Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$251

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.8%

Resolved

2,021

Trades

2,476

lifetime

Volume

$37.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-30

last 10-27 08:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 83% +$340

Other

4% 72% -$87

Tech

1% — —

Politics

0% 33% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$206	213	0	+213	Up	+$8	10-07 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$198	205	0	+205	Up	+$7	10-07 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$193	202	0	+202	Down	+$9	10-07 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$182	188	0	+188	Down	+$6	10-06 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$176	186	0	+186	Up	+$10	10-06 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$172	183	0	+183	Down	+$11	10-10 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$170	187	0	+187	Up	+$17	10-06 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$165	180	0	+180	Down	+$16	10-09 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$164	174	0	+174	Up	+$10	10-06 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$162	173	0	+173	Down	+$10	10-06 16:29
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	18	$156	257	47	+210	open	—	08-28 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$156	161	0	+161	Down	+$5	10-09 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$153	165	0	+165	Down	+$12	10-07 23:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 18:45 UTC	2	$153	157	0	+157	Down	+$5	10-04 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$151	168	0	+168	Up	+$17	10-04 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$151	155	0	+155	Down	+$4	10-05 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$149	152	0	+152	Up	+$3	10-05 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$148	153	0	+153	Down	+$5	10-05 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$144	150	0	+150	Down	+$5	10-05 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 05:00 UTC	2	$144	152	0	+152	Down	+$8	10-05 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$142	155	0	+155	Down	+$13	10-11 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$141	146	0	+146	Up	+$5	10-05 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$141	148	0	+148	Up	+$7	10-06 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$141	154	0	+154	Down	+$14	10-08 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$139	142	0	+142	Up	+$3	10-04 03:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 02:45 UTC	2	$139	142	0	+142	Up	+$3	10-04 02:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 01:00 UTC	2	$136	145	0	+145	Down	+$9	10-04 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$135	142	0	+142	Down	+$7	10-04 00:44
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	16	$135	240	80	+160	open	—	08-26 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$135	140	0	+140	Down	+$6	10-03 23:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	72	91¢	$65	0xecac5a…
10-27 00:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0xfec605…
10-26 22:59:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	72	92¢	$66	0x6fd12f…
10-26 19:59:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0xb46300…
10-26 12:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	69	95¢	$66	0xd4172a…
10-26 09:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	64	95¢	$60	0x45ad5d…
10-26 02:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	62	94¢	$59	0xc969ab…
10-26 00:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0x409ca8…
10-25 18:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	64	95¢	$60	0xd02d67…
10-25 16:44:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	68	93¢	$63	0xfc4b8b…
10-25 09:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	64	95¢	$60	0x2fbdcb…
10-25 06:29:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	59	94¢	$55	0xeeb8a1…
10-25 02:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0xdd38d1…
10-24 23:14:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	58	95¢	$56	0x9a485d…
10-24 18:44:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	61	94¢	$58	0xe267d8…
10-24 14:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	61	93¢	$57	0x4ed7cf…
10-24 13:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	62	92¢	$57	0xc47ac0…
10-24 12:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	92¢	$41	0xb6d53d…
10-24 12:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0x4d935b…
10-24 11:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	54	94¢	$50	0x6f8ac7…
10-24 10:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x77643a…
10-24 08:14:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	54	93¢	$51	0x1acc24…
10-24 06:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x4c95e0…
10-24 04:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x5132c5…
10-24 03:14:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	51	89¢	$45	0xebc913…
10-23 08:44:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0x72c74e…
10-23 04:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x56c3c8…
10-22 20:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x8760e6…
10-22 10:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0x9d82b9…
10-22 09:44:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	51	91¢	$46	0x1c5da3…
10-22 07:59:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x9878ee…
10-22 04:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	92¢	$42	0xa7eeab…
10-21 21:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x0615c5…
10-21 19:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x3b7b6c…
10-21 17:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	44	92¢	$40	0xbd9ae7…
10-21 16:29:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xb7cc03…
10-21 14:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x996508…
10-21 11:44:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x33e534…
10-21 10:29:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x952eb7…
10-21 02:59:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	57	90¢	$52	0xffd727…
10-20 21:29:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xe12e5e…
10-19 22:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x465f2f…
10-19 15:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xafb6af…
10-19 07:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	46	96¢	$45	0xa57682…
10-19 07:29:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	48	95¢	$45	0x27a85a…
10-19 04:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	49	93¢	$45	0x7769f8…
10-19 02:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	46	96¢	$45	0x75db4b…
10-19 00:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x5879c9…
10-18 23:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0x72354e…
10-18 20:14:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	51	92¢	$47	0x75cad8…
10-18 17:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x523522…
10-18 16:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	96¢	$40	0x9e7ad0…
10-18 14:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xb9058c…
10-18 08:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0xa42e3f…
10-18 04:29:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0xe4ec44…
10-18 03:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	60	96¢	$57	0x0a0199…
10-18 00:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	60	93¢	$55	0x8f4e08…
10-17 22:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x65dd68…
10-17 22:29:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	55	92¢	$51	0xaa9e9b…
10-17 20:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	54	96¢	$51	0x93d981…
10-17 19:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x203166…
10-17 14:59:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x5dea18…
10-17 10:59:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0xddd737…
10-17 10:44:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	54	94¢	$50	0x67f470…
10-17 09:14:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0xd0895b…
10-17 08:29:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x2f2a29…
10-17 08:29:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x041c3a…
10-17 07:59:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x859f1d…
10-17 07:29:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	46	93¢	$43	0x98fb9b…
10-17 06:59:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$41	0x15d79d…
10-17 06:59:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	52	78¢	$41	0x0d0132…
10-17 06:44:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x357842…
10-17 04:29:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0x07ec80…
10-17 01:59:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xd2bca5…
10-17 01:44:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0xe183b9…
10-17 00:44:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x0b6066…
10-16 23:59:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x6c5667…
10-16 13:14:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0x52bf3b…
10-16 10:59:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x5ef780…
10-16 06:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0x6dcd84…
10-16 04:44:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x461047…
10-16 04:14:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0x714518…
10-15 22:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	51	90¢	$45	0xbbd490…
10-15 21:14:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x8586ff…
10-15 12:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	47	96¢	$46	0x9cb87c…
10-15 11:29:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	46	96¢	$45	0x76ddc6…
10-15 11:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x5602ee…
10-15 06:14:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	46	96¢	$45	0x649d99…
10-15 04:54:50	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	69	90¢	$62	0x3e1d81…
10-14 23:14:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	95	86¢	$82	0x16ad41…
10-14 22:29:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	73	97¢	$71	0x7dcc03…
10-14 20:29:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	84	96¢	$81	0xda0cff…
10-14 08:59:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0x3761e9…
10-14 03:49:47	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	75	91¢	$68	0x542fa8…
10-13 19:14:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0xc1165f…
10-13 06:54:44	BNB Up or Down - October 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0xcdc921…
10-12 23:59:47	BNB Up or Down - October 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0xd407d4…
10-12 15:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	78	98¢	$76	0x452f86…
10-12 03:59:48	BNB Up or Down - October 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0x7c10c7…
10-11 23:44:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xe11fb4…