Faraway-Fingerling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

79.2%

Resolved

Trades

598

lifetime

Volume

$45.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-24

last 07-19 22:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

39% 100% +$34

Other

33% 0% $-38

Crypto

16% — —

Tech

6% — —

Sports

6% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No		+10	$9	95¢	$9	+$1	06-08 18:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	19	$5.2K	5,581	2,734	+2,847	open	—	06-03 21:42
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	20	$2.7K	2,482	1,882	+600	open	—	07-07 13:51
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	19	$2.5K	2,396	2,396	+0	open	—	06-13 17:17
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	2	$2.2K	1,127	1,127	+0	open	—	06-30 19:00
israel closes its airspace by june 9	3	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	06-09 01:09
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	10	$2.1K	1,107	3,100	-1,993	open	—	06-14 23:58
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	2	$2.0K	1,020	1,020	+0	open	—	07-01 17:50
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	7	$1.9K	1,477	424	+1,053	open	—	06-12 18:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	19	$1.6K	1,133	1,133	+0	open	—	04-07 23:04
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	3	$1.2K	798	403	+395	open	—	07-01 22:49
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	13	$1.1K	588	588	+0	open	—	06-28 16:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	8	$1.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	06-25 19:46
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$1.1K	572	572	+0	open	—	04-12 20:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	13	$1.0K	1,460	1,860	-400	open	—	06-24 17:05
will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843 464	2	$974	500	500	+0	open	—	06-23 07:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$905	675	675	+0	open	—	04-19 17:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$891	750	750	+0	open	—	05-28 18:35
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	3	$807	600	210	+390	open	—	06-12 19:01
over 20m committed to the laso finance public sale 697 196 698 668	2	$792	400	400	+0	open	—	07-03 00:57
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	2	$573	300	300	+0	open	—	06-08 12:00
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$522	2,502	0	+2,502	open	—	04-30 20:03
will mrbeasts latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5	1	$500	504	0	+504	open	—	04-09 16:17
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$497	500	0	+500	open	—	04-11 17:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	15	$435	1,660	860	+800	open	—	06-14 22:52
israel closes its airspace by june 8	3	$377	200	200	+0	open	—	06-08 18:33
us iran nuclear deal by july 31	2	$370	500	0	+500	open	—	06-13 17:54
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	2	$370	200	200	+0	open	—	06-14 23:45
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	10	$359	676	676	+0	open	—	04-28 14:50
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	8	$358	438	500	-62	open	—	06-28 13:56
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	4	$354	325	325	+0	open	—	06-08 05:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 22:06:55	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	560	0¢	$3	0xa8060c…
07-18 22:49:43	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xfd670b…
07-18 22:44:55	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	SELL	69	31¢	$21	0xc6d2d9…
07-18 22:06:15	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0x96b806…
07-18 13:41:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x1c5894…
07-15 22:23:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xf98ace…
07-15 21:46:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	23	7¢	$1	0xa8695a…
07-15 21:31:50	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	202	6¢	$13	0x76bea7…
07-15 19:23:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x04b769…
07-07 13:51:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	120	85¢	$102	0x2e4249…
07-07 13:30:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	300	15¢	$45	0x621e8d…
07-07 00:36:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	300	54¢	$162	0x45e5c3…
07-07 00:34:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	462	50¢	$231	0x677fab…
07-07 00:26:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	462	43¢	$200	0x0604f3…
07-06 23:45:59	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0x1d1547…
07-06 23:16:40	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	No	SELL	49	92¢	$45	0x097903…
07-06 22:45:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	494	84¢	$417	0x8f167b…
07-06 22:32:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xc471c5…
07-06 22:24:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x693f03…
07-06 22:10:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	203	7¢	$14	0x3aae7e…
07-06 21:58:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	264	87¢	$229	0x5f3cc7…
07-06 21:38:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	264	77¢	$203	0xb300a8…
07-06 21:24:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xbb17ed…
07-06 21:05:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x3023cc…
07-06 21:04:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	29	78¢	$23	0xa9ec58…
07-06 20:47:56	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	16	67¢	$11	0x83ddfc…
07-06 20:47:22	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	23	67¢	$15	0x407fb2…
07-06 19:35:02	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	SELL	31	66¢	$20	0x4b6246…
07-06 19:30:43	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x6ef9cf…
07-06 19:15:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xc8bbb7…
07-06 18:29:41	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	68	4¢	$2	0x1c991c…
07-06 18:29:17	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x45673c…
07-06 13:09:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	80	32¢	$26	0x79adf9…
07-04 16:51:40	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	Yes	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0xb241f3…
07-04 16:12:55	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	Yes	BUY	170	94¢	$160	0x467bef…
07-04 14:20:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xf22472…
07-04 00:07:13	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x0f1c00…
07-03 00:57:22	over 20m committed to the laso finance public sale 697 196 698 668	Yes	SELL	400	100¢	$398	0xcfe248…
07-02 20:38:44	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	No	BUY	10	44¢	$5	0x8d3874…
07-02 19:45:50	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	No	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x0ed15c…
07-02 18:06:13	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfeafc2…
07-02 17:26:08	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	74	13¢	$10	0xc97209…
07-02 17:06:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x278fc7…
07-02 17:06:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6fb9ae…
07-02 16:51:56	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396	No	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0x1f10c3…
07-02 16:23:22	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x9991c5…
07-02 15:20:59	over 20m committed to the laso finance public sale 697 196 698 668	Yes	BUY	400	99¢	$394	0x2888a8…
07-01 22:49:35	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	395	100¢	$395	0xc85fec…
07-01 22:46:34	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	SELL	403	99¢	$399	0x31c490…
07-01 22:44:13	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	403	98¢	$395	0x9c3847…
07-01 17:50:19	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	SELL	1,020	99¢	$1,010	0x8356ef…
07-01 17:49:25	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	1,020	98¢	$1,000	0x34f374…
06-30 23:08:02	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	73	95¢	$69	0x73d047…
06-30 19:00:31	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	SELL	1,127	100¢	$1,126	0x495f61…
06-30 18:57:46	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	1,127	98¢	$1,100	0x155579…
06-29 22:36:19	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	73	73¢	$53	0x440489…
06-28 16:38:08	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0xeca602…
06-28 16:38:07	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x82fea5…
06-28 16:38:02	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xc25d7c…
06-28 16:37:52	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb94443…
06-28 16:37:50	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x20f9e6…
06-28 16:37:47	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x841606…
06-28 16:37:43	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf21ffb…
06-28 16:37:43	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xaff179…
06-28 16:37:43	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x8e53c5…
06-28 16:37:41	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x731d98…
06-28 16:37:40	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	452	98¢	$445	0xeb5367…
06-28 14:33:29	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0x616197…
06-28 14:25:20	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	96¢	$85	0x83fba3…
06-28 13:56:32	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	287	1¢	$3	0x591915…
06-28 13:56:17	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0x380d28…
06-28 03:26:08	will the announcers say messi 20 times during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914419	No	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x8b1197…
06-27 21:30:04	will the announcers say messi 20 times during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914419	No	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x1db77f…
06-27 19:24:44	will the announcers say messi 20 times during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914419	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x3f350d…
06-25 19:46:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	36	47¢	$17	0x1a512f…
06-25 19:46:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xa1479f…
06-25 19:46:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	59	47¢	$28	0x41cf6f…
06-25 18:17:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xdd017f…
06-24 17:05:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x9b87d3…
06-24 16:12:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	46¢	$460	0x4f4440…
06-23 11:45:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	48¢	$480	0xd0eb99…
06-23 07:46:59	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843 464	Yes	SELL	500	98¢	$490	0x9fdfc4…
06-22 12:29:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x33e432…
06-22 02:40:13	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	Yes	BUY	500	97¢	$484	0x399e55…
06-22 01:24:52	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xf43858…
06-22 00:55:20	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x4a18a2…
06-22 00:54:14	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x512a7d…
06-22 00:54:13	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	102	9¢	$9	0xd61cc6…
06-22 00:53:22	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	426	9¢	$38	0x8f0a16…
06-21 23:26:47	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x6cca4b…
06-21 23:26:10	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x9aa4f3…
06-21 23:00:28	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x2891d9…
06-21 22:30:05	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x348853…
06-21 22:29:37	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xa5bed2…
06-20 16:49:11	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0xac2f77…
06-20 14:22:47	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	520	4¢	$19	0x0594ae…
06-19 21:44:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x8d2791…
06-19 11:49:58	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	287	17¢	$50	0xa811a6…
06-18 20:01:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x1bb7f4…
06-18 18:09:59	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xf6e6ad…