Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.7%

Resolved

2,264

Trades

2,769

lifetime

Volume

$45.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-30

last 11-12 20:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 81% +$276

Other

4% 73% -$180

Tech

1% 0% -$19

Politics

0% 33% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 172 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$206	213	0	+213	Up	+$8	10-07 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$198	205	0	+205	Up	+$7	10-07 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$193	202	0	+202	Down	+$9	10-07 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$182	188	0	+188	Down	+$6	10-06 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$176	186	0	+186	Up	+$10	10-06 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$172	183	0	+183	Down	+$11	10-10 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$170	187	0	+187	Up	+$17	10-06 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$165	180	0	+180	Down	+$16	10-09 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$164	174	0	+174	Up	+$10	10-06 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$162	173	0	+173	Down	+$10	10-06 16:29
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	18	$156	257	47	+210	Yes	-$13	08-28 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$156	161	0	+161	Down	+$5	10-09 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$153	165	0	+165	Down	+$12	10-07 23:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 18:45 UTC	2	$153	157	0	+157	Down	+$5	10-04 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$151	168	0	+168	Up	+$17	10-04 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$151	155	0	+155	Down	+$4	10-05 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$149	152	0	+152	Up	+$3	10-05 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$148	153	0	+153	Down	+$5	10-05 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$144	150	0	+150	Down	+$5	10-05 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 05:00 UTC	2	$144	152	0	+152	Down	+$8	10-05 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$142	155	0	+155	Down	+$13	10-11 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$141	146	0	+146	Up	+$5	10-05 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$141	148	0	+148	Up	+$7	10-06 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$141	154	0	+154	Down	+$14	10-08 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$139	142	0	+142	Up	+$3	10-04 03:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 02:45 UTC	2	$139	142	0	+142	Up	+$3	10-04 02:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 01:00 UTC	2	$136	145	0	+145	Down	+$9	10-04 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$135	142	0	+142	Down	+$7	10-04 00:44
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	16	$135	240	80	+160	No	-$6	08-26 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$135	140	0	+140	Down	+$6	10-03 23:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 20:44:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	77	97¢	$75	0xfc4f38…
11-12 10:44:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	83	91¢	$76	0x646a2b…
11-12 07:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	84	91¢	$76	0x30d459…
11-12 04:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	77	97¢	$75	0x528c98…
11-12 03:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x106829…
11-12 03:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xf561dd…
11-12 03:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0x4b1464…
11-12 02:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x1b3f86…
11-12 02:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0xc83ef4…
11-12 02:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x948e3e…
11-12 02:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x27428b…
11-12 02:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xe8fb05…
11-11 23:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x1aabc5…
11-11 19:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	91¢	$75	0x2824b8…
11-11 15:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	82	94¢	$77	0xbd1860…
11-11 12:44:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	82	93¢	$76	0x9b4ef8…
11-11 09:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	84	91¢	$76	0x524b5d…
11-11 08:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	84	91¢	$76	0x88a82f…
11-10 21:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x6770cc…
11-10 21:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	73¢	$10	0x9d6608…
11-10 21:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xb71a8b…
11-10 21:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x50d82d…
11-10 21:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x5b74ff…
11-10 21:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xa494e3…
11-10 21:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x8ab1d3…
11-10 21:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	87	12¢	$11	0x50a73c…
11-10 21:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0xb248aa…
11-10 20:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x67e7ad…
11-10 20:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xaa5d27…
11-10 20:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	47	22¢	$10	0xfc78fe…
11-10 20:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	76	14¢	$11	0xdf3aee…
11-10 20:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0x3df6ac…
11-10 20:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7ebcd3…
11-10 19:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x6f6a61…
11-10 19:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x4d341b…
11-10 19:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x101bb6…
11-10 19:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	59¢	$10	0x2660fe…
11-10 18:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xcc1bca…
11-10 18:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xfab4d7…
11-10 18:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x1cafab…
11-10 18:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x5e540c…
11-10 18:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	29	36¢	$10	0x416862…
11-10 18:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xbd5576…
11-10 18:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x97c743…
11-10 18:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x6d526b…
11-10 18:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x3a9016…
11-10 17:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	98	11¢	$11	0x90d999…
11-10 17:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x64b664…
11-10 17:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x31a470…
11-10 17:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xafe505…
11-10 17:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x600972…
11-10 17:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x9f332c…
11-10 16:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x9feca1…
11-10 16:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	67¢	$10	0x258758…
11-10 16:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb818fb…
11-10 16:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x079e23…
11-10 16:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xa2cbf0…
11-10 16:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xf398da…
11-10 16:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	59¢	$10	0xb12a9f…
11-10 16:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	47	22¢	$10	0x052075…
11-10 16:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xeaadf3…
11-10 16:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x5e1bcc…
11-10 16:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x98d21a…
11-10 16:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	36¢	$10	0x738bdc…
11-10 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf2d704…
11-10 16:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x12d47b…
11-10 15:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0x3866ae…
11-10 15:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	67¢	$10	0x6d11a2…
11-10 15:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xcc4b49…
11-10 15:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x7983cf…
11-10 15:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xb3d27f…
11-10 15:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x5b8db5…
11-10 15:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0xd871a8…
11-10 15:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	40¢	$10	0x9b5cb4…
11-10 15:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x56727d…
11-10 15:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0xb53932…
11-10 15:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x2431ec…
11-10 15:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	28	37¢	$10	0x99444b…
11-10 15:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x4f3602…
11-10 15:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xd943f5…
11-10 15:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x57abfb…
11-10 15:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xe6ade9…
11-10 14:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x34a632…
11-10 14:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	47	22¢	$10	0x243e88…
11-10 14:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x6bb996…
11-10 14:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0xa002e7…
11-10 14:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x7d3ca3…
11-10 14:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0xdfdc8a…
11-10 14:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x24afb6…
11-10 14:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x8f8bdf…
11-10 14:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xde2226…
11-10 14:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	63¢	$10	0x1b2bdf…
11-10 14:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	34	31¢	$11	0xddb022…
11-10 14:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xaa436b…
11-10 14:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x5d7387…
11-10 14:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x7586e5…
11-10 13:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x583cdf…
11-10 13:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x2763a1…
11-10 13:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x0cf993…
11-10 13:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x421ee4…