	Down	-$10	05-17 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$9	15	15	+0	Down	+$3	05-16 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	Up	-$1	05-16 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-17 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$8	19	0	+19	Down	-$8	05-17 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$8	11	11	+0	Up	$0	05-17 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	05-17 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-17 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-16 10:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	2	$6	1,083	0	+1,083	No	-$6	05-16 10:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 13:11:53	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x450234…
05-17 13:11:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	667	0¢	$1	0xc80010…
05-17 13:00:17	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf085b2…
05-17 12:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x87eae1…
05-17 12:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf0be13…
05-17 12:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	18	6¢	$1	0x4cfe19…
05-17 12:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x8fe441…
05-17 12:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x940639…
05-17 12:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9395b6…
05-17 00:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x298f86…
05-17 00:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xf13a3a…
05-17 00:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa403ac…
05-17 00:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0xf18026…
05-17 00:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xa2220e…
05-17 00:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xce366d…
05-17 00:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x567026…
05-17 00:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0xf2bda6…
05-17 00:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x6f5e4f…
05-17 00:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc0c0a8…
05-16 21:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf36ff9…
05-16 21:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x8bb68b…
05-16 21:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0xc7b2c2…
05-16 21:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x2aa576…
05-16 21:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa7808d…
05-16 21:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x1d09e4…
05-16 21:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7f95d4…
05-16 20:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x27fd1b…
05-16 20:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0df387…
05-16 20:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0xebcc60…
05-16 20:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x2ef8ce…
05-16 20:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xb942b5…
05-16 20:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x956c31…
05-16 20:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	50	33¢	$17	0xbfc2ae…
05-16 20:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x80055b…
05-16 20:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x88cff5…
05-16 20:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x0676af…
05-16 20:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xbfb28f…
05-16 20:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x584270…
05-16 20:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x767bda…
05-16 20:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x5af4c9…
05-16 20:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x2d9de1…
05-16 12:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb7f94a…
05-16 11:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xe7cc83…
05-16 11:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x459288…
05-16 11:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3775a7…
05-16 11:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xdb5810…
05-16 11:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xed71ab…
05-16 11:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x5ed8a7…
05-16 11:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc80074…
05-16 11:10:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb85cc6…
05-16 10:46:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$4	0xf70fab…
05-16 10:46:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa41d11…
05-16 10:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	261	6¢	$16	0xf5eef7…
05-16 10:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0xe6a558…
05-16 10:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x7a6e9a…
05-16 10:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0xe956d7…
05-16 10:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xcba77f…
05-16 10:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x443365…
05-16 10:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x339017…
05-16 10:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x730bf0…
05-16 10:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xade5b5…
05-16 10:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xb7294a…
05-16 10:06:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x7442c2…
05-16 09:57:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$2	0xa63309…
05-16 09:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0xda7a41…
05-16 09:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xe82562…
05-16 09:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x377a5a…
05-16 09:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x9a78cf…
05-16 09:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x44d3ef…
05-16 09:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0xf1f6f0…
05-16 09:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4f2b11…
05-16 08:55:00	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	83	4¢	$3	0x04e098…
05-16 08:54:44	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	88	3¢	$3	0x389e8a…
05-16 08:54:23	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xaef0ad…
05-16 08:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0xf1890e…
05-16 08:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x980035…
05-16 08:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x9dccac…
05-16 08:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x34322e…
05-16 08:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0bee8f…
05-16 08:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x5394f8…
05-16 08:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xc72a72…
05-16 08:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x8360ea…
05-16 08:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3df372…
05-16 08:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x780544…
05-16 08:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x35e7f8…
05-16 07:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8d7234…
05-16 07:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x49daf4…
05-16 07:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x4cc046…
05-16 07:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xbf41c5…
05-16 07:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa6549d…